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Damned if you do, damned if you don't

1/27/2024

2 Comments

 
That was the sentiment expressed by one Missouri farmer about signing an easement for Grain Belt Express under threat of condemnation and taking of an easement across his land by Chicago-based energy conglomerate Invenergy.  The same sentiment also applies to cooperating with biased liberal media journalists from back East.  You can cheerfully cooperate and welcome these people to your home and business and hope that they are guided by professionalism and decency to tell your story accurately, or you can refuse to talk to them and be labeled as a selfish, renewable-hating deplorable in abstentia.

The people of rural Missouri are some of the most welcoming, thoughtful, and brave folks that I have ever met.  Even when their gut told them that a reporter from The New Yorker was probably going to do a hit piece, they warmly welcomed him and cooperated anyway.  They didn't deserve this.

Here's the filter through which the reporter viewed his entire Midwestern experience:
In a notice of intent to prepare an environmental-impact statement for the Grain Belt Express, the Energy Department notes that the project could create “local safety risks associated with electromagnetic fields, power surges, risk of increased lightning strikes, and line-induced fires.”

Of course, the risks associated with climate change are much more serious.

This was the reporter's preconceived notion going into this article.  Nothing anyone said or did, or anything he saw, felt, or experienced, was allowed to interfere with this pre-determined outcome.

​What do you mean, "of course"?  That's the reporter's bias.  The two main characters he visited for this story obviously did not agree.  It's all about perspective... safety risks from GBE are guaranteed and immediate for the people who will have to live and work around it for the rest of their lives.  Climate change is a political  theory espoused by people like the reporter, who don't have to live and work around a dangerous invader every day.  GBE won't be outside his kitchen window every morning, and he won't have to drive huge farm machinery around giant impediments on his land numerous times every year.  GBE will not be personally affecting him so he is content to belittle its impacts on others in favor of his own armchair scientist theories.  The risk to Missouri farmers is REAL.  The risk to the reporter is a watered down possibility.  Get off your high horse, buddy, assuming you've ever even been on a horse, of course.

The article drones on about how wind and solar energy has not been successfully deployed, and that it will require enormous sacrifice to ever work as a dependable source of electricity.  Instead of contemplating, perhaps,  whether wind and solar is not a realistic future energy source because it isn't progressing, the reporter  doubles down on a bad idea by believing transmission lines like Grain Belt Express can be the turning point to success.  It can't.  Wind and solar are not the answer for our energy future.  It's too expensive, too invasive, and unreliable.  It's actually making our entire electric system incredibly fragile.  We need to abandon this bad idea in favor of new technology that can produce the energy we need where we need it when we need it.  I haven't heard any talk that we need enormous amounts of new transmission for new-age nuclear generators.  Wind and solar is an experiment that didn't work, but it made a lot of investors very rich and they don't want to let go of their golden goose, even if it is for the betterment of society.

The reporter's portrayal of Loren Sprouse and Marilyn O'Bannon as "holdouts" against a "better grid" is unfair.  Both Loren and Marilyn have selflessly devoted themselves to careful and deliberate examination of the issue and spent their personal time and money standing up for the rights of farmers.  They did the right thing. 

The reporter fails to mention that Loren is a knowledgeable electrical engineer and preferred to portray him as an uneducated rural farmer.  When Loren worries about GBE's interference with GPS, he's basing it on REAL studies and, more importantly, real experience using GPS systems to farm.  As if Loren's educated concerns can be alleviated altogether because the reporter managed to find a Canadian study that said there was no problem.  Neither the reporter or the Canadian study author will be in the cab with Loren when his GPS system is scrambled or temporarily disabled.

When Loren says that GBE could have been designed better, he's expressing an educated opinion.  Numerous other HVDC transmission lines have been proposed and built underground on existing road/rail rights-of-way.  Choosing to reject that and instead swallow a great, big mouthful of Invenergy's excuses for not burying its line demonstrates the reporter's bias and ignorance.  Grain Belt Express was planned more than a decade ago based on a bad idea for cheap, overhead lines across private property.  GBE has poured millions of dollars down the drain trying to force its cheap, overhead project on private landowners over the last 15 years.  At any time it could have stopped and investigated whether there was a better way to do things.  But it did not.  Perhaps if GBE had stopped throwing good money after bad 10 years ago, it could have used all the money it wasted on lawyers, lawsuits, environmental studies, experts, land acquisition, and buying advocacy to bury its line on existing rights-of-way instead.  Perhaps if it had, GBE would be built and in operation right now.

