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Transmission "Community Benefits" Don't Help Impacted Communities

10/24/2023

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I've written a lot about the new pot of money the DOE was granted by Congress that is supposed to provide "benefits" to communities impacted by the construction and operation of new transmission lines.

​Now here's this... a new proposal to do the exact same thing from some clueless congresscritter, and backed up by some lovely astroturf.
Protect Our Winters, a group formed to safeguard outdoor recreation from the effects of climate change, is advocating a draft bill that would increase fees on Energy Department loans for transmission lines, with the new revenues going for infrastructure projects in communities where the new lines are built.

In doing so, the group is hoping to dispel a “not in my backyard” mentality that has been common in some rural communities, where transmission lines were seen as detriments to the aesthetics of the wilderness frequented by skiers, climbers and outdoor enthusiasts.

The group’s staff, along with outdoor athletes, are seeking support for the draft they partnered on with Rep. Ann McLane Kuster, D-N.H., hoping that it will garner bicameral, bipartisan support when it’s formally introduced. The group came to Washington last week to drum up support.
First of all, who do you think paid for this D.C. party?  Do you think the "athletes" paid for it out of their own pockets?  I doubt it.  There's someone behind this who paid for the whole party, probably a someone who would benefit financially if this legislation is passed.  That's how astroturf works.  The corporate interests behind the scheme fund all sorts of free parties for anyone who will participate.  The participants rarely know anything about what they are "supporting", they're just there for the party to make it look as if "regular people" support the idea.  Has anyone actually asked a community impacted by the construction and operation of new transmission if they would drop their "NIMBY" opposition if there was some new infrastructure somewhere nearby?  Of course not, because this idea does not work!  It didn't work before, and it's not going to work now.  It's just a waste of money.

Do these gladhanders think that the actual people affected by new transmission won't continue to speak up for themselves and make their concerns clear?  As if they can be smothered into silence by a bunch of puppets pretending they are "helping" the community?

This new legislation shouldn't even see the light of day.  It has zero chance of ever being passed.

Meanwhile, the U.S. Department of Energy has extended its deadline to apply for the current "Economic Development Grants" for communities impacted by the construction and operation of new transmission projects.  Probably not because they got so many applications, more like they didn't receive any worthwhile applications and are hoping if they extend the deadline some will magically appear.

The problem with these "community benefit" bribe payments is that the "community" impacted by a new transmission line is narrow and linear.  It never coincides with a traditional cluster "community."  Only those persons who are forced into hosting a new transmission lines, and those living very nearby, are actually affected or impacted.  This linear community doesn't need economic development and it would be impossible to site anything like that in the affected linear community.  The impacted landowners are the ones who oppose new transmission and prevent projects from being built.  They will not be affected one bit by the offering of community benefit bribes.  They just want the transmission to go somewhere else... like buried on existing rights-of-way, such as highway or rail.

Landowners directly impacted by new transmission must receive just compensation for property taken from them to site a new transmission line.  Nearby communities do not share in the compensation, and that's because they have not had something taken from them.  It is outrageous to suggest that people who have made no sacrifice get paid for the sacrifice of others.  There's going to be a hard day of reckoning for this at some point in the future.

So, back to the DOE mess.  I asked DOE how it defines a "community affected by the construction and operation of a new transmission line."  Here's the (non)answers I received:
I saw and heard many statements today that a grant project must “be connected to”, “nearby”, or “have a nexus to” a transmission project.  In order to determine if applying for funding is even worthwhile, I need to have this explained.
  1. DOE has not specifically defined a geographic distance from the project for eligibility purposes.  We anticipate that each project may differ in its scope and impact, therefore we have requested that each applicant should explain how their proposed project is eligible for support under this program. In addition, please note that the merit review criteria listed in the FOA at Section V states that applications for economic development activities will be assessed in part based on, “The extent and clarity of the connection described in the Application between the proposed activities and economic development benefits in communities that are likely to be impacted by a covered transmission project.”

How will “communities that may be affected by the construction and operation of a covered transmission project” be defined for eligibility purposes?  How far from the centerline of the transmission project does such a community extend?
  1. As we anticipate that impacts may vary by project and by community, DOE has requested Applicants for Area of Interest 2 address how the project will promote economic development in areas that may be affected by the construction and operation of a covered transmission project. See Section IV.E.iii of the FOA.

What is considered an “affect” of construction and operation of the project?
  1. For an understanding of how grants will be awarded, please refer to the merit review criteria for Area of Interest 1 (siting and permitting) and Area of Interest 2 (economic development) listed in the FOA at Section V. You may also refer to the “Standards for Application Evaluation” and “Other Selection Factors” including “Program Policy Factors” that are also referenced in Section V of the FOA. 

