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What Makes The Grid Unreliable?

6/29/2022

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If you listen to an energy professional engaged in the business of supplying power to electric customers, this is making the grid unreliable.
“As we look to the future, we worry that federal and state policies, as well as market changes, are causing an imbalance of electric supply and demand that jeopardizes our ability to fulfill this commitment.”

“Put simply, this is because generation capacity has been reduced while peak demand is projected to increase—decreasing supply while increasing demand,” he said. “A concerning pattern is forming in which baseload generation such as natural gas, coal and nuclear energy is prematurely retired and then replaced primarily by intermittent generation like wind and solar.”

Got it.  We're closing power generators that can run any time they are called to run, 24/7, 365 (barring rare outages), and are replacing them with power generators that only run when it's sunny, or windy.  This makes the grid unreliable because these variable generators are not reliably producing electricity.

But if you listen to a reporter for a liberal city newspaper who most likely lets his political bias influence his reporting, this is making the grid unreliable.
But preventing outages is only getting harder as fossil fuel emissions heat the planet, extreme drought drains hydropower reservoirs and worsening wildfires disrupt power lines.
So, this news journalist says climate change is making the grid unreliable, and in order to stop climate change, we have to close more fossil fuel baseload generation and build more renewable generators.

Polar opposites.  But, who do you believe?  Is it really about politics?  Are all going to sit in our dark, hot houses some summer night in the not-too-distant future and make political arguments?

My bet is that the energy professional is correct, and the news reporter is peddling political misinformation.  However, the sad part is that the newspaperman really believes what he writes, and so do a lot of his friends.  So, let's apply a little logic to the journalist's presumption.

Climate change is caused by fossil fuel baseload generators.  In order to stop climate change, we need to shut them down.  We'll build more wind and solar to replace them, except wind and solar are not reliable. 

Therefore our grid is not reliable.

But we NEED it to be reliable!  Let's just keep building more and more and more and more and more wind and solar and if we overbuild it hundreds of times over and cover the planet with this crap and then something ought to be reliable, right?

How stupid does that sound?

Also, think about this... if we shut down all our baseload fossil fuel generators by 2030, will climate change be automatically solved the minute the last one closes?  Oh heck  no, we will have just moved ourselves back to the stone age and climate change will continue, just like before.  Before we go about willy nilly "transitioning" to new energy sources, we need to have replacement energy sources that are at least as reliable as the old ones.  We don't have that right now. 

But what we do have right now is a burgeoning reliability problem.  We need to fix that first and stop listening to political misinformation.  Maybe we could, if we repurposed all the money currently being wasted trying to make wind, solar, batteries, and transmission a reliable source of electricity and used it instead to develop new, reliable sources of energy (or maybe old ones re-imagined, such as nuclear ).  We need a new plan!
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Clean Line Is Less Popular Than Gonorrhea --  And Other Not-So-Funny Jokes

6/28/2022

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According to this article, Arkansas PSC Chairman Ted Thomas said that he'd rather have gonorrhea than the Plains and Eastern Clean Line.  Hardee-harr-harr.
Thomas said the failed 700-mile HVDC Clean Line transmission project from Oklahoma to Arkansas, which the U.S. Department of Energy agreed to support, “had higher negatives than gonorrhea.”
According to the same article, U.S. Department of Energy transmission facilitator Michelle Manary also thought making funny jokes about Plains & Eastern at some boring transmission "summit" was smart.
“We have battle scars from that,” joked Michelle L. Manary, acting deputy assistant secretary for DOE’s Energy Resilience Division.
Hardee-harr-harr, Michelle.  You're a bigger comedian than Ted.

Poor widdle Michelle has battle scars from fighting all those nasty landowners and their lawyers and elected representatives.  I'm so sad for her.
News flash for Michelle!  The other side also has battle scars after being treated like dirt under Michelle's big government boot.  They also have drained bank accounts, lost sleep, no free time, postponed plans for their properties, and a long period of their life filled with uncertainty and frustration.

And it all happened because the federal government acted politically to put its thumb on the scale for Clean Line.  In the end, it was all just a gigantic waste of time and money.

Once bitten, twice shy, Michelle?  What's she going to do with her new authority to act politically to put a thumb on the scale for merchant transmission?
To avoid that problem in the future, Manary said DOE will focus not on transmission corridors but on specific projects.

“It’s much easier to study a specific project,” she said. “And I think it’s easier also for the states and utilities to comment on it and coordinate and facilitate with it because they know what we’re talking about — not just a broad swath of land.”

But wasn't Plains & Eastern a specific transmission project?  One less popular than gonorrhea?  One that scarred everyone?  I guess Michelle's scars aren't so bad after all.

Hardee-harr-harr.  You two are about as funny as stepping in dog poo.


2 Comments

AEP's Turbine Got Floppy

6/23/2022

1 Comment

 
Remember when AEP decided to buy three different wind farms from Invenergy to make up for its failed WindCatcher fiasco?  The three wind farms were in a different place and therefore didn't need new transmission, said AEP.

However, next thing ya know, AEP "needed" a new transmission project to deal with all that capacity from its new wind farms. 

Even a third grader could have figured that one out.

But now Karma has arrived!  On Monday, one of AEP's brand new wind turbines simply collapsed.  Spontaneous decommissioning without a known cause.  See pictures and read the story here.

How much are ratepayers going to have to pay to fix that?  And is this merely the beginning of a plague of problems with this (and the other two) industrial wind installations?  Defective parts sometimes seem to affect the entire facility.

Will AEP's and Invenergy's bromance end up in court over this?
1 Comment

Your Pressure Worked!

6/23/2022

3 Comments

 
The U.S. Department of Energy has finally allowed the public comments on its Transmission Facilitation Program to be available to the public.

After DOE stated that it wasn't sure about making them public, you responded by filing comments asking for the comments to be publicly accessible.