Instead, it's barely limping along a road so lengthy it cannot see the end.  GBE doesn't have county assents in Missouri, its Illinois permit is being appealed, it has not announced enough customers to pay for the line (and in fact doesn't even have permission to negotiate with customers), it has not secured its financing, it doesn't have all the land it needs, its interconnection has been delayed 3 years, and it's now facing competition from new transmission planned to be built by regional grid operator MISO.

Marilyn O'Bannon is one of the nicest, most thoughtful ladies I've ever met.  But she's not a pushover.  This brave lady didn't just complain when GBE showed up in Missouri, she stood up and fought for everyone.  She was instrumental in forming a landowner group, fully participating at every opportunity, and she pushed herself to leave no stone unturned in her quest for justice.  She went on to become a popular county commissioner, taking on a leadership role when people needed her most.

It doesn't matter what she was wearing, or what she was driving, or what various characters in the story ate for that matter.  The part about the Escalade was touching... but he forgot to mention that Marilyn intended to take him around the farm in a pick up, the vehicle of choice for just such an adventure.  However, when they got outside, they found all the pick ups were in use around the farm doing actual farm work.  She could have sent him packing, or cancelled the tour.  But instead, she took her 6-year old Escalade, used to go to town, not putter around the farm.  And for that, she gets slyly attacked, like she has no right to own or drive such a car while opposing GBE's invasion of her farm.  What  is she allowed to drive to become a sympathetic character in this story?  A totally inappropriate (and much more expensive) electric coupe?  The reporter, who may or many not even own a car of his own, had no idea why a farmer may have more than one vehicle, each for a different purpose. 

I found the focus on Marilyn's outfit downright creepy.  Five-pointed stars on her shirt?  What does that even mean?  Who cares?  The trucker's hat on the counter... was he sad it wasn't on her head to complete his irrational attack on her character?  I'd bet that reporter would covet just such a cap if a filthy rich corporation came to take his land, or his family's land, for its own profit.  Nobody knows what eminent domain feels like until it happens to them.  It's a devastating punch to the gut, not a slogan used to make ad hominem attacks on people unlucky enough to experience it.

The quotes attributed to Marilyn regarding climate change are manufactured, she claims.  Marilyn shared that she was recently contacted by a New Yorker "fact checker" to make sure the quotes in the story were correct.  Although she said they were not, it didn't matter.  They stayed in the story.  That's all we need to know to dismiss this article as a pre-planned hit piece.

At the end of the day though, nobody in rural Missouri reads The New Yorker.  It doesn't matter to them or their battle how they are perceived by eastern city dwellers.  What does matter is that Marilyn, Loren, and others graciously hosted a stranger and told their story honestly.  That the reporter couldn't accept it because it didn't fit with his pre-determined agenda is all on him.  Do unto others as you would have them do unto you.  It's a good way to live.
2 Comments

The Meaning of Collaboration

1/24/2024

0 Comments

 
What does "collaboration" mean?
Collaboration is a partnership; a union; the act of producing or making something together. Collaboration can take place between two people or many people, strangers or best friends. To collaborate is to commit to the possibility of producing an outcome greater than one that would be developed in a silo.
NextEra, one of the utilities assigned to build PJM's coal-fired transmission extension cord from West Virginia to the data centers has been bandying that word about, but I don't think they know what it actually means.  If they actually do know what the word means, then they must be intentionally rebuffing concerned citizens while pretending they are "collaborating."  Either way, it's disingenuous.  And it will be the root cause of future project delay... and ultimate failure.

MidAtlantic Resiliency Link partner NextEra has begun its "collaboration" with a shell of a website.  The website says:
The company’s goal is full transparency and collaboration with communities and stakeholders...
The website includes a form at the bottom if you "have questions."  This seems to be the only avenue for a concerned citizen to begin "collaborating" with NextEra.

​So, I did.
Have you considered a direct route from the new Woodside substation to Aspen in order to avoid all the opposition?  Yes or no?
This is what I'm talking about. 
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It's a conceptual point-to-point connection from coal-fired generators to data centers that has not been subject to the "routing" lens.  You can see a bigger version here on slide 41.  When routed directly from generator to load, this line does not cross Jefferson County, WV and does not require a new 500kV transmission line across Loudoun County.  So, is it even being considered?  Yes or No?