How will an economic development grant be expected to speed up siting and permitting?
  1. While the funds associated with an economic development grant can only be disbursed once either the siting authority has approved the covered transmission project (if the applicant is a siting authority) or construction has commenced (if the applicant is a state, local, or Tribal governmental entity other than a siting authority), DOE may select awardees for economic development grants prior to a decision to site and permit the relevant transmission project and obligate federal funds for such awardees.  To the extent that the activities, if awarded, would accelerate transmission siting timelines and/or increase the chance that a transmission project would be developed, DOE will consider that as part of the established Merit Review Criteria.
DOE has no criteria to determine whether the applicant for the funds is actually "affected by the construction and operation of a transmission project" as directed by the enabling statute.  DOE is simply going to make it up based on the applications it receives in order to give the money away.  What's going to happen when these awards end up in court?  The money is going to be clawed back, that's what, unless it is only given to "communities" affected by the construction and operation of the transmission project.

Such a complete waste of time!  But that's not stopping Representative Kuster from being a good puppet and adding to this illogical give away.
Kuster, a member of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, noted in a statement that the U.S. may need to triple energy transmission capacity by 2050 to meet the target of net-zero carbon emissions by bringing more renewable electricity generation on line.

“In order to make that a reality, we must ensure that communities where transmission projects will be built are excited to host these lines,” Kuster said.  “By securing tangible benefits for the towns and cities that host these projects, like new schools, roads, or outdoor recreation facilities, in addition to improved electricity reliability, this legislation will help build support for transmission projects across the country.”
"Excited"?  They're going to be so "excited" that they show up on her front lawn in the middle of the night armed with torches and pitchforks!

And you know what the best part is going to be?  The "athletes" in the crowd who thought the party was such a good idea when it didn't affect them, but ended up with a new transmission line in one of the places they hold dear.  NIMBY happens to everyone, as soon as the party is over.
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Electric Subsidies Destroy Markets and Upend Long Standing Ratemaking Tenets

10/24/2023

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Washington D.C. is in love with your tax dollars.  It is on a spending spree to see how fast it can spend them, perhaps even faster than you make them, plunging our country into even more debt than future taxpayers can dig their way out of.  But there's another reason to stop the subsidies -- they are destroying the electricity markets we depend on to keep the rates we pay for service just and reasonable.

Check out this thoughtful piece from the Cato Institute, The Inflation Reduction Act Could Turn Electricity Markets into Subsidy Clearinghouses.
The piece starts out with a quote from FERC Commissioner James Danley:
“There’s been this move afoot in which markets have become something closer to a mechanism by which to harvest … subsidies, rather than what they were intended to do, which is ensure least cost dispatch of available resources and to incentivize new investment.”
The article warns,
For the most part, RTOs have embraced the goal of economic efficiency for the past 23 years (since Order No. 2000). However, some RTOs have begun to include the “clean‐​energy transition” and “environmentally sustainable power system” in their mission statements. Advocates of economic efficiency should be concerned that the IRA will push RTOs further into a new era in which the goal of economic efficiency is secondary to environmental goals or ignored entirely.
Also the goal of reliability, which is increasingly imperiled by the retirement of baseload generators before replacement renewables come on line.  It doesn't take an energy market expert to realize that if you reduce the supply of electricity, prices will increase and there won't be enough to go around.  The rule of supply and demand is one we all learned in elementary school.

Renewable energy subsidies create negative pricing in electric markets, where the generator is paid less than it costs to produce the electricity.  But contrary to ordinary logic, these generators seemingly operating at a loss continue to thrive.  Why?  Subsidies.  Often the subsidies are greater than the price of power in the market, allowing a generator to sell its electricity for less than it cost to produce and still make a profit.  
The value of the PTC today is $27.50 per megawatt‐​hour. In the price contour map above, several of the indicated hubs were trading below that amount (in the range of $25–26 per megawatt‐​hour). Again, in most other industries, a federal subsidy larger than the price of the commodity would be unimaginable—people familiar with the industry would sound alarms about the distorting effects of large subsidies. People would be justified in losing their temper, for example, if Congress implemented a new federal subsidy of $70–90 per barrel of crude oil produced in the United States (the going rate over the last year or so). With subsidies larger than the commodity price, will RTOs trade as much (or more) in federal subsidies as they do in electricity?
Fossil fuel generators cannot play this game because they do not receive subsidies.  They cannot offer their generation at below cost for long, instead they shut down, go out of business, and stop providing electricity to the market.  Fossil fuel provides 60% of our current electric supply, and in some areas the average is much higher (for instance, here in WV our supply of electricity generated by coal is north of 90%).
Coal and natural gas are dispatchable generation resources that presently provide 60 percent of our electricity. They are also essential if grid operators are to maintain reliability. Subsidies for intermittent generation will lead to the retirement or bankruptcy of dispatchable resources, which will not only create challenges in maintaining grid reliability but will open the door for subsidies for dispatchable resources (whether or not they are truly needed for reliability). Such a subsidy spiral could be endless and could pit federal subsidies in the IRA against state subsidies for preferred resources, all paid for by American taxpayers or electricity customers one way or another.
The solution is to stop the subsidies. The author of this piece admits, 
Counting the many reasons to repeal the energy subsidies in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) has become my favorite activity.
Me, too!  But my reasons are rooted in the long-standing regulatory and ratemaking principles that are being trashed by the new subsidies.  Last week, the U.S. DOE announced it was giving away $3.5 Billion of your tax dollars to various utilities to "upgrade" our supposedly failing electric grid and bring 35 gigawatts of "clean" electricity online.   