And here they are.  Click on the "Browse All Comments" tab.

Just imagine what would have happened without your participation?

Now just because the comments are public doesn't mean they're easily accessible.  The regulations dot gov website is a hot mess.  It's not like you can just go down the list and download the comments... for some reason their order gets scrambled every time you download one.  It wasn't easy, but I managed to devise a way to download them all.

Haven't had time to read them yet though... except for one that I simply couldn't resist peeking at after downloading.  Invenergy seems pretty eager to get to the head of the chow line doling out capacity contracts.  Invenergy says it needs an iron clad 25 year contract that DOE cannot weasel out of in order to get projects financed, but it doesn't mention any projects by name.  And a bunch of other weasely stuff that I will write more about later.

What merchant transmission lines that need capacity contracts might Invenergy be talking about?

Please share any good comment finds you make in the comments.
3 Comments

Randolph County Commissioners Spill Truth About GBE

6/23/2022

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Here's a very well-written article about GBE's recent antics in Randolph County, Missouri.  Leave it to the local media to actually tell a little truth!

The first truth is that the amendments to Missouri eminent domain law made by the legislature this session aren't applicable to Grain Belt Express.  The legislature did NOTHING to protect these landowners.  It just tossed them under the bus to slow it down a bit for the rest of the traffic.
Missouri House Bill 2005 has been heralded as a win for farmers facing eminent domain from transmission line companies, but it won’t protect Randolph County farmers from the Grain Belt Express, Randolph County Commissioners said Monday.

But Commissioners John Truesdell, John Hobbs and John Tracy said the bill won’t affect eminent domain proceedings brought by Invenergy Transmission for its Grain Belt Express, a new long-distance transmission line in the works for the past 10 years.

The new law will not help farmers keep their land. “Grain Belt is not affected by this,” said Hobbs. “I, myself, say it’s hogwash. It’s not protecting the farmers on Grain Belt. It’s protecting the farmers for anything after Grain Belt.”

And maybe not even as good as Grain Belt... since GBE's permit requires the company to give condemned easements back to the landowners after 5 years in the event it does not have financing, while the new "protective" legislation allows 7 years.  Yeah, protect those landowners with new legislation!

The second truth is that merchant transmission owner Invenergy does not have enough customers for this project.  No customers, no revenue, no financing, no project.  (More on this in my next blog, you won't believe what's turned up!)
But Randolph County Commissioners say the company isn’t following normal procedure and has not contracted with local energy companies to provide energy at lower costs.

“You have to drop something of value in Missouri before you can do eminent domain,” Truesdell said. But the commissioners say they have yet to hear of any local utility company that has contracted with Grain Belt to move their product.

“I haven’t heard from the county coop that we’re going to get any energy,” Hobbs said.
There also aren't any local jobs or other benefits.
Ivenergy says Grain Belt Express will play a major role in economic recovery and growth in the Midwest by delivering thousands of jobs, billions of dollars in energy savings, and tens of millions of dollars for local communities and landowners.

Randolph County Commissioners say they haven’t seen any contracts or data that make them believe that.
The Commissioners also share about Invenergy beginning construction work without proof of financing, something its PSC permit prohibits.
The company also has to have a financial plan, which it doesn’t have, said Truesdell. “We have a lot of red flags in Randolph County.”
Though the company doesn’t have permission from Randolph County, it has started construction off Highway 3, Truesdell said. “It’s how they do business.”
Randolph County filed a moratorium to stop work until Grain Belt complies with all regulations, said Truesdell.
“They went in and did some dirt work,” said Hobbs. The landowners signed a contract with the company.
Invenergy is literally trying to bulldoze its way through Missouri, even though it cannot construct anything in Kansas or Illinois.  What's the point?  Who builds a transmission line that doesn't connect with anything on either end?

Maybe it's this kind of company...
“They didn’t act like any other utility company we’ve ever dealt with,” said Truesdell in May. The company struggles with communication; one hand doesn’t know what the other is doing, he said.
A little over two years ago, Grain Belt was supposed to come visit with the commissioners, said Truesdell. It never did. The company has to have approval from the county to begin construction, which it doesn’t have, he said.

It's all a very precarious house of cards.
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The Government Wants To Designate Your Property As A Renewable Energy Zone

6/22/2022

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The federal government has no authority over electric generators, except for hydroelectric facilities.  Instead, authority over building new generators is an affair of state and local governments.  But the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission wants to interfere by designating "resource zones"  for building renewable generators (industrial scale wind and solar installations).  FERC has no legal authority to do so -- it's overreach of the most egregious kind.

Over the last couple of years, FERC has issued several notices of a proposed rulemaking entitled "Building for the Future Through Electric Regional Transmission Planning and Cost Allocation and Generator Interconnection".  That's word salad for building a whole bunch of new transmission for the purpose of connecting renewable energy installations around the country.  Who says we need a whole bunch of new generation and transmission?  There isn't a real reason, it's just about pushing the green agenda.  Build it and they will come.

Except they won't.  Who is going to buy all this renewable energy?  Is it the utilities whose current generation has been shut down and may be facing blackouts?  That's a false narrative.  Current generation shortages stem from the intermittent nature of wind and solar.  It cannot be depended on to generate when needed.  Wind and solar only generate when nature produces their fuel.  Build a lot of wind and solar, price fossil fuel generators out of the market so they shut down, and suddenly you have shortages at the most inopportune times... like during extreme heat or cold.  Some geniuses believe they can import electricity from other regions when that happens.  Except those regions with excess generation are fossil fuel heavy.  What happens when all regions overbuild renewables and we're at "net zero"?  There's nobody to borrow from.  Then the lights go out.  This is a future train wreck from which we may never recover.

