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No Eminent Domain Authority for Wind Catcher

7/24/2018

6 Comments

 
And in the damned if you do and damned if you don't world of Wind Catcher, AEP subsidiaries once again find themselves snared in a trap of their own creation.

This story in TulsaWorld hits the highlights of a battle taking place between PSO and landowners in Creek County, Oklahoma.  PSO finds itself in a big, big hurry to build its Wind Catcher project so it can collect tax credits financed by U.S. taxpayers.  AEP tries to pretend this project was a last minute great deal and there is incredible urgency to it.  Except the hurry is all AEP's creation as well.  AEP wants state regulatory commissions to hurry up and issue an order allowing the company to collect the $4.5B cost of the project from ratepayers in four states, plus interest over 60 years.  And AEP wants landowners to hurry up and let them start building this project before there's any commitment to finish it.  Why should landowners have their property permanently altered for tests and surveys on a project AEP may yet abandon?  AEP has said that without full cost recovery for its project that it will not move forward.  It will not build Wind Catcher if it has to pay for the project itself.  Add to that the fact that there is no transmission permitting and siting in Oklahoma.  A utility must merely be for "public use" to wield the power of eminent domain in Oklahoma. 

In Creek County, PSO believes its Wind Catcher facility is a transmission line for public use and therefore the company possesses eminent domain authority that allows it to perform tests and surveys on pretty much any property in the state, even if the subject property is never used for a transmission route.  Landowners have objected and refused to sign AEP's survey permission forms.  AEP has interpreted a failure to sign a permission form as a refusal to allow surveyors on the property and has filed numerous petitions requesting local district courts issue an injunction preventing the landowner from interfering with surveying and testing.  I think it would be pretty impossible for a judge to order a landowner to sign a permission form.  The most a judge could do is order a landowner not to interfere... which they really weren't doing in the first place.

Guess what, AEP?  Lack of planning on your part does NOT constitute an emergency on the part of landowners.  Your big push to build as much of this project as possible before a state regulatory commission tells you "no" has gotten you into some trouble.  In fact, your whole scheme for Wind Catcher has cornered you into a most impossible Catch-22 situation.

Oklahoma statute allows a utility to request a ruling from the Oklahoma Corporation Commission that it may recover the costs of a proposed generator from ratepayers.  In that spirit, AEP asked the OCC to approve cost recovery of its purchase of a wind farm and a generation tie line.  AEP has insisted over and over at the OCC that its 360-mile electric line is part of its wind farm generator.  It can only be a generator if OCC allows AEP to recover costs in rates.  There is no pre-approval for cost recovery of a transmission line.  Therefore, AEP says the line is part of its generator so it can recover costs.

Oklahoma statute also allows a utility furnishing power to utilize eminent domain authority in order to do so.  But the same statute prohibits the use of eminent domain to build wind turbines on private property.  To get around this, AEP has called its generation tie line a transmission line in its eminent domain petitions.

If it's a transmission line, no cost allocation to ratepayers.

If it's a generation tie line, no eminent domain.

What will it be, AEP?  It can't be both.  Either it's a transmission line subject to eminent domain, or it's a generation tie line subject to pre-approval of cost recovery.

And that's sort of the starring argument in this landowner brief on one of AEP's injunction filings in Creek County.  But there's a lot more to love in this brief because the question of naming AEP's electric line isn't exactly simple.  If it's a transmission line, it's subject to open access under federal regulations.  That means any other electric utility can request service on the line and AEP must supply it, even if that means upsizing the line to serve other customers.  But if it's a generation tie line, it essentially becomes AEP's private transmission line and it can refuse service to other utilities.  This brief likens a generation tie line to a private driveway.  It would not be possible for a property owner to exercise eminent domain on private property to build a driveway for his own private use.

You're caught, AEP, caught in a trap of your own making.  Who is responsible for not thinking this through?  It's so simple, I can't believe AEP brain-farted this badly.

What AEP didn't count on was smart landowners capable of fighting back.  Perhaps AEP thought filing for injunctions against landowners would scare landowners and make them give in.  In some instances, it looks like that was the case.  Except a higher number of landowners refused to knuckle under and sign the permission form.  This group has attempted to represent themselves in district courts, with varying levels of success.
PSO succeeded in obtaining injunctions in other counties against pro se landowners without the resources or ability to question PSO's contradictory characterization of the Gen-Tie as both a transmission line (for eminent domain purposes) and not a transmission line (for Commission preapproval purposes). That duplicity should stop here.
-And "here" apparently is the doorstep of a lawyer who isn't fooled by AEP's bluster and scare tactics.  Not only that, this smart landowner hired GableGotwals' Graydon D. Luthey, Jr. to represent him in Creek County District Court.  Mr. Luthey is the lawyer who reduced AEP's witness to a puddle of stuttering bad grammar during recent cross examination at the OCC.  Mr. Luthey is one heck of a lawyer.  Bravo!

And that's what happens when AEP draws a line on a map for a new electric line route.  It's sort of like tossing dice, or dealing cards.  Will AEP route its line through the property of someone it wishes it hadn't?  Someone with the expertise and knowledge to fight back?  It happens nearly every time.

And that's how bad transmission (or generation?) line proposals die.

AEP didn't think this whole thing through.  Wind Catcher cannot be built as proposed.
6 Comments

Wind Catcher Prospects Look Iffy

7/20/2018

0 Comments

 
...because it's all about the headline, right?

Seeking Alpha came out with an article yesterday headlined, Prospects for AEP's $4.5B Wind Catcher project look iffy
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Seeking Alpha provides insight into what investors may be thinking about AEP's Wind Catcher project.  And it doesn't look promising.