First of all, I have to state that our grid is not failing, or "creaking", as the propagandists perpetuate.  We have numerous reliability organizations working continuously to ensure our grid is reliable.  It's nowhere near as fragile as the misinformation tries to lead you to believe.  It's the world's largest machine, there when you need it nearly 100% of the time.  The propagandists are simply attacking the grid's reliability because they want YOU to think it's about to fail so you won't mind paying an outrageous electric bill for new transmission solely for the purpose of connecting new wind and solar generators in out of the way places.  Current rules require the new generator to pay for the cost of transmission to connect with the existing system.  The propagandists want to shift that to electric consumers so it doesn't eat up any of the generator's subsidies.  In fact, the propagandists are even subsidizing transmission now, as last week's give-away proves.

Our utility system is based on "beneficiary pays".  That means that we all pay our own way in our utility bills.  We pay to build and maintain the system from which we receive service.  Everyone pays for the system they use.  This ensures rates for service are just and reasonable and that we are not forced to pay for a system that benefits others and not us.  This is how we pay for electric transmission in this country.  Transmission is not paid for by taxes, as some folks wrongly believe.  It is paid for by ratepayers... the customers who use the system.  If you don't use the system, you don't pay for it, even though you still pay taxes for other governmental services you may or may not use.  For example, I pay for the electric system that brings power to my house here in West Virginia.  I do not pay for the electric system that brings power to Gavin Newsome's house in California because I receive no benefit from it.

But think a bit about the DOE's giveaway last week.  It's billions of taxpayer dollars being doled out to certain lucky communities to expand and improve the electric system that serves them.  Now I am paying not just for my own system, but the 58 systems in 44 states that I don't use.  And what about those people in those lucky systems?  They are getting a free lunch courtesy of our tax dollars.  There's a reason their electric systems did not make these improvements and expansions that will now be paid for by federal largesse!  If these improvements were needed and cost effective, the local electric system would make them and add the costs to the beneficiary bills.  However they did not, possibly because the economics of the improvements did not pencil out.  Perhaps they cost more to build than they would provide in benefits.  But, hey, no worries, the local systems can afford them now because they have been subsidized by taxpayers all over the nation who will never draw any benefits from the improvements!

We've got a huge problem in Washington, D.C.  We have a bunch of clueless elected officials being directed by a bunch of clueless lobbyists who don't have the foggiest idea how electricity markets or utility ratemaking operates.  Congress has run amuck.  It no longer listens to the geeks and nerds who run and regulate the utility system, it only listens to the lobbyist named Johnny Subsidyseed, who is dumber than a box of rocks.  As a result, our existing utility system is slowly being eroded.  There's your real "creaky" problem.  It's not the grid, it's Johnny Subsidyseed working for greedy corporations who don't care if they destroy the system as long as they can fill their pockets.

We've got to get Johnny Subsidyseed out of Washington before the lights go out!
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Nobody Asked Me

9/7/2023

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...and I'm betting nobody asked you either, but Big Green has now proclaimed that
If care is taken to make sure that host communities benefit in the short and long term from the energy projects in their backyards, they will be less inclined to oppose them, leading to faster timelines for clean energy and transmission projects. 
Of course, this is a baseless statement.  There has never been a transmission project where "communities" received so much benefit that they dropped their opposition (or never started opposition in the first place).

Nevertheless, these Big Green blowhards are courting Congress to pass more legislation greasing new transmission, wind and solar projects.  And they're pretending they speak for impacted landowners.  Their bold new plan has been issued as another tedious "report".

The report says the craziest stuff, like:
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Community opposition to large-scale wind and solar projects is growing across the United States. There are many reasons for this trend, including misinformation about renewable energy, concerns about project impacts, and concern that most of the benefits flow outside of the community while the burdens fall within. Communities often see hosting renewable energy projects and transmission (which touches multiple communities) as an impediment to their goals, such as preserving community identity, land preservation, and in some cases ensuring ecosystem conservation. While some landowners see these projects as a potential source of revenue from leases, others worry that the projects will reduce the value of their land. Finally, in many communities, while there may be both supporters and opponents of clean energy projects, the opponents are often more vocal, better resourced, and more passionate than the supporters. Because of all these factors, an alarming number of communities are adopting restrictive zoning and land use ordinances that effectively ban the siting of clean energy projects.

​This rise in opposition highlights the importance of ensuring that developers and local officials disseminate accurate information about potential projects and that the permitting process allows engagement from a broad range of voices so that decision-makers can accurately assess the environmental impacts as well as benefits of projects. Furthermore, it is important to ensure that host communities share in the benefits of projects in their own backyards.
Misinformation you say?  All the misinformation is coming from project developers and proponents.  Nobody trusts them because they are in hot pursuit of the almighty dollar, not local interests.  The "information deficit" ploy has never worked.  Minds are never changed no matter how much nonsense the developers spew.  We're not stupid, uninformed bumpkins that just need to be "educated."  Is this going to become a free speech issue where "misinformation" is outlawed and the developers are judge, jury and executioner of misinformation?