FERC is ignoring the train whistle in the distance, preferring to believe that if they force the building of enough new electric transmission, all the borrowing can happen between renewable generators.  To this end, FERC wants to encourage the building of new renewable generators by building new transmission to newly designated "resource zones".

What are "resource zones"?  In FERCenese, they are "geographic zones that have the potential for the development of large amounts of new generation, particularly renewable resources."  The designation is to be made by a FERC-jurisdictional regional transmission planner, after considering the following:
  1. Assess geographic zones that have the potential for the development of large amounts of new generation, particularly renewable resources. 
  2. Use best available data, including atmospheric, meteorological, geophysical, and other surveys, to identify geographic zones with potential for development of large amounts of new generation.
  3. Identify known siting, permitting, or other anticipated development challenges or opportunities associated with the draft geographic zones.
  4. Assess generation developers’ commercial interest in developing generation within each designated geographic zone.
  5. Consider a generation developer’s leasing agreements with landowners within the zone.
  6. Consider a generation developer’s power purchase agreements with a credit-worthy counterparty associated with generation within the zone.
Where do you come in, little zonal landowner?  The planner is going to seek "stakeholder comment" where you will be able to voice your opinion.  FERC proposes to require "public utility transmission providers in each transmission planning region post on their OASIS or other public websites maps of the designated geographic zones and information related to the designation of those zones." 

OASIS?
No, not those guys.

Maybe this?
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No, not that either. 

OASIS is an acronym that stands for Open Access Same-Time Information Systems used by the electric industry that provide information about available transmission capability for point-to-point service and a process for requesting transmission service on a non-discriminatory basis. OASIS enables transmission providers and transmission customers to communicate requests and responses to buy and sell available transmission capacity offered under the Open Access Transmission Tariff.

Say what?  You've never been to this oasis, and you're likely to spend years wandering through the desert before you find it, if ever.

FERC thinks "relevant federal and state siting authorities" and transmission and generation builders are the only "stakeholders" who shall be involved in commenting on a proposed zone.  You landowners at ground zero are not invited to the party.  Neither are your local governments, who have authority over zoning restrictions for siting new industrial electric generation facilities.  As folks on the ground have found over the years, zoning restrictions are what makes or breaks the siting of new generators. 

So, what happens when FERC and its preferred "stakeholders" designate a zone that the local government shuts down through restrictions or moratoriums?  There is no authority for these entities to override local government siting requirements, however, the zone designation requires regional transmission planners to plan and build new electric transmission to the zone in order to enable the generators that cannot be sited or built.  In that instance, the zone will be the desert where no generation oasis can be located.  We will have paid to build a literal road to nowhere.

Poor planning, FERC.  Get your head out of the sand.  Building transmission to zones that do not want to live in industrial energy generation facilities is pure fantasy.

Do you want the federal government to designate a "zone" to build industrial electric generation plants in your neighborhood?  Feel free to comment.  Comment deadline has been extended through August 17, although Federal Register has not yet caught up with that.  You may also upload your comments to FERC directly.  Instructions are here.

Tell FERC you don't want a zone in your backyard, community, or county.
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Dragging DOE's Dracula Into The Sunshine

6/14/2022

2 Comments

 
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Sunlight is the best disinfectant.  This quote's origin is murky, but its meaning is not.  A democratic government cannot operate in secret.  A government must be transparent to its citizens.  A government works for its citizens.  A government has no money of its own but collects the money it spends from its citizens.  There is never a good reason for a government to withhold information from the citizens it governs.

But yet the U.S. Department of Energy took a week to make a decision whether or not to publicly publish the more than 80 comments it received on its proposed rules/requirements for its new, taxpayer-funded Transmission Facilitation Program.

If you thought allowing the government to give 2.5 billion of your tax dollars to for-profit corporations owned by the political elite could be a bad idea... it's about to get a whole lot worse.

Noting that the DOE docket for TFP comments did not have the feature to browse submitted comments turned on, and being notified that
Your comment has been sent for review. This process is dependent on agency public submission policies/procedures and processing times. Once the agency has posted your comment, you may view it on Regulations.gov using your Comment Tracking Number.
I emailed [email protected] to ask when comments would be publicly available.  I initially was told that they did not know if comments would be posted.  What?  What reason would there be to hide them?

Just today I was told that DOE had decided to make the comments available on the regulations.gov website.  However (there's always a fly in DOE's ointment) the comments would first have to be "reviewed" for personally identifiable information and "they need to be made 508 compliant."  DOE has no idea how long this may take.  I'm still waiting to see comments from a webinar last month that DOE promised would be posted.  *crickets*  It seems that this "review" and "compliance" is just an excuse to avoid posting comments while appearing to be open to the idea.

Don't tell me that the federal government's slicky regulations.gov website cannot perform this function but that the task must be manually performed by agency employees.  I'm not buying it.  This is nothing more than a bogus excuse to avoid transparency.

Even though DOE can't manage to publicly post comments, some of the commenters can manage to post their own comments on the web without all this bogus "review."

Such as RTO/ISO comments available here.
And PJM's specific comments available here.

The online comment receptacle says 86 comments were submitted before the deadline last night.  But yet you can't read any of them on regulations.gov, even your own.

Considering that DOE is poised to give away $2.5B of your hard-earned dollars to connected rich people to "facilitate" a bunch of new transmission we don't want or need, you'd think there should be a little sunshine within the program.  You'd think that the proposed application requirements and review criteria would be public information requiring independent evaluation.  Remember Solyndra?

Instead, DOE is keeping the comments of the potential recipients of your tax dollars hidden.  It's just the transmission merchants and the DOE employees.  No taxpayers or other commenters need to be involved.  In fact, if they don't post the comments, they could just delete yours with one click.

The inmates are running the asylum.

Drain the swamp.

Drag Dracula into the sunshine.

Who do these entitled little bureaucrats think they are?