At the July 12 Open Meeting of the Public Utility Commission of Texas, the Commissioners said they needed more time.  AEP reminded the Commission that it had a deadline of August 6 to issue a notice to proceed to its contractors, especially the transmission line contractor.  After the notice to proceed is issued, company spending, already confirmed to be "tens of millions of dollars," will ramp up considerably.  The Chairwoman noted that and has placed the item on the Open Meeting agenda for July 26.

In response to a request from the Chairwoman on July 12 that parties get together to explore whether there could be more customer protections added, several filings were made yesterday.  Opposing parties report:
The parties had further discussions after the open meeting regarding appropriate customer protections for the proposed Wind Catcher Project, but were unable to reach an agreement.
Opponents suggest that the project be denied.  However, if the PUCT feels it must approve the project, the parties recommend it apply the conditions recommended by the Oklahoma Attorney General.

Of course, AEP won't agree to those customer protections.  Instead, AEP filed a letter and exhibit table attempting to put a new polish and spin on its same old "guarantees" that the PUCT found unconvincing last week.  AEP has essentially not budged, but it feels it is entitled to approval from these folks.
Picture
I don't think they were feeling any love for AEP's guarantees.  Looks sorta iffy.

Backed into a corner and facing a quarterly investor earnings call next week,  AEP tries to avoid a need to have a regulatory decision before the earnings call, or even to prevent further regulatory discussion that could add more "iffy-ness" to its project.  And isn't that funny... AEP has recently changed the date of its earnings call to make sure it happens before the PUCT can weigh in on the project on July 26.  The earnings call is now scheduled for July 25, the day before the PUCT Open Meeting.

In its letter to the PUCT, AEP says:
To date the Company has made a significant investment so that it is able to execute the Project in a timely manner. As noted at the July 12 open meeting, approval of the Project is necessary to ensure our ability to contain costs and deliver the benefits of the
Project to customers. Recognizing the complexity of the Project and the need for additional time for Commissioners to consider this case, the Company will work with our Project partners and is willing to place additional Company funds at risk so that the benefits to SWEPCO's customers can be realized. Because of the need to order long leadtime equipment, time for Gen-Tie right-of-way activities and Project construction
schedule critical paths, it is necessary to have an order from the Commission to proceed by the end of August. The Company will also inform the Oklahoma Corporation Commission of the additional time flexibility, and additional customer protections. These changes represent the limits of what SWEPCO and AEP can offer in order to move
forward with the Project.
So now the deadline has moved to August 31?  First Nick Akins told investors he would have approvals by the end of April.  Then at the last earnings call, he told investors he would have approvals by the end of June.  Now he's going to tell investors he will have them by the end of August?  Each time the deadline shifts, it requires AEP to put more of its money into Wind Catcher with the risk that it will never get it back if the project isn't approved.  Maybe the first shift wasn't significant in the grand scheme of things.  But the latest shift requires AEP to invest more heavily by covering project costs that will ramp up after August 6.  How much money is it, exactly, that AEP has invested in Wind Catcher without a guarantee that it will ever recover any of it?

If I was an AEP stockholder, I'd be pretty nervous.  Is this a good risk?  Seeking Alpha says it's "iffy."  I'd probably sell my AEP stock quick before the project gets denied and my investment got hit with all the costs of a failed project.  I don't think I'd join Nick Akins on his gamble that an approval will come by August 31.  If that deadline also slips into the future, like the ones before it, how much more money will AEP put into this project before the next created deadline?  When will enough be enough with this project?  How much good money will be thrown after bad in a nervous attempt to salvage something?

Fortunately, I don't own AEP stock.  But others do.  How much do the stockholders have faith in Nick Akins and his pet project at this point?  Iffy.  I guess we'll find out during the earnings call next week, when investment analysts will quiz Akins about this project.  A lot.  It's no secret that investors hire psycho-spooks to analyze earnings calls to evaluate whether or not they should believe what the company CEO is saying in response to investor questions.
Hedge fund managers and other large investors hire forensic analysts to sit in on corporate earnings calls. The first half of such calls tend to be heavily scripted, as top leaders run through the results. But in the second half, executives answer questions from equity analysts — or evade those questions — and therefore are working without a script. That’s when the Valens analyst keeps an eye glued to the firm’s proprietary electro-audiogram (EAG) system, which measures voice patterns. Think of the digital audiogram as a sophisticated lie detector test. In all, it maps a total of 15 markers that gauge whether the speaker seems to believe his or her own words based mostly on inflection — whether the voice seems stressed or hesitant, grows louder or softer, speeds up or slows down.
No pressure, Nick.  Maybe you can take a couple of doggie downers when you wake up that morning?

And a fun time will be had by all.  Except Nick.  He'll probably be puking his Wheaties and hoping not to get a migraine.

Want to listen to AEP's earnings call?  Everything you need to know can be found right here.  Be sure to check the date and time going forward, because AEP is trying to give analysts the slip by changing the date at the last minute.
Who needs a psycho-spook?
0 Comments

The End of Clean Line Energy Partners

7/18/2018

14 Comments

 
Something just seemed "off" about Clean Line's response to the Missouri Supreme Court decision yesterday.  Where was everyone?  Took an awfully long time to respond, but that might be because Michael Skelly no longer has a company phone.  Or a desk.  Or a computer.

And then there's this.  Why is David Berry writing and signing legal documents on behalf of Clean Line Energy Partners?  What happened to Clean Line's counsel of record in Tennessee?  Where's Cary Kottler, or the other "B" team lawyers from Clean Line?

Where is everybody?

I guess they went out with the non-transmission assets.  What "non-transmission assets" does Clean Line own anyhow?  The wind farm got sold to Pattern a while ago.  I guess that leaves a whole bunch of ugly orange furniture, phones, computers, maybe a Staples Easy Button or two.