We're NOT better resourced than deep-pocketed developers.  We're just speaking the truth.  Truth still matters in rural communities.
Several states, including New York, California, Illinois, and Washington, have enacted laws that improve the siting process for large-scale renewable projects and provide potentially powerful models for similar legislation in other states. Among other things, these laws modernize the permitting process and explicitly provide benefits to host communities via mechanisms like utility bill discounts. States should be encouraged to adopt model siting and permitting laws that expand community engagement while limiting the ability of localities to unreasonably ban all wind and solar projects.
The LAST thing rural states want is to be like California or any of those other states.  We live here for a reason... because it's NOT California.

But the best part of this idiotic paragraph is the statement that we can EXPAND community engagement while LIMITING the actions the communities can take.  That's not engaging the communities... it's oppression.
​Bringing communities from opposition to support—or at least to open-mindedness—is a major challenge to renewable energy growth that needs sustained effort, engagement, and thought. Our recommendations provide a starting point.
And also an ending point because rural communities aren't going to fall for any of your B.S.  It is IMPOSSIBLE to undo opposition to big energy projects that benefit far away cities.  Build your own power plant in your own backyard, you sanctimonious morons.
Coalitions should work together to build support for well-sited projects that benefit the host community. In cases where developers have done their due diligence as outlined in the preceding recommendations, environmental and conservation groups, labor groups, local landowners and businesses, and other stakeholders—including, where relevant, environmental justice and tribal groups—should form coalitions and work together to support the project. A key part of this support should be highlighting the community benefit agreements, payments in lieu of taxes or other mechanisms for benefit sharing, the creation of local jobs, and addressing other ways to compensate local landowners for any perceived or actual diminution in property values.
Coalitions of the unaffected?  Utilities have been trying this for decades without success.  These coalitions have always been outed for the greedy, paid off schills that they are.  We don't need these idiots to advocate for "benefits" for us because these "benefits" are really for them.  There is no benefit that can outweigh having a new transmission line in your back yard or across your prime farmland.  What these coalitions actually try to do is simply outshout community opposition and collect benefits for themselves.  It's a tactic that never works.  Regulators aren't stupid, you know, and they've seen this a thousand times.

This new report is complete garbage.  However it has now been made crystal clear exactly which idiots are writing all the new clean energy legislation.  It's not your elected representatives.  It's private interests.
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Can Our Government Bribe Transmission Into Existence?

2/25/2023

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There's still time to let your government know that even $760M of your hard earned dollars cannot buy a speedy path for new transmission rights of way across your property.  You can submit your comments by following the instructions here.
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The baboons in Congress heard a lobbyist whisper that throwing money at a problem could solve it, and that the reason why transmission wasn't getting built is because state regulatory processes were slowing things down.  The lobbyists also told their pet apes that landowners affected by new transmission who form opposition that slows down and cancels transmission proposals can be bought off with "economic development" projects that compensate someone else without any skin in the game.  Of course, the primates didn't bother to actually consult with state regulators or transmission opponents to see if any of this was remotely true.  Congress simply appropriated a stunning $760M to throw at this problem in the inaptly named "Inflation Reduction Act."  Does spending more money on useless ideas actually reduce inflation?  Hasn't happened yet.

Now the U.S. Department of Energy wants to know our thoughts on how they should give away all this money as "grants" to "siting authorities" to make transmission permitting happen faster and easier.

I told them what I think.
doe_transmission_bribes.pdf
File Size: 135 kb
File Type: pdf
Download File

Let me sum it up for you: 
Those who are actually affected by a covered transmission project will not stop opposing and delaying that project because the federal government bought fake support from unaffected groups or individuals. Purchased fake support does not fool regulators. It doesn’t fool anyone in the community, either. It will only fool the fools in D.C. who purchase it.
What an incredible waste of our money!
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FERC Engages in Political and Special Interest Narrative Building

12/17/2022

2 Comments

 
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At the end of the week, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission issued a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking entitled, "Applications for Permits to Site Interstate Electric Transmission Facilities."  Yes, it's just what it sounds like.  FERC is developing rules for applying for a federal permit from the agency.  This was made possible by last year's "Bipartisan Infrastructure Act" that gave FERC permission to issue a permit for interstate transmission in the event that a state denied one.  FERC's new rules are going to guide the process for a transmission developer to usurp state authority and use federal eminent domain to site a new transmission line on your property.

The NOPR itself contains a plethora of really awful ideas, and your job is to comment on them and advocate for something different.  Yes, it's a federal agency and you may find that daunting, but ultimately you are the one who is going to have to live within these rules so don't give up your only opportunity to say your piece.