If you want to help drag DOE Dracula into the sunshine, let them know you want to see the comments by emailing [email protected].
2 Comments

I Told DOE What I Think... So Should You!

6/9/2022

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I just submitted my comments on DOE's "Transmission Facilitation Program."  The government website doesn't promise that it will make all the comments available (and transparent).  That is up to the agency.  Since my comments might end up propping up a desk with a broken leg at DOE headquarters, who knows, I thought I'd also publish them here.  Now they are available for everyone to read because I love transparency. 

Have you submitted YOUR comments yet?  It's quick and easy!
DOE’s Transmission Facilitation Program is a ship adrift without a compass. In its NOI/RFI, DOE makes several references to the “objectives” of the program with reference to the IIJA (Section 40106(j)(8)). This is a list of “considerations” for selecting projects, not a list of objectives for the TFP. Some of the “considerations”
are nothing more than meaningless word salad, such as: 1) will improve the resiliency and reliability of an electric power transmission system; 2) facilitate interregional transfer capacity that supports strong and equitable economic growth; and (3) contribute to national or subnational goals to lower electricity sector greenhouse gas emissions. There’s no way for DOE to accurately and objectively determine whether projects meet these considerations. What is “strong and equitable economic growth” and what expertise does DOE have evaluating the economy? It appears that the whole program is subjective, made-up, discombobulated meddling in the transmission planning and rates authority of the
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.
If FERC is in charge of electric transmission planning through its jurisdictional planning authorities, what authority or expertise does DOE have to plan “economic”
transmission, and how might DOE’s actions interfere or conflict with FERC’s authority to control transmission planning? Likewise, how do DOE’s financial giveaways to merchant transmission companies interfere or conflict with FERC’s negotiated rate authority for merchant transmission, which depends on market forces to keep rates in check in exchange for little regulation? At its webinar, DOE personnel claimed they were consulting with FERC, however that consultation is not being done in a transparent manner. At the very least, DOE needs to explore how its actions affect planning and rates under FERC’s jurisdiction through a transparent, official rulemaking. We need to know who is in charge of what, and how the “whole of government” process will work.
It was chilling to hear over and over again during the webinar how closely DOE is already working with transmission developers to design the system whereby it will hand over taxpayer funds to these for-profit companies. DOE must pull itself out of the swamp to ensure that its actions under this program are transparent and aboveboard.    Remember Solyndra? DOE’s current approach to this program does not serve electric consumers. The electric consumer taxpayers DOE is supposed to be serving have been completely ignored in favor of playing political footsie with elite, connected, commercial developers.
In Question 2, DOE asks what information it should seek from applicants to evaluate host community benefits, environmental justice, and also makes reference elsewhere in the RFI to community engagement and outreach. DOE states, “The description of community and stakeholder engagement should include concerns
raises (sic), issues resolved in writing, and issues outstanding.” However, DOE proposes getting all its information about community benefits, outreach, engagement, and issues from the developer in the application process. The developer is NOT an unbiased source of information and DOES NOT speak for affected communities. DOE must perform public “listening tours” and/or public hearings in host communities, where project information is presented and the public itself can inform DOE about its concerns. This is the only way DOE is going to get the truth about community engagement: by engaging with the community.
Anything less than true community engagement is self-serving fabrication. DOE must meaningfully consult with communities and landowners affected by its actions
before the project receives TFP benefits. Justice begins when every person has a voice.
Also in Question 2, DOE asks: “To what extent should DOE consider additionality of outcome on these dimensions?” This word salad makes no sense to real people outside the D.C. political bubble. “Additionality” is not a word in my dictionary. I hereby request that DOE revise and reissue the portions of its RFI that are written in millennial trendy-speak so that the rest of America can understand what it is asking.
DOE can do much better using plain language, but creating cryptic and subjective word puzzles is being used to avoid clear rules and definition. For instance, what does this statement mean? “Facilitate interregional transfer capacity that supports strong and equitable economic growth.” Where has it been determined that
expanded interregional transfer capacity grows the economy? While it may boost the economy of a location that exports energy, it harms the economy of a location
that imports energy, instead of producing its own. This is an unproven statement turned into an “objective”. It is building transmission for the sake of building transmission and then pretending that it provides some benefit.
Transmission planning is not a DOE responsibility. FERC’s regional planning entities are the only experts. Asking a transmission developer to provide “evidence demonstrating that the proposed project is consistent with regional transmission plans and priorities” without consulting the actual regional planning authorities is more self-serving wordsmithing. DOE must require a review and independent report of the jurisdictional planning authority to make this determination.
DOE also proposes that the developer provide it with an estimate of the project’s timeline when it files an application. DOE says that projects for its first solicitation
must “be in commercial operation by December 31, 2027.” Five years or less to complete a transmission project is extremely unrealistic and the developer’s time
line is nothing more than hopes and dreams. All above-ground, greenfield transmission projects will be vehemently opposed by affected landowners and host
communities and will therefore face regulatory and legal delays. DOE must cancel its agreements and payments to a transmission project that does not meet its
operational deadline, or there’s no point in having one in the first instance. Perhaps DOE should set more realistic deadlines. 2027 is not going to happen.
Question 8 is another application requirement that is likely to be completely concocted by the applicant. Determining that “the eligible project is unlikely to be
constructed in as timely a manner or with as much transmission capacity in the absence of facilitation” provided by the TFP is like asking what color tails unicorns would have if they were real. It is impossible to determine how, or even if, TFP participation would be effective in forcing construction of unneeded transmission projects, or if it would simply act as a burr under the saddle of state utility commissions to deny approval of a TFP project. It doesn’t seem like DOE has done anything to consult with the state regulators who decide whether transmission projects are beneficial for consumers.