This says that Clean Line Energy Partners sold all its non-transmission assets to a company named ConnectGen LLC.
A Locke Lord team led by Mitch Tiras (Houston) represented a management team at ConnectGen, LLC in the acquisition of all the non-transmission assets of Clean Line Energy Partners, LLC, which received a commitment of $100 million from Quantum Energy Partners Fund VII and will develop renewable energy projects across North America. Additional assistance was provided by Sara Longtain and Rachel Fitzgerald (both of Houston).
It's not dated, and it's very poorly written.  But I think it happened quite recently because ConnectGen seems to be a brand new company (err... companies?) that was just registered in Texas this month, and in Delaware last month.  Four different but related companies:  ConnectGen LLC, ConnectGen Management Holdings, LLC, ConnectGen Management LLC, and ConnectGen Operating, LLC.  Sound familiar?

It should, considering the President of all of these new companies is no other than Jayshree Desai, former COO of Clean Line Energy Partners.  Recent information about Jayshree:
Ms. Desai is the President of ConnectGen LLC, a company focused on the development of wind, solar and storage projects. Prior to joining ConnnectGen LLC, Ms. Desai served as the Chief Operating Officer of Clean Line Energy Partners, LLC a developer of transmission line infrastructure projects that deliver wind energy to communities and cities that lack access to low cost renewable energy resources. Prior to that, Ms. Desai was CFO of Horizon Wind Energy, a developer, owner and operator of wind farms. Prior to that, Ms. Desai was a Director at Enron responsible for Mergers & Acquisitions. Ms. Desai began her career as a business analyst at McKinsey & Company. Ms. Desai currently serves on the Executive Board of KIPP Houston and as the Chairperson of the Board of the Wind Energy Foundation. Ms. Desai holds a Master of Business Administration from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and a Bachelor of Business Administration from the University of Texas at Austin.
Oh, I see.  Prior.  She worked for Clean Line Energy Partners in a prior job.  And when she left, she took everything "non-transmission" with her.

I'm quite sorry that the Locke Lord blurb is so poorly written.  It kind of looks like maybe Clean Line Energy Partners received a commitment of $100 million from Quantum Energy Partners Fund VII and will develop renewable energy projects across North America, but that isn't true.  It's just someone who doesn't know how  to use a period.  It is ConnectGen that received $100M from Quantum and will develop renewable energy projects.  Looks like it will be wind, solar and storage projects, not transmission.  The only thing Clean Line got is relieved of its non-transmission assets for an undisclosed price.

So, Jayshree went out the door (and took the door with her for good measure) and left Skelly gasping in the dirt.  Does ANYONE work at Clean Line Energy Partners any longer?  I don't know how they could, since all the company's non-transmission assets have been sold to Jayshree's new company.  If she's nice, maybe she'll let him come and play "office" a couple days a week, do make believe with his toy transmission tower.

Who were you trying to kid yesterday, Michael Skelly?  With all your grandiose claims and plans to continue the regulatory process for Grain Belt Express.  It looks like Clean Line Energy Partners no longer has a pot to piss in, nor a window to throw it out of.

Would you please just go away now?  The cat is out of the bag.  We all know.

14 Comments

Dark Money Environmental Group Accuses Farmers of Dark Money Funding

7/18/2018

7 Comments

 
Hey, look, a dark money environmental group has made the baseless allegation that "dark money" has funded opposition to Clean Line's Grain Belt Express.
The environmental group Renew Missouri championed the 7-0 Supreme Court decision as a win for clean energy. 

“While this case has lingered in limbo for years as our neighbor states like Iowa and Illinois have passed us by, this puts the Show-Me State back on the map for wind energy by giving municipal utility companies all over the state more options in how they can best serve their customers’ power needs,” said Renew Missouri Executive Director James Owen.

Owen also indicated his organization thought contributions to opponents of the project had come from individuals or groups that purposely hid their identities.

“Lots of resources were poured into fighting off this progress,” Owen said.  “We will probably never know who funded the efforts to defeat the Grain Belt Express or how much dark money was used. But the great thing about our state government is we have an appellate system untouched by unseemly political calculations.”

Well, isn't that the pot calling the kettle black... or dark in this instance.  Where does Renew Missouri get its funding?  We'll probably never know.  But the organization's IRS 990 for 2017 indicated it received around half a million dollars of "grants" and other contributions.  It doesn't say who they were from.  In other words, the funders of Renew Missouri purposely hid their identities.  Looks like Renew Missouri is funded by "dark money."

What does this have to do with the Supreme Court anyhow?  Well, Renew Missouri makes the insinuation that the Court could be influenced by "dark money," although it was not.  There's the one point we agree upon... the courts aren't influenced by dark money, from anyone.  But what is the relevance, here, Owen?  Why did you think it was appropriate to cast unfounded aspersions upon the opposition to Grain Belt Express?

Your accusations are completely unfounded and untrue.  Opposition to Grain Belt Express has been funded by farmers and landowners affected by a proposal to take their land and impact their productivity and financial situation with absolutely no benefit to them. 

This is just the latest and boldest ad hominem argument of failing environmental groups.  By making false allegations regarding the financing of groups it doesn't like, the pious environmental group seeks to remove them from the argument as unworthy of being heard.  It's a cheap, repugnant trick and only stupid people fall for it.  Is that the kind of people you want to appeal to, Renew Missouri?  Stupid people?  Because your accusations are STUPID.

Guess what?  It doesn't work and some day, some day soon, one of you sanctimonious scumbuckets is going to get slapped with a huge libel suit.  I suppose that award could fund lots of opposition going forward.