NextEra's reply sounded like it was written by a Magic 8 Ball.
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Thank you for your interest in the MidAtlantic Resiliency Link.  No route has been confirmed at this time. Any route that has been circulated at this stage is conceptual. We are in the process of developing a detailed routing study to evaluate route options. As part of this process, we will work with First Energy, the other transmission developer assigned a portion of the route, to identify a point of interconnection.  

Once again, we appreciate your engagement, and we look forward to working with you as the project progresses. Thank you.

Best regards
MARL Team members
MARL Team members?  How many were crowded around the keyboard typing that reply?
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Yes or no?  Can I get an answer here?  I tried again:
So, yes or no?

I didn’t order a word salad.

Is a direct route from Woodside to Aspen  even being considered?
And here's the reply from "the Team."
Thank you for your email. 

Yes, all options are being evaluated as part of the routing study. In general, the main goal of the routing study is to collaborate closely with local communities, stakeholders, regulators and landowners to identify a route that meets the technical specifications and economic needs of the project while avoiding or minimizing impacts on landowners, local communities and the natural environment.  At the same time, this project was selected by the regional grid operator to meet regional reliability needs and any final route must meet that criteria. Thank you.
​
Is that a yes?  I don't think so.  If the answer was simply "yes" then none of that other stuff was necessary.  So, this must mean the answer is actually "no"?  But our slippery "Team" can't actually "collaborate" with anyone to answer a very simple and basic question.  How is any "collaboration" happening when inquiries are met with total nonsense and local communities are being rebuffed from participating in the routing process?  

So, I tried one last time to appeal to "the Team's" strategic thinking (such as it may be):
​Dear “Team”,

You should have stopped at “yes,” unless the answer is actually no.  I still don’t know.  Are you looking at any routes that cross the Appalachian Trail further south than the current crossing?


Your latest word salad raises more questions than it answered.

1.  Who are the “stakeholders” if they are not local communities, regulators and landowners?

2.  What are the technical specifications of the project?

3.  What are the economic needs of the project?

4.  What are the “regional reliability needs” criteria of the route?

If your goal is to collaborate closely with local communities, you are not developing a good relationship with the communities if you cannot answer a simple question.  Trust is the most important factor in developing community relationships and it is severely lacking right now.  Keeping communities in the dark while you develop a route is not collaboration.  If you cannot provide clear and accurate information, impacted communities will get their information elsewhere, from people they can trust.

The “team” stuff is also off-putting to impacted communities.  Can’t you be a real, accountable person, instead of hiding behind a vague moniker like “team”?
Well, I guess I must have hurt "Team's" fee-fees because I haven't heard from them at all this week.
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I guess I'm going to have to "collaborate" with myself to answer my own questions.  No big deal, I've been doing this for more than 15 years now.

Who are the “stakeholders” if they are not local communities, regulators and landowners?

Perhaps they are greedy elected officials, lobbyists, the data centers, other corporations with tons of money, astroturf front groups, hired advocates, environmental and other special interest groups whose agenda can be directed with generous donations, and other entities nowhere near the proposed route.  Why would any of these "stakeholders" have an interest in the route of the project?  It's not going to be in their backyard.  In fact, they may only be "stakeholders" in order to make sure it doesn't end up impacting any of their own interests and, instead, impacts yours.
What are the technical specifications of the project?

I think the technical specifications of the project are to connect over 10,000MW of coal-fired electric generators in the Ohio Valley to data center alley via a new 500kV electric transmission project.  Of course, this has no correlation to routing... the project could go anywhere and still make the connection.  But it's supposed to sound official and you're not supposed to question a statement like this because you're supposed to be dumb.

​What are the economic needs of the project?

This one is easy!  Let's refer to PJM's Constructability and Financial Analysis Report for this project.  NextEra bid that it could complete MARL for $683.5M.  PJM's analysis of project cost put the project more in the neighborhood of $1.2B, a 30% increase.  But, hang onto your wallet... NextEra included a contingency budget of 14%.  NextEra also offered some cost control promises.  NextEra's Return on Equity is capped at 9.8%.  Its equity share is capped at 45%.  These numbers are important because the ROE is the amount of interest NextEra earns on the capital costs of MARL for the next 40 years while we slowly pay them back for the project (think mortgage, or car loan, where you finance a big purchase over time).  NextEra can only contribute 45% of project costs that will earn that 9.8% ROE, the other 55% of project costs will have to be debt, which we repay at its own interest rate.  NextEra offered a "soft cap" on its expenditures that promises any expenses that exceed the estimate earn no return at all -- 0%.  However, regardless of any of these provisions, NextEra's earnings cannot be lower than 7 or 7.5%.  Then NextEra promised a schedule guarantee that the project would be completed by its June 2027 deadline.  For each month the project is delayed past then, NextEra's ROE falls 2.5 basis points, with a maximum drop of 30 points.  What is a basis point?  100 of them make up 1 percent of the ROE.  Therefore, a 9.8% ROE contains 980 basis points.  