DOE proposes that it will receive all information on which it bases its decision from the entity that will receive the benefit. This is an open invitation for the applicant to
mislead DOE, such as occurred with Solyndra. DOE absolutely must get more of its required information from impartial sources.
Question 12 asks: “What equity, energy and environmental justice concerns or priorities are most relevant for the TFP? How can these concerns or priorities be addressed in TFP implementation?” If the TFP is truly about facilitating the timely construction of needed transmission, the DOE’s biggest concern should be requiring program projects to eliminate burdensome impacts on host landowners and surrounding communities. Rebuilding existing lines to increase their capacity, and siting new lines on existing rail and road rights of way is an innovative and workable plan to effectively mitigate impacts and neutralize opposition. Buried transmission also eliminates impacts. A buried transmission line on existing rail rights of way would not inspire delaying opposition. All of this is now technologically and financially feasible and is being used by merchant transmission developers. Landowners and communities are not fooled by platitudes and fake
mitigation, much less bribes to local elected officials to look the other way. The only way to prevent costly, delaying opposition is to not cause any impacts at all. DOE should require TFP projects to be sited on existing rights of way and buried, eliminating a need for eminent domain. Otherwise, DOE is simply spinning its wheels and wasting taxpayer funds.
It appears that DOE has learned absolutely nothing from its failed Section 1222 Clean Line Energy Partners “participation”. After many years, and many millions,
spent trying to assist a merchant transmission developer to obtain private property using federal eminent domain, the project collapsed under its own weight when it
couldn’t find any customers. Even if DOE takes the additional step of becoming the missing “customer” this time around, it won’t solve the merchant transmission
problem. The only successful merchant transmission projects are the ones that have committed customers before being built. Speculative merchant transmission
without committed customers is a demonstrated failure. Load-serving entities do not want to import generation from other states or regions when they could use
local resources just as cheaply. As regulated entities, it is about cost. It’s also about buying the milk instead of owning the cow. Regulated public utilities would rather
build and own their own transmission and generation assets that earn a return than
pay to use the assets of other companies. There is simply no incentive here for new customers to sign merchant transmission capacity contracts.
During the May 26 webinar, DOE personnel claimed that capacity contracts were not just for merchant transmission. Except that’s not true at all. Only merchant
transmission uses capacity contracts. Traditional transmission is cost-allocated to captive ratepayers.
Although not in DOE’s area of expertise or jurisdiction, it is imperative that DOE educate itself on the concept of utility regulation if it is going to be successful administering this program. Regulation takes the place of competitive markets to ensure just and reasonable rates in a monopoly environment. Regulated public utilities building traditional, cost-allocated, regionally-planned, transmission projects are unlikely to participate in the TFP. It is clear to anyone in the industry that the TFP was designed to give unfair advantage to unregulated, unplanned, unneeded, unfunded merchant transmission projects.
What is merchant transmission? It is a market-based concept, where instead of cost-of-service rates set by regulators in a monopoly situation, the project competes
with others to attract voluntary customers who negotiate market-based rates with the project owner. There can be no captive customers for merchant transmission,
and competition between customers is the mechanism that keeps the rates just and reasonable. The merchant can only charge as much as the market for its product
allows.
Merchant transmission must receive negotiated rate authority from FERC in order to negotiate with voluntary customers to sell its capacity. In evaluating negotiated
rate applications, FERC employs a four-factor analysis to examine: (1) the justness and reasonableness of the rates; (2) the potential for undue discrimination; (3) the
potential for undue preference, including affiliate preference; and (4) regional reliability and operational efficiency requirements. In examining the justness and
reasonableness of the rates, FERC considers whether the merchant transmission developer has assumed the full market risk for the cost of constructing its proposed project and is not building within the footprint of the developer’s (or an affiliate’s) traditionally-regulated system. In such a case, there are no captive customers who would be required to pay the costs of the project. The Commission also considers whether the developer or an affiliate already owns transmission facilities in the
region where the project is to be located, what alternatives customers have, whether the developer is capable of erecting any barriers to entry among competitors, and whether the developer would have any incentive to withhold capacity. The IIJA requires DOE to purchase up to 50% of the capacity of a qualifying merchant project, even though DOE will not use the capacity to transmit energy. DOE is not a voluntary customer, but a customer of last resort, who is captive to assume the market risk of the project. Participating TFP transmission projects are neither traditional cost-of-service projects, nor market-based merchant projects, but something else entirely that must be regulated to ensure just and reasonable rates under the FPA. After the IIJA removed the market-based framework by requiring DOE to fund merchant projects, there is no longer a mechanism to keep rates in check. The merchant can charge whatever it wants, and if DOE is the only customer it must pay the rate demanded. DOE will certainly pay a higher rate than a voluntary customer competing with others for service. Therefore, the merchant projects funded by DOE do not qualify for negotiated rate authority from FERC, but must be regulated in some fashion. In response to RFI question 11, this requires a formal rulemaking at the Commission.
DOE must also consider market power when evaluating TFP applicants. This requires an independent analysis, or report, and should be verified by regional transmission organizations and/or market monitors. Also, DOE should prohibit private, generation tie line projects from participating in the TFP program. All eligible projects must offer their full capacity to all using negotiated rates.
In response to question 13, a “market analysis” prepared by a transmission developer seeking to receive funding so that it doesn’t have to compete in an actual market is inherently suspect. Instead, DOE must do its own research in actual markets to determine whether the expected customers actually need the generation and transmission service DOE would be “facilitating.” It’s not enough to recite political platitudes about interregional transmission and decreasing greenhouse gases, it’s about matching offered generation with customer need. If there are no customers, then the transmission is not needed. Just because generation is offered does not mean remote customers are forced to buy it. Load-serving entities are perfectly capable of doing their own analysis to decide which generation and transmission capacity would be economic and needed by their customers. Even the TFP cannot force customers to buy unwanted generation or transmission capacity.