I've been doing this for 10 years and in that time I have never seen a "dark money" donation made to a transmission opposition citizens' group.  These groups fund their own activities through donations by affected landowners, businesses and ratepayers.  They hold yard sales and bake sales, organize fund raising events, and engage in other fund raising means routinely used by schools or childrens athletic groups.  This is how the average American knows how to raise funds, and they do what they are familiar with.  There are no checks from the Koch brothers, fossil fuel companies, or other organized groups.  All funds are raised by opponents trying to save their homes and businesses from the impacts of high voltage transmission lines.

The only groups with their hands out to take money with strings attached are environmental groups like Renew Missouri (a product of Earth Island Institute at one time, go ahead, look it up).  Environmental groups are completely ineffective at raising the kind of cash they like to spend from ordinary citizens and individual donations.  Instead, they graze at the grant trough, munching through millions of dollars every year of "free" money that comes with strings attached.  Each grant requires the recipient to perform some task or other.  Perhaps Renew Missouri would like to publicly list each and every grant it has received, along with the deliverable attached to each grant?  Let's see who you REALLY serve, Renew Missouri!

If a business enterprise were interested in stopping a transmission line, they'd do the same thing you environmental snots do -- work in parallel with the citizens' group and try to hijack their efforts and energy to serve your cause.  This is exactly what The Sierra Club did when it opposed certain transmission lines in the past.  They didn't give any money to citizen opposition groups, so what makes you think other interests are eager to give their money away for other groups to use for their own purposes?  Any environmental or other organization that dabbles in transmission support or opposition is only doing it to advance their own goals.  The problem with that often is that said organization has no army of its own to achieve the kind of influence necessary to accomplish its goals.  Therefore, it must find an engaged population whose energy it can tap to further its own goals.  That's how it works, buddy, so shove it up your "dark money" hole and shut the heck up.

You truly disgust me.  I doubt you could stoop any lower if you tried.  Casting unfounded accusations against your fellow Missourians in order to serve your masters in Houston, and for no particular reason whatsoever except out of poor sportsmanship and meanness.  Are you proud of yourself?
7 Comments

Michael Skelly's Impossible Dream

7/18/2018

1 Comment

 
Yesterday, the Missouri Supreme Court handed down a decision that remands the Grain Belt Express matter to the Missouri Public Service Commission.  At issue was whether a transmission line needed to file county assents under Sec. 229.100 of Missouri Statute before the Public Service Commission could issue a conditional permit for the project.  In a well-written decision, the Court reasoned that the PSC could issue a permit conditioned upon a project subsequently obtaining the necessary county consents before beginning construction.

Big deal.

GBE now goes back to the PSC to be reconsidered.  Nearly a year has passed since the PSC denied GBE's permit because it did not have necessary county assents.  And in that time, several things have happened that require a new look by the Commission.  The Illinois Supreme Court vacated GBE's permit in that state.  The economics of wind have changed and federal production tax credits have been reduced and will likely be entirely eliminated before any wind farms could be built and generating for transmission on GBE.  Changes have occurred at Clean Line, where many key employees have left the company and its financial situation may have changed significantly.  Contracts between MJMEUC and GBE, and MJMEUC and wind farms, need to be re-examined to determine their current validity.  It's unlikely to be a simple matter of a rubber stamp because that would risk error that generates further appeals.

The MO Supreme Court also re-affirmed that GBE would need county assent before it could begin construction.  Any hope that county assent would come easy with a PSC approval were immediately dashed.
Wiley Hibbard, presiding commissioner of Ralls County, said that’s unlikely to happen in his county.

“There’s no change in the county’s position, my position, or the citizens of Ralls County position,” he said by phone Tuesday afternoon. “I don’t see the assent from Ralls County forthcoming.”

Ralls County, as well as Monroe, are the impacted counties under the jurisdiction of the Appeals Court of Eastern Missouri, where Grain Belt filed its case against the PSC.

“Our will to fight this further has not been diminished whatsoever,” Hibbard said, adding that he was not surprised by the Supreme Court’s ruling.

He cast doubt that Grain Belt developers were serious about the project, saying that no one from the Houston-based Clean Line Energy had contacted the county commission in four years. The company has not sought a zoning change for a proposed DC/AC converter station site near the town of Center.

Therefore, it matters not whether the PSC approves the project.  It can't proceed without county assent.  Any attempt to force county assent through the courts will be time-consuming, expensive and risky.

It took Clean Line about forever to comment on yesterday's event.  I was starting to wonder if they'd closed up shop completely when Michael Skelly started spewing his classic rainbow farts and dangerous dreams.  But where's Waldo?  Nobody heard a peep out of GBE's awkward, itchy-scratchy project manager.  You'd think if he was still lurking about he would have had a comment.  Instead, all the grandiose claims of project revival came from Skelly in Houston.  Let's examine those claims.

From St. Louis Post-Dispatch:
“We think it’s a good decision for the state, not just for our project,” Clean Line’s president, Michael Skelly, told the Post-Dispatch. “The reason you have a Public Service Commission is to have an eye out for what’s good for the state. What the Supreme Court did here is it reasserted the commission’s jurisdiction over transmission lines.”

“We’re going to have to go back through the process in Illinois, but we have a good understanding of what we need to do,” said Skelly. “You go through a bunch of trial and error.”

Even though it could take a couple of years to regain approval in Illinois — a delay that would coincide with the expiration of federal tax credits for wind energy — Skelly said technology-enabled dips in wind costs would still make the project feasible.

“It’s pretty close to what it costs today,” Skelly said, describing cost projections. “We’ll be roughly in the same position because of technology improvements.”
What do you know about what's "good" for Missouri?  I think you've got your facts mixed up.  You mean it's good for Michael Skelly, right?  I'm not believing you really care about what's "good" for Missouri.  The Court also re-affirmed county jurisdiction over transmission lines crossing county-owned roads.  You STILL need that assent.