One of FERC's absolutely ABSURD ideas is to allow a developer to engage in a pre-application process at FERC at the same time as it is engaged in a state application process for the project.  FERC reasons:
"The purpose of the pre-filing process is to facilitate maximum participation from all stakeholders to provide them with an opportunity to present their views and recommendations with respect to the environmental impacts of the facilities early in the planning stages of the proposed facilities."
FERC thinks you have nothing better to do than "participate" in its permitting process while you are also engaged in a state permitting process.  Double your time, double your effort, double your money!  And while we're doubling things here, it also costs the transmission developer double their costs to participate in two different permitting processes at the same time.  In many RTO-planned, cost allocated transmission projects, ratepayers (that's you) pick up the tab for all the permitting costs.  So this double permitting process costs you double!  The epitome of waste here is that if the transmission project is approved by the state (which it is in a vast number of instances) then the FERC permitting process becomes completely unnecessary!   Instead, FERC should sit back and wait until a state either approves or denies a project before giving transmission developers the green light to proceed with the FERC application.  It should wait until it knows whether the FERC process is even necessary before spending all that time and money on it.  FERC has not given a plausible reason for having to run these two permitting processes simultaneously.

Another FERC brain fart is titled "Eminent Domain Authority and Applicant Efforts to Engage with Landowners and Other Stakeholders."  This proposed rule governs how the applicant will "engage" with you.  FERC suggests:
...an applicant may demonstrate that it has met the statutory good faith efforts standard by complying with an Applicant Code of Conduct in its communications with affected landowners.
FERC purports that if a transmission developer files a "Code of Conduct" and promises to abide by it, then so it shall.  There is no enforcement, no investigation, no public forum to keep the developer honest.  FERC just takes the developer's word for it that you are treated well and that you will be all aboard for the transmission project if you are only "engaged with" early on.  We all know that transmission developer "codes" are not worth the paper they are written on.  They are nothing but a fig leaf.  There is no place to report a violation of the "code" and absolutely no enforcement of it.  This is utter garbage and serves no useful purpose.  If FERC needs to ensure that landowners are treated fairly, it needs to roll up its sleeves and get its hands dirty actually engaging with the public in an effort to keep the developer honest.

There's also some "environmental justice" box checking going on here.  An applicant must provide an Environmental Justice Public Engagement Plan.  This plan requires the developer to "meaningfully engage with potentially affected environmental justice communities."  What is an environmental justice community?
...the term “environmental justice community” includes disadvantaged communities that have been historically marginalized and overburdened by pollution. The term also includes, but may not be limited to, minority populations, low-income populations, or indigenous peoples.
These communities are rarely found along transmission routes in rural areas that all the interstate transmission projects traverse.  Despite the word "justice", it is not dispensed equally to all persons.  Are you an environmental justice community if you already have a transmission line or two (or a gas or oil pipeline, or a highway, or other visually polluting infrastructure) sited across your property?  We should definitely find out because they don't have a real definition here.

Perhaps the best part of this train wreck are the "concurrences" of Commissioners Danly and Christie that are attached at the end of the document.  Despite voting for this rulemaking, they both manage to find ways to criticize it.

Commissioner Danly wonders:
... whether the proposed rule constitutes good policy, such as, for example, whether it will be beneficial in determining whether to site electric transmission projects when the states have not done so, or whether the rule will tend to ensure almost nothing is ever sited.
But Commissioner Christie sums it up like this:
State regulators are much better prepared to deal with that myriad of local concerns, including concerns over routing and costs, than FERC. Furthermore, state processes are far more convenient and user-friendly than processes at FERC, if for no other reason than geographic proximity. So, waiting one full year to allow a state to “go first” and make its decision makes sense for a lot of reasons. One obvious reason is that if the line is truly needed, the state regulators will in all likelihood approve it, and no FERC staff time and resources will need to be expended at all. The whole mantra that goes “the states are blocking needed transmission all over the country!” is simply a political and special-interest narrative. The steadily mounting increases over the past decade in transmission rate base nationally, with concomitant skyrocketing increases in transmission costs to consumers, blows up the narrative that states are systemically blocking needed transmission lines. Contrary to the narrative, states need more authority to scrutinize transmission projects for need and prudence of cost, not less, to protect consumers.
Ignorant special interests writing legislation that they believe will help them fill their pockets is never smart.  It always results in dumb stuff like this.

If you want to be involved in a group effort to comment on this Rulemaking, let me know.

Happy Holidays!  Krampus had delivered a bulging bag of evil for good little landowners this year while they're distracted with family activities.  More to come...
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Look out below!  New plan to build transmission across the Midwest

10/17/2022

3 Comments

 
The U.S. Department of Energy held another one of its wonderfully transparent webinars where it revealed its game plan for concocting a National Transmission Plan Study as required by Green New Deal laws passed last year.  Such information was presented to "the public" and only a select few were allowed to question or comment on it.  Regular folks were not among the anointed.
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The chat, where attendees were urged to ask questions, was disabled.  That's how we pretend "transparency" without actually providing it.  But you are allowed to submit your comments via the DOE's website (see link at the bottom of the page) although it's a bit like screaming down a well.  Your comments are never acknowledged or affirmed.

DOE says its plan is supposed to "complement" existing regional transmission planning under FERC's bailiwick, and not take its place.  However, DOE says its goal is to "get steel in the ground" by identifying and funding new projects using all that taxpayer cash the new law allows them to dole out. Identifying and financing new transmission DOES interfere with regional planning because those are the projects that greedy developers will flock to, not the regionally planned projects that are actually needed to keep the lights on.  So much prevaricating....