If there was an actual, competitive market for the capacity of a TFP project, then it wouldn’t need funding in the first place. Only a merchant transmission project
without customers would find the program useful to build transmission for which there is no market, and no customers. The project would be a literal road to nowhere, used by no one, not delivering power anywhere, but funded by American taxpayers. It’s a mind-bogglingly bad idea!
The IIJA and DOE seem to believe that the TFP will “encourage” voluntary customers for merchant transmission. We’re not painting Tom Sawyer’s fence here. Just because DOE purchases transmission capacity that no one else wants does not mean that everyone will suddenly want it due to some weird, new form of government peer pressure. If customers want to purchase capacity on a merchant transmission project, they will purchase it directly from the developer after determining that the service is financially beneficial to their customers. The financial equation for the customer will not change because of DOE’s purchase, unless DOE plans to sell the service for less than it paid in order to subsidize customers who take unwanted, unused capacity off its hands. It does not appear that such a plan would meet the statutory obligations of the IIJA, which requires DOE to replenish the TFP fund on a rolling basis. Selling capacity at a loss will eventually deplete the fund in its entirety.
In response to question 19, there is no way to “encourage” someone to buy something they passed up the first time it was offered unless it is offered at a lower
price or given away for free, neither of which fits the statute in question.
In response to question 25, yes, DOE should require a TFP project to already have signed contracts equivalent to the percentage of capacity it is seeking to have the
DOE purchase. Under no circumstances should DOE be the only customer, or the customer purchasing the most capacity of a project. When a developer resorts to
having DOE fund its project with capacity contracts that indicates that there is no market interest in the project and DOE will be unlikely to unload its capacity on voluntary customers in the future.
When DOE signs a capacity contract for up to 40 years of non-service “service”, it must reserve the full contract price to be set aside from the TFP fund so that DOE
does not later renege on its contract if it signs multiple contracts it does not have the funds to support. Signing multiple contracts under the presumption that one or
more would sell to others and replenish the fund before future capacity payments are due on other projects is, at its most basic level, a pyramid scheme. DOE should not use taxpayer funds to run a pyramid scheme.
In response to question 26, the TFP project must pay back DOE first before enriching itself with other capacity contracts. Any contracts signed after DOE commits should sell DOE’s capacity first.
In response to question 27, DOE could include a timeline in its capacity contract that requires the TFP project to sell a certain percentage of DOE’s capacity per year in
order to continue the contract. If a project is unable to sell any additional capacity after contracting with DOE, this would provide an exit provision for DOE instead of
depleting the fund for 40 years paying for a road to nowhere.
In response to question 28, how would DOE even know if it was receiving a more favorable rate than other customers if it was the first (and only) mover? Without any other contracts negotiated to use as comparison, it is impossible to determine. In addition, requiring all other customers to pay a higher rate than DOE could doom the project to never finding additional customers if DOE likely contracted at a rate that was too high in the first place. There is no way for DOE to determine that the rate it negotiates is competitive, and this is why these merchant-variants must be regulated.
DOE is a contract patsy that will be used to prop up unneeded merchant transmission. DOE’s TFP is set up for failure by sticking the taxpayers with the bill for a 40-year contract because DOE is a poor, captive, politically-motivated negotiator. The fund will quickly be depreciated and never replenished.
Question 22 contemplates that DOE will be signing capacity contracts before a merchant transmission project begins commercial operation. In that instance,
payment should not commence until the project is in service. Nobody would pay for service it is not receiving. In addition, the contract should contain an escape clause
for DOE if the project fails to receive state or other permits in a timely fashion. DOE must not be obligated to making payments for 40 years on a transmission project that is never constructed.
Knowing that the TFP program is nothing more than a gift to merchant transmission developers who want to monetize gold plated (but unneeded) projects, DOE should be wary of funding the lifestyles of the rich and famous, well-connected elite who lobbied for this program, instead of facilitating used and useful transmission. In the interest of equity and justice, projects should be evaluated on the basis of financial need and funds awarded first to deserving minority-owned businesses. The TFP is not to provide funds for the elite to live high on the hog while “developing” unneeded merchant transmission. An investigation of the finances of the company and its investors should be carried out as part of DOE’s evaluation. DOE may have forgotten the largess of Solyndra, but the American taxpayers have not. We don’t need a repeat of robots that whistled Disney tunes, spa-like showers with liquidcrystal displays of the water temperature, and glass-walled conference rooms. How is the company spending taxpayer dollars, and more importantly, who is spending taxpayer dollars? Initial investigation shall be followed by yearly audits.
Speaking of Solyndra, DOE is headed to a new Solyndra of five fold proportions. The unverified, applicant supplied information DOE proposes it will use as the basis for its evaluation is ripe for false and misleading statements. In fact, DOE’s RFI actively encourages applicant companies to embellish and create a world of fantasy. DOE completely failed to use due diligence to verify information on Solyndra’s application and was politically influenced to look the other way while rubber
stamping the applications of connected individuals. When comparing the lessons of Solyndra to the way DOE has handled the TFP program so far, the parallels are stunning. DOE should absolutely re-study the lessons of Solyndra so that the same mistakes don’t get made a second time.
DOE’s Transmission Facilitation Program is a merchant transmission developer buffet of epic proportions that enables certain connected individuals to fill their pockets with taxpayer funds. I don’t believe any beneficial transmission will come of it. It’s just another gigantic waste of hardworking Americans’ tax dollars.
Quote from DOE’s Solyndra investigation:
“While not the focus of the investigation, we were mindful of the concerns that had been raised regarding possible political pressure applied in the Solyndra decisionmaking process. Employees acknowledged that they felt tremendous pressure, in general, to process loan guarantee applications. They suggested the pressure was based on the significant interest in the program from Department leadership, the Administration, Congress, and the applicants.”
https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2015/08/f26/11-0078-I.pdf
DOE must design the TFP so that this does not happen again. So far, DOE has failed the American taxpayer completely.