Wow, we're just going to be saving buckets of money here!  Or maybe not.  Anyhow, all this is relevant to know that NextEra must control its costs.  It cannot make any routing changes that increase its costs such as different routes, different structures, different land acquisition.  NextEra is also sensitive to staying on schedule.  If "collaborating" with you delays things, then your opinion doesn't matter.

What are the “regional reliability needs” criteria of the route?

This is pretty nonsensical.  Regional reliability needs are rooted in technical specifications and inservice date.  The "Team" is just repeating itself and trying to make it sound like something different.

Yesterday, I was reading a news article about MARL and I ran across the same ridiculous phrases that populated. my own email exchange with "the Team."  Maybe "the Team" is nothing more than an automated robot choosing from a list of approved phrases to respond to inquiries that are used by many big companies.  If so, is it programmed to "collaborate" or simply to pretend?

Do you trust NextEra?  I don't.  NextEra can't answer a simple question.  Much of what they said is meaningless gibberish.  Trust is first and foremost and NextEra has already blown it.  Of course, gaining the trust of a public that suspects NextEra wants to take their property and construct a huge transmission line on it is an uphill battle to begin with, but hiding behind "the Team" and refusing to answer a simple question with a straight up answer destroys whatever trust ever might have existed.  Get your information elsewhere.


True "collaboration" on developing a project route means that impacted communities should be participating in the route development and evaluation process.  However, they are not.  Instead, NextEra is developing the route all on its own, using its own criteria, and will only "collaborate" with the community to show them the finished route selections and accept their feedback.  None of the routes are proposed by impacted communities.  Impacted communities are estranged from NextEra's actual routing process.  This isn't "collaboration."  It's route consultation by fait accompli.

And that never works.  Impacted communities want to know what problem is being solved and to be active collaborators in developing the solution.  Keeping them in the dark until the route is selected is not "collaboration."  It's a route developed in a silo.  And it's a recipe for project delay and failure.

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More Media Propaganda

1/17/2024

1 Comment

 
You just can't trust the media these days.  Instead of impartially reporting the news anymore, many major media outlets are engaged in pushing the propaganda of energy companies and political goals.  Case in point:  This article about a solar farm in Michigan.

The "victim" in this article is a landowner who needed money and decided to lease her ground to a solar company.  Neighbors objected to the solar farm so local zoning got changed and the project was blocked.  Isn't that democracy at work?  The needs of the many trump the needs of the few.  Local governments have become ground zero for land use issues, and the voters drive acceptance or rejection.  But for some reason, the media presented the story to make the voters the bad guys and the few the "good guy."  Of course this isn't how democracy works, but somehow this anti-democratic rhetoric was championed in the name of "clean energy."  That is, the government should be allowed to dismiss the concerns of the voters if it's about a clean energy project.  There, the few rule supreme.  This is about huge multi-national corporations making money building things we may or may not need in our own communities.  We no longer have a voice in our local affairs.  The article touts policies in several states where state level government can overrule local government and direct land use in the locality.  Is this a good idea?  The article tries to make you think so, but if you extrapolate this out to things like data centers, Walmarts, and polluting factories, the supporters of state rule suddenly think it's not a good idea.  It's hypocrisy, plain and simple.

We are constantly told that rural areas must make a sacrifice to create and transmit "clean energy" for urban areas that don't want to put that stuff in their own community because... you guessed it... their voters object to that use of remaining open space.  How about a little empathy?  If you don't want it in your backyard, we don't want it in ours, either.  Urban areas are not "more special" where they can push energy impacts off onto less fortunate and politically-connected communities in order to save themselves.  This is the rich and politically powerful enslaving the rest of the country... so they can live well in their own communities and not give "those people" another thought.  Some of them tell themselves that "those people" like being their slaves and that they should be congratulated for giving "those people" an opportunity to "be heard."  What good is "being heard" when nobody listens?  Giving "those people" an opportunity to shout into an empty well before you run them over is not democracy.

When did our energy system stop becoming democratic?  It never actually was.  It was designed for benefit of corporations, and those corporations are still the ones who benefit.  Pretending that "everyone else" loves clean energy and transmission when it is sited on someone else's property, is not democracy, it's corporate-fueled mob rule.  And somehow rural property owners protecting the land that produces their income are the demons, the NIMBYs.