You're going back through the process in Illinois?  So you're going to file a new application that will most likely take several years to get to a decision?  Who's going to finance that?  I mean, we're talking millions here, with no guarantee of success.  And even if that goes well, there's still the issue of whether or not Clean Line fails the public use requirement for being a public utility.  Even if GBE buys some utility property (and where is that market, and how much might it cost, and how long would regulatory approval for that purchase take), and meets that ownership requirement, there's still an undecided issue that the Illinois Supreme Court is eager to take up regarding whether Clean Line's merchant construct meets the public use requirement under state law.  From the Court's decision in Illinois Landowners:
Because Rock Island cannot meet the ownership requirement for qualification as a public utility, there is no need to reach the additional question of whether it also fails the “public use” requirement, as the appellate court concluded. Should the company elect to move forward with the project and reapply for a certificate of public necessity and convenience as a public utility once it moves beyond planning and actually owns, controls, operates, or manages transmission assets, the question of public use can be revisited under the facts and circumstances then present. Any ruling on the question now would be purely advisory. That being so, there is likewise no need to address appellants’ argument that the appellate court’s construction of the public use requirement imposes an impermissible burden on interstate commerce in violation of the commerce clause of the United States Constitution (U.S. Const., art. I, § 8, cl. 3).

The price of wind will go UP after final expiration of federal production tax credits, and in the meantime, while GBE is going through its "trial and error" in Illinois, other wind projects will pretty much fill the market using the production tax credit to lower their costs.  If wind will be just as cheap after the tax credits expire, why the full-tilt, foaming-at-the-mouth rush to build new wind before the credits expire?  I simply don't believe you, Michael Skelly.  Show me.  After all, isn't that the spirit of Missouri?  You've got a flimsy excuse for everything, and considering all your previous claims have come to naught, why should anyone believe you now? 

The proof would come in the form of customers, something GBE doesn't really have.  Offering below cost "service" on GBE to some Missouri munis does not insure future success selling above cost service to other utilities.  In fact, that was the reason some of your other projects failed, right?  No customers.  No utilities were willing to step up and take the risk that 4,000 MW of new wind would come online at the right price.  Yesterday's decision by the MO Supreme Court doesn't change that.  The economics of your project are bad.  It's not attractive to your target buyers.  Without customers, the project will fail.

From KOMU:
Michael Skelly, president of Clean Line Energy, said the ruling "means Missourians are closer than ever to benefiting from the clean, affordable energy and economic boost this transformational infrastructure project will deliver to the Show-Me-State."

He added, "We are now turning our efforts to expediting approval from the Missouri Public Service Commission of this critical infrastructure project so that Missouri can realize these benefits as soon as possible."

No, they're not.  Yesterday's ruling doesn't make GBE any more of a reality than it was the day before.  It's just another round of permit wack-a-mole.  While GBE hit the mole in Missouri yesterday, the Illinois mole is way out of his hole and GBE can't manage to hit it.  Let's do an equation:  One chance at obtaining a permit < one actual permit.  I think the actual permit has more value.  Who would give away an actual permit in order to have a chance at obtaining a different permit.  Michael Skelly's vague chest beating means nothing.

Turning your efforts to the PSC?  Who's going to pay for that?  Don't you need lawyers, very expensive lawyers?  Got enough funds in the Clean Line treasure chest for that?  You're probably going to have an uphill battle convincing your investors to shell out more money on this trip to a brick wall.

From various AP reports:
Clean Line has been working on its proposed direct-current power line since 2010 but still hasn't been able to start construction. Skelly said he now hopes the project can be online by 2023 or 2024.

“The project has been on standby while we awaited the Missouri Supreme Court decision,” Clean Line President Michael Skelly said. “Now with this decision, we can get back after it.”

2023 or 2024?  Isn't it funny that the goal post keeps moving?  I think we're now about a dozen years from Skelly's original target online date.  That's 5 or 6 years from now.  Where is Clean Line going to get the money to continue this battle for another six years when it's running on fumes right now?

The project has been dead as a doornail.  The Court's decision only applied a little polish to the GBE turd that Skelly is rubbing like mad.  It's still a turd.  It has little chance of success.  The only thing Skelly might accomplish is to waste additional time and money and annoy his opponents. 

"Get after it?"  Is that some sort of colloquialism you borrowed in an attempt to sound all Mayberry?  Maybe it's not too late to borrow Jimmy's chore coat and go on a homespun homilies tour of Missouri counties.

Now let's review:

1.  GBE is unlikey to receive a permit in Illinois.
2.  GBE has no customers.
3.  The economics of wind will change with the expiration of the production tax credit.
4.  Clean Line has no revenue to support further regulatory and legal battles.

The only thing Clean Line got yesterday was an empty victory.  Grain Belt Express has little chance of success.

Tilt!  Tilt!  Tilt!
1 Comment

Opponents Request PJM Withdraw Transource IEC Project

7/16/2018

0 Comments

 
In a letter to the PJM Board of Managers last week, Transource opposition groups Citizens to Stop Transource, Stop Transource Franklin County, and Stop Transource Power Lines MD requested that PJM withdraw Transource's Independence Energy Connection from PJM's Regional Transmission Expansion Plan within the next month.

The opposition groups state that congestion savings have fallen, project costs have increased, electrical load in the target beneficiary area has decreased, overall congestion costs have been reduced 65%, use of existing rights-of-way is feasible, endangered species surveys have not been completed, and other utilities have done no work to complete their portions of the project.  It's a damning list of compelling reasons to halt the project before it incurs more costs that ratepayers will ultimately have to pay.