Build it and they will come only works in Hollywood.


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Grain Belt Express Seeks to Push Costs onto Kansas and Missouri

6/8/2022

1 Comment

 
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Remember the good old days when Clean Line Energy Partners promised the state regulatory commissions that it would not recover its costs from Kansans and Missourians?  CLEP thought it was a negotiated rate merchant transmission project where only its voluntary, contracted customers would pay for the project.

Those days are over.  New owner Invenergy has been begging the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission to create a new revenue stream for GBE from captive regional electric ratepayers.  This means that electric customers that will receive no benefit from GBE would end up paying for a portion of it.

Why?  Apparently Invenergy "needs" this additional revenue because it doesn't have anywhere near enough customers for GBE to support the financing of the project.  Invenergy wants FERC to create new "products" that GBE can supply, such as "standby" emergency service to supply energy in an emergency.  By "standby" they mean they need to be paid to stand by in case of emergency and promise to commandeer capacity from their paying customers to serve some future "emergency" that may or may not occur.  GBE proposes:
...large, merchant interregional HVDC transmission lines that, although in non-emergencies are contractually dedicated to the interregional delivery of a pool of renewable resources to more distant loads, can nonetheless also be made available should explicitly designated contingencies arise such that the power from these different capacity sources can then be available to help mitigate the designated contingency -- even where such delivery could require the power to flow in the opposite direction from that called for in the usual schedules. For example, the GBX Line could have in place arrangements in advance that would allow any of the regional transmission systems to override its dispatch for a period of time so that the GBX Line could be dedicated to addressing contingencies when they arise. It will be important that these arrangements allow such transmission systems to relax the interconnection and/or
injection limits that may have been authorized for normal operations. For example, if the
prevailing dispatch would deliver Midwestern power to Eastern markets, there must be
arrangements in place to ensure that when necessary to schedule power in the opposite
direction, such Midwestern transmission system is not constrained from receiving such power based on interconnection or injection limits that might be in place during non-
contingencies.
In other words, GBE wants to sell capacity attached to a string so that it can pull back when it wants to. 
Indeed, assuming the GBX Line was subscribed to its full capacity (approximately 4,000 MW), had only a fourth of its subscribers agreed in advance to be curtailed if required for certain emergencies, an additional 1,000 MW would have been available to the system operator to alleviate the shortages in local capacity resulting from the storm.
Gosh, I wonder who would reap the rewards of emergency use?  Would it be the contracted customers, or would it be Invenergy?  What customer would sign up to use this line with the knowledge that it can be shut off at any point in time?  Grain Belt Express cannot be relied upon to meet customer energy needs.  What happens if two "emergencies" (or just one wide-spread one) occur at the same time?  Who has priority over capacity?  Which emergency is more severe?  Which one pays the most to Invenergy?  Yup, this is all just crazy talk.

GBE also tells FERC that it needs these things:
Grain Belt Express requests that the Commission initiate a study to value the reliability benefits that interregional merchant transmission lines will provide and develop a template of the types of tariff-based arrangements that the Commission would accept. The Commission should direct regional markets to: (1) establish products or services to capture those reliability and resilience benefits; (2) develop specific methodologies to place a value on these services; (3) confirm that transmission systems will be allowed to relax interconnection and/or injection limits for deliveries from interregional merchant transmission lines during system emergency conditions; (4) direct system planners to account for and adequately value interregional merchant transmission in planning efforts; and (5) when accounting for interregional merchant transmission in planning, properly allocate network upgrades required to integrate and interconnect interregional HVDC lines, consistent with beneficiary pays cost allocation principles.
Translation:
1)  Pay GBE for "reliability and resilience" benefits that it provides but that the paying ratepayers don't actually need (because if they were needed, the regional planners would order the upgrades and the costs would be paid by everyone in the region).  GBE proposes that all ratepayers in up to three planning regions (SPP, MISO and PJM) that span 2/3 of the continental U.S. pay these charges although they aren't GBE customers and don't get any benefit from the project.
2)  Find a way to create a regional rate scheme for GBE.
3)  Allow GBE to take over control of the grid when there's an emergency in order to inject more power.  Safety limits be damned.
4)  Include GBE in regional transmission plans, even though the regional planning authority doesn't find a need for the project.  If they can shoehorn it in the plan, next they'll claim regional ratepayers have to pay for it, too.
5)  Don't make GBE pay to interconnect its project to the transmission system.  Instead, make captive regional electric consumers foot the bill for GBE's connections.  When a new generator or merchant transmission line wants to connect to the existing grid, studies must be done to ensure that the new connection won't overload the grid and cause outages.  Any upgrades necessary to the grid to support the new connection become the financial responsibility of the interconnection customer (GBE).  GBE wants to upset that now and make captive customers pay those upgrades, claiming they somehow get some "benefit" although they are not customers of the project.

The long and short of it is that GBE is trying to get captive electric consumers in Kansas and Missouri to pay for a portion of its merchant transmission project that will benefit voluntary customers in other states or regions.  All promises to state utility commissions that GBE won't charge its project to in-state consumers are now void.  But why should the consumers of Kansas and Missouri pay for an electric transmission line that does nothing but burden them?