NIMBY stands for "Not In My Back Yard."  NIMBY is name-calling at its most basic level.  Calling opponents "NIMBYs" does not deal with their arguments in a logical way, it simply directs the reader to dismiss the NIMBY altogether and not listen to his arguments because they must be "selfish."  Who's the real selfish person here?  The person trying to protect himself from invasion, or the person doing the invading in order to protect himself from a similar invasion?  Corporations who stand to make big bucks exploiting rural landowners are quick with the NIMBY label.  They also try to shut down any NIMBY arguments by claiming they are "misinformation."  And they further demonize the NIMBYs by falsely claiming that they are organized and funded by corporations and mysterious "national organizations."  All this adds up to censorship of "those people" by turning them into unacceptable groups who are so extreme that they should not be allowed to speak out or object in any way to the invasion.

Case in point:  This article demonizing NIMBYs.  The author is a real jerk, pretending he's Mr. Science and is somehow figuring out NIMBY motivation.  Poor fella, he has no idea what motivates "NIMBYs" and never will until he actually becomes one himself.  You cannot truly know how another man feels until you walk a mile in his shoes.

He also doesn't get the reason why thousands of unaffected "YIMBYs" don't show up to shout down the NIMBYs, acting as his own personal army.  First of all, use of the term "YIMBY" -- YIMBY stands for "Yes In My Back Yard."  None of the proposed YIMBYs even have a back yard of their own if they're the proposed young and clueless climate protestors.  They are not accepting any sacrifice for themselves, just demanding that others make a sacrifice for them. YIMBY is not the proper word here.  Paid protestor is more apt.  It doesn't take a lifelong study of human nature to realize it is harder to whip up support for something than it is to whip up opposition.  The supporter simply doesn't care enough to go out of their way to support someone else's project.  However, the objector whose property and way of life is threatened will go to great lengths to protect himself.  The only way corporations have been successful in creating supporters is with good, old fashioned cash.  Paid advocates, whether they are handed cash, free dinners, or business favors, will go out of their way to provide support if the price is right.  They will also spread any misinformation they are handed.  They are part of national organizations.
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Despite all the biased media, we've yet to see rural landowners bow down to their wannabe urban masters.  Who do they think they're convincing with this hogwash?
1 Comment

The Big Transmission Lie

1/16/2024

1 Comment

 
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As part of the "energy transition" big green, big government, and the electric industry have been promoting an overwhelming need for new high-voltage electric transmission.  The message goes like this:  we need more transmission to move electricity from new renewable energy generators (solar and wind) to big cities that "demand" more renewable energy. 

That message is pure propaganda.

The "energy transition" is squeezing existing fossil fuel generators financially and many are shutting down.  This phenomenon is caused by federal taxpayer-funded subsidies for renewable generators and state/local energy policy that requires your electric company to cut its carbon to zero by a certain date.  Government policy has finally been successful in forcing the closure of fossil fuel electric generators.  Perhaps this is a good idea, environmentally, but it absolutely doesn't work to keep the lights on.

One of the biggest problems is that new renewable generators are not coming online in time to replace closing fossil fuel generators.  Instead, we just have less generation.  The liars point to regional interconnection queues to demonstrate that thousands of megawatts of wind and solar are waiting patiently to connect to the grid, and blame grid operators and utilities for holding up their connection.  Except this is just another lie.  Generators in the queue have not yet been built and may never be.  Vast numbers of generators drop out of the queue before constructing anything, even more now that the government has completely hosed up the supply chain.  

When big, baseload fossil fuel generators close, there is often nothing in the state or locality to replace them.  Regional grid operator PJM Interconnection is struggling to replace over 11,000 MW of closing generation.  The continuing closures keep pushing our electric grid further and further to the edge.  Closure of the last of Maryland's coal-fired electric generators causes widespread grid impacts that can destabilize the grid and cause power outages.  But does Maryland care?  Not really.  Maryland leaves replacing the retiring generation to PJM and other states.  Maryland is an energy parasite.  Maryland's energy policies are causing unreliable electricity for everyone in the region.