The groups say
While we understand that PJM feels a responsibility to Transource to allow them to fail gracefully at the state level after a protracted review, the facts demand that PJM cancel this project immediately. Millions of taxpayer dollars are being spent to review this project in two states, and landowners are fighting the project with their own attorneys.
The opportunity to "fail gracefully" also allows Transource to continue to spend money packing its construction work in progress account upon which it will receive a 10.4% return until reimbursed in full by ratepayers.  Continued spending on a project that will most likely never be constructed is irresponsible on PJM's part.  It's imperative to take a "time out" here to re-examine this project in depth.

In the past, PJM has allowed, and even eagerly supported, transmission projects that once placed in its RTEP are never revisited.  This blindly thoughtless ride on the process train has cost PJM ratepayers hundreds of millions of dollars in their electric bills for projects that have never been constructed.  Ratepayers pay a hefty penalty for PJM's lack of planning expertise, and who's to blame?  PJM, of course!  The opposition groups concluded:
The merits of this project are dwindling, the costs of the project increasing, and the timeline is slipping. By now PJM is certainly aware that there is little chance of approval. Until now, landowners have considered Transource to be their opponent, but unless PJM soon exercises its right to withdraw the project, we will hold PJM responsible. PJM will become the target of our media outreach, our legislative efforts, and potentially, our legal efforts as we hold PJM responsible for the tremendous costs incurred by landowners who will ultimately emerge victorious. Further PJM support of this project will be viewed as an abuse of process.
PJM, as a profit-neutral utility cartel, has no assets of its own at risk.  PJM's entire budget is financed by electric ratepayers in the region through rates added to customer bills.  It costs PJM nothing to continue to order and support projects that have a very low chance of being approved and built, and with federal abandonment guarantees granted by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, owners of these projects actually profit from proposing and trying to permit projects that stand little chance of success.  PJM is unharmed.  Transmission owners are unharmed.  Consumers shoulder all risk for these projects, although they have no part in determining their necessity or reviewing their risk profiles in the first place.  The words "fiduciary duty" come to mind here. 
A fiduciary duty is the highest standard of care.  The person who has a fiduciary duty is called the fiduciary, and the person to whom he owes the duty, is typically referred to as the principal or the beneficiary. If an individual breaches the fiduciary duties, he or she would need to account for the ill-gotten profit. His or her beneficiaries are entitled to damages, even if they suffered no harm.

Simply put, as an impartial regional transmission planner for benefit of electric customers in the region, PJM accepts a fiduciary duty to act in the best interests of the consumers who benefit from its actions.  PJM is failing here.  While sticking to a risky plan to cure supposed reliability violations may have some basis, when a doubtful project's only purpose is to save ratepayers money, continuing pursuit in the face of imminent failure can only be called reckless.  The only guarantee here is that the Transource IEC project is going to cost ratepayers money.  Benefits are a gamble, costs are a certainty.

Based on my years of experience assessing the probability of transmission proposals actually being approved and built as ordered, I find that the chances of the Transource IEC project being approved and built on time and on budget hovering near zero.  If PJM chooses to ignore the opponents and proceed on its merry way with the IEC, it deserves all the public scrutiny and anger it receives.  It's time to turn our attention to PJM and demand more accountability to ensure that the organization created for our sole benefit performs as intended.
0 Comments

U.S. EIA Publishes A Lie

7/14/2018

4 Comments

 
New from a government that brought you the legend of the $400 hammer is a "report" based on out of date information, useless rhetoric, and plain old false information.  Yay, you, U.S. Department of Energy!

Okay, so it did make us laugh initially, but then it sort of makes a taxpayer angry that the federal government wasted a bunch of money paying a contractor to compile this "report."  I'm talking about the U.S. DOE Energy Information Administration's "new" report entitled "Assessing HVDC Transmission for Impacts of Non-Dispatchable Generation."  The report is dated June, 2018.  Page down a bit and you'll see the actual "report" is a product of ICF dated March 2018.  It took the EIA 3 months to add a cover page and summary and "publish" this garbage?  Well, that's efficient.  Not.

ICF describes itself as:
ICF is a global consulting services company with over 5,000 specialized experts, but we are not your typical consultants. At ICF, business analysts and policy specialists work together with digital strategists, data scientists and creatives. We combine unmatched industry expertise with cutting-edge engagement capabilities to help organizations solve their most complex challenges. Since 1969, public and private sector clients have worked with ICF to navigate change and shape the future.
Based on that description, I'm going to hypothesize that this "report" did not come cheap.  Except after reading it, I think a junior high school science class could have done a better job.  The report itself claims to be a simple compilation of information and articles it found on the subject matter.  How many analysts, specialists, scientists and creatives did it take to do a google search, copy & paste, throw together a few summaries and make some graphs and charts to illustrate its "report."  C'mon, this is the epitome of government waste!!

And now I'm going to tell you why.

This "report" provides a "case study" on the Plains & Eastern Clean Line, and opines:
Of all the projects in the region, we feel that most promising is the Clean Line HVDC Project. The Plains & Eastern Clean Line is an approximately 700‐mile DC transmission line that will deliver wind energy from the Oklahoma‐Texas Panhandle region to utilities and customers in the Mid‐South (MISO) and southeastern United States (TVA). The project also involves the construction of AC collector systems to collect and transport the energy generated by wind farms in the “wind alley” region of SPP. The project received DOE approval in early 2016 and construction commenced in late 2017 (Clean Line Energy Partners 2017b).
Construction of the Plains & Eastern Clean Line commenced in late 2017?  Well, that's certainly news. 