DOE says that building new industrial scale wind and solar are the only "needs" it is considering for a new suite of massive transmission projects.  By doing this, DOE is putting its thumb on the scale and selecting certain kinds of generation over other possibilities, such as distributed generation, gas, hydrogen, carbon capture or nuclear.  DOE is not considering any other forms of generation except utility-owned solar and wind.  DOE even admitted that without its plan and subsidies that more distributed generation would get built, so therefore DOE is trying to cripple distributed generation in your local area.

When asked how this plan fits with the plan to build offshore wind, which needs a different kind of transmission, DOE dismissed that, saying that a different DOE planning exercise is in the works for that and they are not considering it.  DOE is at war with itself, pushing two different plans for two very different generation possibilities.  While the National Transmission Planning Study is looking at massive new lines stretching eastward from the Midwest, the Offshore Wind Transmission study is looking at shorter lines from the offshore wind generators to the eastern cities who will use the power.  Which one will win?  We don't need both.  DOE doesn't care which one is ultimately selected, it's just busy spending taxpayer money conducting two very different studies that are in conflict with each other.  This is the epitome of waste!

The DOE "scientist" even said its plan was "a bit of an artificial thing because of how the program works."  The program is all about reaching artificial goals and doesn't let any nasty reality intrude. It doesn't consider anything other than a bunch of new industrial solar and wind generators in the Midwest, and it makes no accommodations for siting impediments that could insert a little reality into their "plan."  Only the DOE's artificial fairy tale of what future generation looks like is considered.  This fairy tale isn't going to have a happy ending.

Here's some maps of what the "program" spit out as likely new transmission corridors.  Notice how all the lines go from the Midwest to the east?  That was confirmed as the DOE's National Transmission Plan.  Generate power in Midwestern states and ship it over new transmission lines to eastern cities.
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Don't like this garbage?  Write to your elected representatives and let them know!  DOE's National Transmission Planning Study is a wasteful fairy tale that is never going to happen.  But, hey, what do these little government functionaries care?  They're drawing a paycheck and they don't live anywhere near any of these new lines.
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Transmission Fan Fan Fic

10/2/2022

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TFFF.  Transmission Fantasy Fan Fiction can be the only explanation for this article in S&P Global.  Some "researcher" with degrees in meteorology and mechanical engineering did some "research" into possible transmission projects and came up with something that can only be an unholy cross between fan fiction and fantasy sports.

This is not new information that we don't know about.  It's simply the fantasy creation of an unqualified "researcher" who was too lazy to consider the actual status of dead transmission ideas, or to find out what regional transmission organizations are planning.  And I'm pretty sure he doesn't even know the difference between regionally planned, cost allocated lines and merchant transmission.

First, there's this:
Perhaps the most noteworthy transmission project in NextEra's portfolio is the Oklahoma/Arkansas portion of the Plains and Eastern Clean Line high-voltage direct-current, or HVDC, project. The project has had a tumultuous history, with the Tennessee Valley Authority backing away from the project in 2017 and the Energy Department terminating its participation in 2018. NextEra acquired Plains and Eastern Clean Line Oklahoma LLC in late 2017. Connecting Oklahoma and the state's formidable wind generation to Tennessee, the line would help alleviate growing wind curtailment in SPP while delivering potentially low-cost wind energy to the Southeast region. The project's status is up in the air.

HVDC transmission lines such as the Plains and Eastern Clean Line could emerge as a crucial piece of the clean energy transition. Although typically more costly than their AC counterparts, HVDC lines can carry more capacity across long distances while mitigating electricity losses, allowing for the transfer of wind and solar power from sparsely populated regions to urban metropolises hundreds of miles away. The Plains and Eastern Clean Line would run 720 miles and carry more than 4,000 MW of energy.

Adam, you complete and utter dumbass!  NextEra only bought the Oklahoma portion of the project, which was only nothing more than an idea and a random collection of transmission easement options.  I'm pretty sure NextEra's intended use for that project has long ago expired.  More importantly, any easements Clean Line acquired in Arkansas have since been released back to the property owner.  There is no transmission project across Arkansas, so there is no connection.  This is just one guy's stupidity and lazy "research".  It doesn't mean Plains & Eastern is coming back.  It's dead.  Forever dead.

And then there's this:
Additionally, a handful of major HVDC transmission projects are in planning, with renewable integration and transmission serving as a major driver for their development. The 550-mile SunZia Southwest Transmission Project being developed by Pattern Energy Group LP would connect Arizona to New Mexico, which has become a hub for renewable energy development. The 780-mile Grain Belt Express transmission line runs from Kansas to Indiana, eventually hooking up with the Pioneer Transmission project. Being developed by Invenergy LLC, the $7 billion project is expected to have a potential capacity of 5,000 MW.

MISO recently announced a major transmission upgrade project expected to cost $10.3 billion. The undertaking involves upgrading 18 different transmission lines and will reportedly help support 53 GW of new wind, solar and battery storage capacity across the region.