But wait... there's more!  In a different recent FERC comment, Invenergy shares the latest news on GBE:
"Many regions lack clear and consistent rules for the interconnection of transmission lines.
For instance, MISO currently allocates all transmission interconnection upgrade costs entirely to the customer, but may allocate a portion of those same upgrades to load if they were identified within the generator interconnection process, and some regions (i.e., SPP) have no applicable rules that govern injection from such lines. Grain Belt Express has experienced this first hand in developing an approximately 800-mile, 4,000 MW high voltage direct current transmission line that will interconnect in and carry power to and from the SPP, MISO and PJM regions. But its development is complicated by the lack of any consistent rules governing its interconnections in the different regions. And further complicating the process, MISO has refused to include Grain Belt Express’ interconnection positions as assumptions in the base case models and studies for its long-range transmission planning initiative (“LRTP”), which is intended to identify and address issues looking 10-20 years into the future. This refusal to account for the expected injections and withdrawals of an advanced-stage merchant transmission project not only complicates Grain Belt Express’ own development, it means that MISO’s LRTP results may themselves be flawed and inefficient.”
So while GBE is moseying around Kansas, Missouri and Illinois telling people it is "wrapping up" its pre-construction activities and needs to condemn and take private property in a big ol' hurry so it can get started, the truth is that Invenergy can't connect its project.  Its development is "complicated" by interconnection requirements.  It is literally a road to nowhere right now.

Have a good long look, everyone, at the stuff that Invenergy hoped you wouldn't see.
1 Comment

Whistling Robots and Spa Showers:  Solyndra 2.0 Begins

6/6/2022

3 Comments

 
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Remember Solyndra?  I mean really remember... how the U.S. Department of Energy gave away more than half a billion of your taxpayer dollars to a for-profit company that lived large for several years before defaulting on the "loan" it had received?    Perhaps we could all use a refresher, now that the DOE is poised to give away another 2.5 billion of your hard-earned taxpayer dollars to a handful of elite rich guys who want to live large on it while it lasts... perhaps for the next 40 years.

Here's a good refresher article....
The glass-and-metal building that Solyndra began erecting alongside Interstate 880 in Fremont in September 2009 was something Silicon Valley hadn’t seen in years: a new factory.

It wasn’t just any factory. When it was completed at an estimated cost of $733 million, including proceeds from a $535 million U.S. loan guarantee, it covered 300,000 square feet, the equivalent of five football fields. It had robots that whistled Disney tunes, spa-like showers with liquid-crystal displays of the water temperature, and glass-walled conference rooms.

“The new building is like the Taj Mahal,” said John Pierce, 54, a San Jose resident who worked as a facilities manager at Solyndra.

But it turned out that the company had puffed itself up on its DOE loan application and that it didn't have enough future revenue to pay off the loan.  It declared bankruptcy and its owners whistled Disney tunes off into the sunset.  No harm, no foul.  Worse than that, the government functionaries who furthered this scam also received no punishment.  The DOE Inspector General's report revealed just how much malarkey was going on, but ultimately nothing was done about it.
We also found that the Department’s due diligence efforts were less than fully effective. At various points during the loan guarantee process, Solyndra officials provided certain information to the Department that, had it been considered more closely, would have cast doubt on the accuracy of certain of Solyndra’s prior representations. In these instances, the Department missed opportunities to detect and resolve indicators that portions of the data provided by Solyndra were unreliable. In the end, however, the actions of the Solyndra officials were at the heart of this matter, and they effectively undermined the Department’s efforts to manage the loan guarantee process. In so doing, they placed more than $500 million in U.S. taxpayers’ funds in jeopardy. 
So why wasn't there due diligence at the DOE?
While not the focus of the investigation, we were mindful of the concerns that had been raised regarding possible political pressure applied in the Solyndra decision-making process. Employees acknowledged that they felt tremendous pressure, in general, to process loan guarantee applications. They suggested the pressure was based on the significant interest in the program from Department leadership, the Administration, Congress, and the applicants.
Well, guess what?  That same pressure is being used again to push new loans and revenue guarantees for speculative merchant transmission projects.  DOE has apparently learned NOTHING from Solyndra and its employees are having a grand time playing footsie with merchant transmission developers while sitting on a fresh pile of taxpayer money.  Your money!

The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, passed by a bipartisan vote last year is now being implemented by the good political drones at DOE.  The IIJA gave DOE $2.5 Billion for its new Transmission Facilitation Program.  The "program" makes available new loans, public-private partnerships where the government kicks in some of your money to fund for-profit merchant transmission, and capacity contracts for new merchant transmission.  DOE seemed pretend surprised at a recent webinar that the only provision of the program that anyone is interested in is the capacity contracts.

The DOE has authority to sign capacity contracts with new transmission projects.  The capacity contract will purchase room on the transmission project to transmit electricity, however DOE doesn't serve any electric customers and has no use for it.  It will simply pay for something it will never use.  This purchase is supposed to inspire others to also buy capacity on the transmission project.  However, if these others had any use for the capacity, they could purchase it themselves without DOE involvement.  The problem is that nobody wants to purchase capacity on speculative merchant transmission projects.  DOE is likely to be the only "customer" propping up an unused and unneeded road to nowhere... through your backyard and productive agricultural property.

A merchant transmission project, first and foremost, must accept all financial risk for its unneeded, speculative project.  There can be no captive customers.  A successful merchant may negotiate rates with voluntary customers who may find its project useful.  But what if nobody finds it useful?  Then it fails, and the merchant loses his investment.  But, not anymore.... the federal government is going to step in to financially prop it up using your money.  This means we're going to suffer a lot more greedy merchants, stuffed egos with childish hairdos who belong to the elite political party in power.  These new elite rulers will spend their capacity contract money however they like... ugly orange offices with pictures of dead rock stars, renovated fire houses, and a lavish lifestyle on a fat salary playing transmission make-believe.

Does all this make you furious?  It should.  Michael Skelly's next transmission brain fart will be perpetrated on your dime.  Fortunately, you can tell DOE what you think about their new Transmission Facilitation Program during a public comment period that only runs until June 13.  Submitting a comment is quick and easy using this online form (click the little blue "comment" box at the top).  You can even make your comment anonymous. 

Have at it, folks!  Maybe Skelly's new robots will come programmed with a funeral dirge for his new ideas.
3 Comments

    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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