BECAUSE IT'S SIMPLY NOT TRUE!
The Plains & Eastern Clean Line no longer exists.  The company sold the Oklahoma portion of its project assets (consisting of a plan and some partially paid-for rights-of-way) to another company in December 2017.  Although Clean Line claims to still own assets in other states, there's nothing it can do with them.  It doesn't have authority to build in Arkansas, and the U.S. DOE cancelled its "partnership" with Clean Line in March of this year.  Looks like ICF didn't know that, although it was all over the news.  ICF based its expensive "report" on information it gleaned from Clean Line's out-of-date website and didn't bother to verify any of it.

Considering the inaccuracy of ICF's reporting on its star project, how accurate do you think the rest of the information in this report is?  I think it's suspect, and that's being generous.

This report blathers on and on saying stuff like most renewables are located far from load centers, that there are unnamed areas "with strong demand" for renewables, and that the only issues with a new HVDC transmission network are financial and technical.  Well, now that we've uncovered the fact that Clean Line failed, no, I mean FAILED, perhaps ICF's next report should take a look at why.

Clean Line failed because it could not find any customers.  There were no customers "with strong demand" for imported renewables from Oklahoma.  That's because there are more cost effective renewables available to urban areas on the coasts.  It's simply not true that all the renewables in the U.S. are concentrated in Midwest.  Better renewables lie just offshore, less than 50 miles from coastal population centers "with a strong demand" for renewables.  ICF's conclusions are based on blind myth.  The coastal population centers do not want to SEE offshore renewables, therefore they don't exist.  All renewables must come from someone else's backyard, somewhere off in wilderness of red states where nobody lives.  Except people DO live there.  That's where your food comes from.  And the job of growing your food cannot continue in the middle of an industrial energy plant.  The people who live in Clean Line's formerly proposed rights-of-way objected to having their lives and productivity impeded with an aerial HVDC transmission line.  And they fought hard... a Herculean effort of time and expense, just to protect what was theirs from the taking of a for-profit merchant transmission company with grandiose plans to build transmission that nobody would ever use.  And they won, in the regulatory realm and in the courts.  Clean Line gave up and sold parts of its projects to others because it could not build them. 

The human factor needs to be examined before our government wastes anymore time on useless reports about whether HVDC is technically or financially feasible.  The fact is that NOBODY wants a high voltage transmission line on their property.  This fact is compounded when the proposed transmission line is for the express purpose of supplying "cheap" or "clean" electricity for people thousands of miles away who not only don't acknowledge the sacrifice to be made, but openly mock and belittle the ones proposed to make this sacrifice.  Regulators recognize this and they are hard-pressed to approve new transmission that merely "flies over" their states and provides no local benefit.  A nationwide HVDC network will never happen and this is why.

The EIA states its purpose as:
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) collects, analyzes, and disseminates independent and impartial energy information to promote sound policymaking, efficient markets, and public understanding of energy and its interaction with the economy and the environment.
This report isn't information.  It's misinformation.  EIA needs to either correct the misinformation in its report, or can the entire thing.  It's irresponsible for our government to disseminate misinformation and outright falsehoods.  The Plains & Eastern Clean Line is not under construction.  This fact was available a full 6 months before EIA published this report, and a full three months before ICF submitted the report to EIA.  How many highly compensated managers and directors reviewed this piece of garbage and approved it before it was published?  Maybe those folks should reimburse the taxpayers for the amount of money wasted on this garbage report.  If this irritates you, let EIA know how you feel here.  It claims you will receive a response within 3 business days.

And there's probably not a whole lot the federal government can do about this, but Clean Line needs to update its website, remove all the outdated misinformation contained there, and tell the truth for once.  Clean Line is simply pretending at this point, and they're living a lie.
4 Comments

Texas Does Not Approve Wind Catcher

7/12/2018

1 Comment

 
Just like Oklahoma didn't approve it last week, either.

I'm not sure the Texas utility commissioners were suitably impressed by the executive "team" from Columbus, who showed up today to let the commissioners know how important this was to the company.  Nick Akins managed to drop the not so subtle hint that he expected approval for his project back in April.  And now here it is July.  Although he did forget to mention how he had promised investment analysts that he would have approval by the end of June at the latest.  But it appears that the magic date is now August 6, when AEP must issue another notice to proceed to its wind farm and transmission contractors.

But I think things are already starting to wind down.  The writing is on the wall.  The signals have been signaled.  The only thing left to happen is one fat lady bursting into song.

It's obvious AEP won't proceed with Wind Catcher on a merchant basis.  If AEP was considering taking on the risk themselves, they wouldn't still be begging at utility commissions.

So, today Texas commissioners sat through an hour or so of oral argument.  You can watch it here, starting around minute 6:44.  If you want to cut to the chase, forward it about another hour to watch Nick Akins beg.

The arguments against the project seemed better than the arguments for.  Supply diversity?  Really?  You think AEP customers should pay extra for that?  Then why don't you sign a few more wind PPAs, rather than buy a wind farm and build a 350-mile gen tie?  It would probably be a lot cheaper.

The Commissioners didn't look very convinced.  After the arguments were over, the chairwoman asked the other commissioners how they wanted to proceed and they all agreed that they need more time to think about things.  They're looking at the Louisiana settlement and trying to figure out which parts would fall under a most favored nations clause and how that would affect the bottom line.

She then said she couldn't approve it as it now stands.  It needs more protections for consumers.  She urged the parties to come up with more consumer guarantees that might help her feel more comfortable.  Sounds like the ball's in AEP's court on that one.  Only AEP can provide more customer guarantees... ones that actually mitigate customer risk this time would be nice.  Except... oh wait a tick... any real guarantee would require financial risk on the part of the company.  Like if SWEPCO's guarantees of benefit don't pan out, will it still pay the same benefits out of the company's profits?  But that's no good either, since a REAL guarantee would put SWEPCO at financial risk and affect the health of the company.  A utility that isn't turning a profit, that isn't financially healthy, is bad for its customers.