PJM is also struggling with a 40% increase in electric demand caused by Virginia's out-of-control approval of new data centers.  Data centers use incredible amounts of electricity that cannot be satisfied with variable forms of renewable energy like wind and solar.  Data centers need 24/7 on-demand electricity, even after dark and on calm days.  The capacity factors for renewables are much lower than fossil fuels.  While fossil fuel generators can stockpile fuel and be prepared to run when needed, renewable generators only run when nature makes their fuel available.  Therefore, you'd need many more renewables than fossil fuel generators to maintain reliable power.  The big lie pretends that if we only build transmission to connect everything then some renewable generator, somewhere, will be producing electricity.  But it won't be producing enough to replace everything else that isn't producing.  Pretending that is so is an unproven fantasy, and one we engage in at our own peril.  The cost of new generation and new transmission to connect it all is also going to make electric bills skyrocket.  The liars say that renewable generation is cheaper than fossil fuel generation, but they don't tell you that's because of government subsidies, and they also don't add in the cost of all that new transmission needed to connect all the renewables.  Unsubsidized remote renewables plus transmission is more expensive than existing fossil fuel generation that relies on existing transmission.  Fact.

This whole lie has been spoon fed to a trusting public for years.  But what happens when the largest grid planner in the country approves a new transmission expansion plan?  Is it connecting renewables to load using new transmission?

NO.

PJM's recently approved transmission plan replaces closing fossil fuel generators, and increases electric supply for new data centers, by connecting these areas with existing fossil fuel generators in other states.  This isn't about the "energy transition"; it's going backwards to increase the use of coal and other fossil fuels from states without impossible clean energy goals.

PJM's MidAtlantic Resiliency Link, or MARL, directly connects the data centers in Northern Virginia to over 10,000 MW of coal-fired generation.  The MARL will enable the export of electricity produced at Ft. Martin (1,100MW), Harrison (2,000MW), Long View (860 MW), Mitchell (1,600 MW), Cardinal (1,800 MW), Sammis (1,700 MW) and Mt. Storm (1,700 MW).  Wind, solar, biomass and hydro in this area add up to less than 10 MW.  It is indisputable that the electricity carried by MARL will be overwhelmingly created by burning coal.

When will the environmental groups and people who will use this new supply of dirty power wake up and object?  Transmission divorced from its source of power is a giant lie.

While Maryland sits around playing "victim" of its dwindling power supply, Virginia is planning a slew of new legislation supposed to make its data center problem "better."  However, none of Virginia's legislation addresses the REAL problem -- the generation of electricity.  Virginia's legislators try to pretend that electricity comes from new transmission lines.  
It would also require the SCC to evaluate current rate structures to see if transmission project costs linked to data centers are being fairly applied or are being spread too widely among the broader customer base.
“One of the benefits of data centers is how much money it brings to a locality,” Subramanyam said. “And we like that, but I also want to make sure that the infrastructure needed to power those data centers, that those costs are reasonable to ratepayers and are not essentially defeating that purpose of the data centers, which is to be an economic boon for a locality.”
Transmission lines are nothing but giant extension cords that are not plugged in.  It is only when the transmission line is connected to the generator that it supplies electricity.  Looking at transmission while ignoring where the line plugs in is also a giant lie based on denial.  Of course, it is a convenient lie for Virginians who want it all... they want the tax money data centers bring, but they don't want to host the infrastructure necessary for those data centers to operate.  Attempting to shift the cost of new interstate transmission is a tricky puzzle because interstate transmission rates are a federal issue.  While Virginia could direct its electric companies to allocate more costs of Virginia's portion of new transmission to certain rate classes, it cannot do a thing about all the transmission costs being allocated to the 13 other states in the PJM region.  As well, data centers most likely don't have their own rate class, so any shifting of costs would also impact other industries in Virginia.  This whole cost shifting thing is not solvable at the state level.  Virginia needs to stop lying to everyone and trying to have it all.

If Virginia really wanted to take responsibility for its data center problem, it would deny any new data centers that did not have a firm power supply from a Virginia generator.  Building new generation near the data center load is not only more reliable, but it's also cheaper than building hundreds of miles of new transmission to existing coal-fired power plants.  Does Virginia think those coal plants in other states are going to operate forever?  At some point, those aging plants are also going to close, and then what good is Virginia's extension cord when it's not plugged into anything?  Are we all being forced to sacrifice for a new transmission line that may only be useful for 10 years or so?  It's going to take more than 10 years to get it permitted and built!

Solution:  Require Virginia localities that want to approve new data centers to also approve new power generation to support that load in the same locality.  If that happened, data center building in Virginia would come to a screeching halt.  Virginia doesn't want to shoulder the burden of providing electricity to the data centers that are increasing its tax base.  Citizens of other states, such as West Virginia, want to carry your burdens even less.  Stop being a parasite, Virginia!