No, there is not a new project being built to connect with GBE.  Pioneer Transmission is an old idea that was never finished.  This three segment project, dreamed up in the early teens, seems to have been abandoned after the building of just one segment.  According to its owner:
The remaining phases of the Project ("Segments 2 and 3") are under evaluation by MISO and PJM as part of the next planning review cycles.
Which means they are stuck in regional planning cycles that they'll probably never get out of.  And why should PJM or MISO ratepayers pay to construct the sections of the project that connect with the Sullivan substation?  GBE wants to connect at Sullivan, and if that interconnection is ever approved, GBE would be required to pay to construct these segments so that its project doesn't overload the transmission system.  This is why this "connection" imagined by a really bad "researcher" is never going to happen.

The problem with this "research" is that the author is lazy or incompetent, or both.  He didn't look in the right places to find out the actual likelihood of the outdated project ideas he found on some old list and tried to click together like mismatched Legos.  Sort of reminds me of this complete and utter doofus, who gushed about "investment opportunities" for merchant transmission projects but actually had no idea what he was talking about.  No wonder our economy and investments are in the toilet with "researchers" like that advising us!

The transmission fantasy fan fiction "report" concludes like this:
Major transmission projects, particularly those that span multiple states, get caught up in arduous siting and permitting processes. The Grain Belt Express project, for instance, has been in the making for over a decade now. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission is taking steps to ameliorate these preliminary planning hurdles. Still, without continuous diligent efforts to expedite grid infrastructure upgrades, industry stakeholders will struggle to meet state and federal clean energy goals.
Adam, you ignoramus.  There's nothing FERC planning can do for the Grain Belt Express.  It's a merchant transmission project.  It is not part of any FERC-jurisdictional plan.  We don't need to "expedite" transmission.  The only rush here is big wind and big solar developers trying to fill their pockets with big government cash before this big charade comes crashing down on their big heads.  Wind and solar are not sustainable energy sources.  We cannot power our nation with only solar and wind.  Even pretending we can is wasting trillions of dollars attempting to build new transmission to connect it all.  Energy generation is much like fashion fads.  Big wind is already going out of fashion in favor of big solar.  Even GBE is now claiming that it will bring Kansas solar and wind to eastern states.  The next big thing is out there.  Let's hope it arrives before we waste too much money chasing transmission fantasy fan fiction stories.
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Grain Belt Express Seeks Government Subsidies

8/26/2022

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I'm not surprised.  Are you?  Grain Belt Express has never had any signed customers except for the below cost MJMEUC contract for less than 10% of the capacity it wants to make available in Missouri.  But yet GBE's owners are purposefully trying to build an electric transmission line that does not have enough contracted customers to be economic.  No customer, no need....

... your federal tax dollars to the rescue!!!

In its recent application to the Missouri PSC for "amendments" to its current Certificate, Grain Belt finally tells everyone who, exactly, it expects will pay for this ginormous transmission line without sufficient customer contracts.
As stated above, Grain Belt Express then intends to raise debt secured by the revenue stream from the transmission capacity contracts to raise the capital necessary to complete the remaining development activities, construct the Project and place it into operation. Grain Belt Express anticipates utilizing a combination of commercial and governmental sources of financing, and at this time is still evaluating all potential options for financing. Options for governmental sources of financing include the Western Area Power Administration (“WAPA”) Transmission Infrastructure Program (“TIP”); and the Bipartisan Infrastructure Bill Transmission Facilitation Program; Department of Energy loans to non-federal borrowers for transmission facilities pursuant to the Inflation Reduction Act and potentially other government funding options. Additional equity capital may also be raised to help finance construction of the Project, or Grain Belt Express’ existing investors may make additional equity investments in the Project.
That's right... Grain Belt Express cannot begin to build its project until it has adequate financing to pay for the construction.  Invenergy wants the Missouri PSC to hurry up and approve the "amendments" so that it can secure financing from "governmental sources".  I see they casually toss in the Bipartisan Infrastructure Bill transmission program being put together by the U.S. DOE.  That program allows the DOE to become a transmission "customer" by purchasing transmission capacity that nobody else wants.  DOE isn't going to actually USE the capacity, it's just going to pay for it using your tax dollars in order to prop up a transmission project that doesn't have enough customers to be economic, like Grain Belt Express.  DOE says it will sell the transmission capacity to other entities so that it can replenish its transmission slush fund, but let's think about that a bit.  If nobody wants to buy transmission capacity from GBE, why would they want to buy the same capacity from DOE?  The whole scheme should make a freshman economics student laugh.

It's not really government "financing"... in the case of the Bipartisan Infrastructure Bill, it's a subsidy paid for by your tax dollars in order to build a transmission line to nowhere that nobody will ever use.