When you hear the word "transmission" remember that it is NOT for the "energy transition" and that it cannot be divorced from the power it transmits.  Virginia needs to own the fact that is is profiting off the misery of other states and increasing carbon emissions.  And it's not just the data centers that will be using coal power... everyone in Virginia will now be using a lot more coal power from West Virginia, courtesy of the new MARL transmission line.  Own it!
1 Comment

Maryland Clean Energy Plan Relies on Dirty Imports

1/7/2024

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Maryland has ambitious climate goals for 60% reduction of greenhouse gas emissions by 2031 relative to 2006 levels, and to attain a net-zero economy by 2045. Maryland’s plan, just like Virginia’s, can only apply to power generation within the state. Maryland is poised to eliminate coal generation within its borders with the upcoming shutdown of the last three remaining plants, Brandon Shores, Wagner and Warrior Run, already announced to happen in 2025.

​But does that eliminate Maryland’s reliance on coal to keep the lights on? No, it doesn’t. Maryland already imports more than 40% of the energy is uses from surrounding states. Maryland’s plan calls for significant new imports after all coal-fired generation in the state retires.
Imported electricity from surrounding PJM states makes up over half of the electricity demand in Maryland in 2031 and contributes to over 95% of the remaining emissions in the power sector. In this pathway, although Maryland achieves its renewable and clean energy targets for in-state generation, the rapid expansion of solar and wind from current levels in this scenario is not sufficient to meet the growth in electricity demand from end-use sectors and to make up for reductions in natural gas generation. This means that Maryland must also increase imports from other states.”
That’s right... in order to keep the lights on in Maryland, it must import staggering amounts of electricity from other states in the region, including West Virginia (91% coal) and Pennsylvania (predominately natural gas and nuclear). There’s no invisible barrier that prevents downwind emissions from Pennsylvania and West Virginia from fouling Maryland’s air. Maryland is a filthy parasite.
Maryland has historically dealt with its failure to build enough of the clean energy it loves by filing lawsuits to force the shut down of dirty generation in other states.
“The petition asks the EPA to issue a finding that 36 electric generating units located in Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia are in violation of the prohibition of 42 U.S.C. § 7410(a)(2)(D)(i), commonly referred to as the “good neighbor provision.” The petition alleges that nitrogen oxides emitted by these units significantly contribute to Maryland’s nonattainment, or interfere with its maintenance of certain National Ambient Air Quality Standards (“NAAQS”)”.
Maryland admits that it has no hope of building enough clean energy generators to power its own state. Why, then, does it continue to shut down power generators without a viable plan to replace them?

The generators are shutting down because of a settlement between Sierra Club and Talen Energy that was the result of a lawsuit. Neither Maryland, nor regional grid operator PJM Interconnection was party to the lawsuit. They just got left picking up the pieces to make sure the lights stay on. Maryland seems to be doing nothing except hoping for more solar, storage and offshore wind to offset a portion of Maryland’s energy deficiency. This is not realistic. Offshore wind has taken a beating recently. Maryland’s big project has recently been paused and is in danger of being cancelled. 

But Maryland chooses to bury its head in the sand and push its responsibility to keep the lights on to regional grid planner PJM Interconnection. It’s up to PJM to keep the lights on despite Maryland’s electric suicide plans. PJM employs the only tool it has... new transmission to Maryland from surrounding states with excess fossil fuel generation. PJM seems quite pissed about it too, judging from its recent letter defending against Maryland’s attacks on who will pay for the new transmission. 

And then you’ve got Sierra Club, jumping in to shift the blame and telling Maryland what PJM ought to do about the situation Sierra Club has created with its lawsuit against coal-fired generators. Sierra Club thinks PJM should just sit back and indulge in the fantasy that the lights will stay on because Sierra Club thinks they should. Sierra Club doesn’t have a realistic plan, but it doesn’t want to take any blame for what it has done. 

Who is running the state of Maryland? Elected representatives or Sierra Club? Meanwhile, electric rates will skyrocket and Maryland will be using more coal-fired electricity than ever. This isn’t an energy transition and it’s not helping the environment. In fact, Maryland seems to be going backwards, put pretending that is is “clean”.
Maryland, just like Virginia, is nothing more than a filthy parasite. But the parasitic “clean energy” policies of Maryland and Virginia aren’t just hurting Maryland and Virginia. The misery caused by their incoherent energy strategies is spreading to other states. West Virginia will mine more coal, burn more coal, and transmit more coal-fired electricity to Maryland and Virginia via new high-voltage electric transmission lines. New transmission lines take property from residents of other states using eminent domain in order to make way for the new lines. And that’s just the physical impacts, residents of other states will also have to pay for the new transmission because Maryland and Virginia’s parasitic energy policies threaten reliability of the entire PJM grid, stretching as far west as Chicago, and as far south as Tennessee.

We cannot continue on this way and package this disaster as a beneficial transition. When the rubber meets the road, state clean energy policies are destroying electric reliability and affordable electricity for everyone. 
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The Hypocrisy of Virginia's Clean Economy Act

1/4/2024

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I don’t hate clean energy. I’m all for it, if it works in an economic and equitable manner. But that’s not what’s happening. Clean energy has become a virtue signal, all talk and little action.  It's just words Virginia hides behind so its citizens think it's a "clean energy" state.  When the rubber meets the road however, Virginia is actually using more dirty energy than ever!

Virginia passed its Clean Economy Act in 2020. On its face, it sounds promising. It establishes a renewable portfolio standard that mandates that the two utilities in the state, Dominion Energy and Appalachian Electric Power, produce 100 percent renewable electricity by 2045 and 2050, respectively. It also established energy efficiency standards. It sounds like a great plan, but can they pull it off? 

In 2023, Dominion filed its Integrated Resource Plan, or IRP. An IRP is a utility plan for how it will meet anticipated electric load, and what resources the utility will use to keep the lights on. Dominion’s plan for future resources that comply with the VCEA and meet an unprecedented annual 5-7% increase in load created by the proliferation of new data centers in Northern Virginia consists of new solar and offshore wind additions, energy storage, and thousands of megawatts of incremental small modular nuclear reactors, or SMRs in order to retire all company-owned, carbon-emitting generation by the end of 2045. Dominion also plans to construct several new gas combustion turbines to address future energy system reliability needs. But that’s not all. Dominion also needs to increase its imports of electricity from other states to more than 10,000 MW. Dominion stated that this amount of imports “raises significant concerns about system reliability and energy independence, including over-reliance on out-of-state capacity to meet customer needs.”

Considering that one good-sized fossil fuel or nuclear power generator produces around 1,000 MW, that’s at least 10 electric plants in surrounding states that would exclusively serve Virginia’s needs. Virginia’s clean economy act is coming at the expense of the clean economies of surrounding states. Virginia’s law only concerns itself with power generation in Virginia, but in doing so, it places greater burdens on the surrounding states to power Virginia's economy. Virginia has turned itself into a power parasite – crowing about its clean energy economy while ignoring the fact that it is importing more and more dirty generation from other states in order to power that economy. There is no invisible barrier that keeps emissions from surrounding states from fouling Virginia’s air. Virginia’s “clean economy” is nothing but a virtue signal, and a very expensive one at that.

Would it be cleaner for Virginia to support its own load by building enough of its own new generation to meet VCEA, instead of importing dirty energy from surrounding states? Of course it would. But it would be much more expensive. Virginia’s clean virtue only extends as far as it can raise electric rates without killing its own economy. If Virginia really got 100% of its electric supply from non-emitting sources located within the state of Virginia, electricity would be so expensive that nobody would want to live or do business there. Instead, Virginia is virtue signaling and building its own economy at the expense of surrounding states.

Recently, the Virginia State Corporation Commission rejected Dominion’s IRP because the proposed new gas turbine generators failed to meet the standards of the VCEA. Dominion must come up with a new plan that does not build any new emitting generators. At what point does Virginia’s virtue signaling end and the real work of creating an actual clean economy begin?

Something has to change. Either Virginia has to build its own clean generation to serve its ever-increasing load and actually have a clean economy, or Virginia has to stop building the data centers that are creating that load. More transmission to import fossil fuel electricity from West Virginia to meet load is not the answer. 

It’s simply hypocrisy at the highest level. Virginia is not clean, despite its clean energy laws. It’s a filthy parasite feeding off the misery and ruined environments of neighboring states. At some point, those dirty plants in West Virginia will shut down. They’re getting older and more expensive to operate, and they’re getting squeezed by federal energy policy. If Virginia thinks that there will be more than 10,000 MW of generation available to import in 2045, it needs to think again. Shoving Virginia’s energy burden off onto neighboring states and thinking we won’t notice is not sustainable.

It’s up to you, Virginia. Clean or dirty? Energy freedom or filthy parasite? The choice is yours.  
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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