And for this they want you to give up your private property?  Tell the PSC not to approve Tiger Connector and clear the way for Invenergy to apply for federal government subsidies to build a project without sufficient customer interest!  Without enough customers to make the project economic, it's nothing but a useless parasite sucking Missourians dry.  The PSC needs to stop approving speculative transmission projects without signed customers and interconnection agreements and enabling rich investors to fill their pockets with our hard-earned tax dollars!
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Magic Math Is For Fools

7/21/2022

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In case you missed it last week, Invenergy posted an "Analysis Summary:  Impact of Grain Belt Express on Kansas and Missouri Ratepayers."  It goes something like this:
Low-cost modeling process market consultants assuming estimated wind generation projected average reduce expected potential forward-looking wholesale market impacts revenue requirement controllability assessment aggregates combined impacts lower inclusion utility investment the collective partial revenue requirement average approximately production capacity factor flat production profile evening peak electric demand SPP MISO regions wholesale electric costs region spanning prices price spread opportunity arbitrage nodes average annual basis off-peak price differences translate Kansas and Missouri.  Billions.
That was my take away.  It really is that obtuse and meaningless.  I don't think it's meant to be understood.  I think maybe it's meant to be held by well-fed, middle-aged "economic development" big fish in small ponds while they slap each other on the back and bloviate knowingly about "savings" from Grain Belt Express.  You know these guys as well as I do... they've got a finger in everyone's pie and they trade in "Do You Know Who I AM?"  Jack of all trades, master of none, small government sycophant who likes to pretend he knows everything about energy and his opinion is gold.

Except... if you quizzed these guys they'd quickly find something more important to do than talk to you, or simply get angry at you for implying they are a know-nothing waste of flesh.  They're probably on their way to find out what Invenergy can do for them.  Quid pro quo, you know.

First of all... GBE is just a transmission line.  It doesn't sell power.  Power purchased separately.  How in the world did this variable get handled in the opaque report?  Notice how the variables are not identified, much less the equation shared?  My 8th grade Algebra teacher would give Invenergy an "F" and send it to the principal's office for not showing its work.

Fugheddaboutit.  Here's all you need to know about electricity prices in Kansas and Missouri.
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See that?  The price of electricity in Kansas is 10.38 cents per kWh.  The price of electricity in Missouri is 9.64 cents per kWh.  So if we export electricity from Kansas and make it available for use in Missouri, it will RAISE electric prices in Missouri, not lower them.  In addition, Missouri ratepayers would need to add the $7B, that's BILLION, dollar price tag of Grain Belt Express to their equation, since Invenergy claims it necessary in its report.

There, wasn't that simpler and a whole lot more logical?
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Dropping Off Some Reality

7/17/2022

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Some of Invenergy's fake news this past week mentioned that Grain Belt Express will "drop off" power in Missouri.  This is an inapt phrase used by people who don't understand transmission.  It annoys the spit out of me.

When you think "drop off" it sort of sounds like Missouri is getting a gift of electricity.  But it's actually more like getting a delivery of something you ordered and paid for, like a box of Amazon junk.  Did anyone in Missouri order electricity from Invenergy?  If the answer is "no", then you're not getting anything.  Only someone who has ordered and paid for the merchandise (electricity) is going to have it "dropped off" in Missouri.  There's no such thing as a free lunch.

Our electric transmission system is sort of like a network of water pipes.  That network is fully pressurized with water, and only when a paying customer turns on the taps do they receive anything.  Electricity is like water in a pipe network.  The lines are fully pressurized with electricity.  Only when you've signed a contract to pay for the electricity and for the delivery do you get to turn on a light switch and receive electricity from Grain Belt Express.

The problem is that GBE has only one known customer, a common buyer for municipal electric distributors known as MJMEUC.  MJMEUC signed a contract to purchase "up to" 250 MW of transmission service on GBE.  Separately, it signed a contract with a wind generator in Kansas to buy electricity to be delivered on GBE.  Only those customers who take service from MJMEUC will receive anything from GBE.  The rest of Missouri gets nothing.

The only thing being "dropped off" in Missouri is propaganda.

And think about this...  MJMEUC's contract buys electricity shipped to Missouri on GBE, but it also buys service for MJMEUC to ship electricity from Missouri to PJM in equal amount.  Now go back to that analogy about the water pipe network... if MJMEUC buys electricity and sells electricity in equal amount, is there really any electricity being "dropped off" in Missouri at all?  Electrons are all the same, no matter where or how they are generated.  The electrons from Kansas are exactly the same as the ones generated in Missouri.  MJMEUC actually gets nothing but the bill for pretending it's buying and selling electricity.  If the price MJMEUC buys electricity for in Kansas is less than the price it sells that electricity for in PJM, then MJMEUC gets paid the difference, minus line loss that happens from being transmitted and converted from AC/DC/AC.  Is it worth it?  Would PJM want to buy power from Missouri when it can generate the same power at home?

But what if the second "phase" of GBE from Missouri to PJM is never built and MJMEUC can't sell electricity, what does MJMEUC get then?  It gets more electricity than it needs to serve load and the generators in Missouri could be shut down.

It sort of sounds like the biggest scam ever, doesn't it?

I sort of wish these folks would educate themselves about the physics of electricity and the realities of the electric power market.  Then they'd simply drop Grain Belt Express off the nearest cliff.

Look out below!!!
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

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