Damned if you do, AEP.
Damned if you don't.

It's over.  Time to send Wind Catcher to the great dump heap of failed ideas and try to find some creative accounting way to recover all the money you've wasted on this endeavor.

The Commission agreed to re-visit the case at their next open meeting on July 26.  The chairwoman was certain all the AEP guys couldn't wait to come back then.

Don't count on it.  I think they're going to be announcing to the investment community that the project is being canned right about then.

Dilemma... which meeting will be more fun to listen to first?
1 Comment

Tommy, I've Got Your Number

7/11/2018

0 Comments

 
Tommy, Tommy, who can I turn to?
You give me something I can laugh hard at
I know you'll think I'm like the others before

Who saw your name and number on the wall...
...and your ridiculous new "Code of Conduct Principles" on the web.  Is that what happens when one of your prior "Codes of Conduct" mates with your "Principles of Business Conduct?"

Can't get that song out of my head.  Thanks a lot, Tommy.  You're a real pal.

Wind Catcher has some new "Code of Conduct Principles" on its website.  It attempts to take some lines from the old "Code of Conduct" and then adds some new stuff that can only create hilarity.
Tommy, Tommy, you're the manager for me
You don't know me but you make me so silly
I tried to call you before but I lost my nerve
I tried my imagination but I was disturbed

Mostly I was disturbed by this "principle":
Except in response to a question from a landowner, Project Representatives will not represent that a relative, neighbor and/or friend supports or opposes the Project, even if it’s true.
Except in response to a question from a landowner?  Because if a landowner asks a question (any question apparently, such as, "is the sky blue today?") it's okay to divulge information about another person? 

But what about these principles?
All communications and interactions with property owners and occupants must respect the privacy of property owners and other persons.

The details of the negotiations with property owners and occupants are to remain confidential unless allowed by the landowner. Project Representatives will not discuss these details with other property owners or other persons unaffiliated with PSO or the Project.


Project Representatives will not ask relatives, neighbors and/or friends to influence the property owner.
These principles go together sort of like oil and water.  Whipped cream on a Triscuit.  Salisbury steak on an ice cream sundae.  So, if a landowner asks, is it okay to tell them that a neighbor, friend, or relative has agreed to an easement, even if it's not true?  What does the truthfulness of telling tales on other people have to do with easement negotiations anyhow?  And whether or not a neighbor, friend, or relative supports or opposes a project can be used by the land agent to try to influence negotiations with another, as long as the land agent doesn't ask the friend, neighbor or relative to influence the landowner directly?

This is garbage.  It's ridiculous.  It's unenforceable.

Oh, right.  I get it now.  Nobody enforces these "principles" so it's okay to make them as confusing, contradictory, and devoid of true meaning as possible.  What's a landowner to do when a land agent violates any of these principles?
Tommy, I've got your number
I need to report a violation
Tommy, don't change your number

Because there's been hundreds of violations already!  Do you mean that from now on this is a problem, although your land agents have used it extensively in the past (like yesterday).
While PSO has the legal right to use court proceedings to obtain land rights for the Project, the Project Representatives should not threaten to call law enforcement officers, obtain court orders, or threaten the use of eminent domain.
I don't think a land agent can operate without using the words "eminent domain."  Without them, a land agent has nothing.  Especially when...
Project Representatives will respect all communications from property owners to them – whether in person, by telephone or in writing – in which the property owner indicates that he or she does not want to negotiate or does not want to give permission for surveying or other work on his or her property. Unless specifically authorized by PSO, Project Representatives will not contact the property owner again regarding negotiations or requests for permission to survey.

When asked to leave a property, Property Representatives will promptly leave and not return unless specifically authorized by PSO.


Buh-bye!  Your land agents are going to have a lot of free time on their hands, if they paid attention in PSO Customer Relations Training class.  Maybe you can hold more classes to keep them busy?  I suggest enrichment activities related to recognizing a "threat."
If threatened, Project Representatives will promptly and politely leave the property.

This should probably include units on running like hell, because a true threat from a crazy landowner doesn't allow for a controlled and polite exit. 

What, exactly, constitutes a threat?   If a landowner says, "If you don't quit asking me for an easement, I'm going to call Tommy?"  Would that make a land agent leave?
Tommy, I've got your number
I need to make your land agent leave
Tommy, don't change your number

But this... this has to be my favorite line in the whole "Code of Conduct Principles":
Project Representatives will not give the property owner any legal advice.
Because that would be practicing law without a license, since I'll assume your project representatives are not lawyers.  But if they did, would it be okay if it was true?  Would it be considered a threat?

Are the land agents going to be handing out copies of these "principles" when they call on landowners from now on?  Way to throw landowners off balance and encourage them to talk to land agents longer just to see how long it takes for a violation of the principles to occur!  If that happens, maybe people don't want to call you, Tommy, although I don't see your phone number on the principles, nor any other way for a landowner to report a violation.  I guess they'll just have to report violations to Dana Murphy at the Oklahoma Corporation Commission.
I got it (i got it) I got it
I got her number on the wall
I got it (i got it) I got it
For a violation, for a violation call...

0 Comments

For A Good Time, Call...

7/11/2018

0 Comments

 
Remember back in junior high school when you wrote on bathroom walls?  You'd write things like, "For a good time, call...." followed by the name and phone number of someone you didn't like.  Seemed like a good idea at the time, but do you know anyone who actually ever called "for a good time?"  I've asked, but no one has admitted to doing so.

After Oklahoma Corporation Commission chairman Dana Murphy chided AEP for its mistreatment of landowners affected by the company's Wind Catcher project last week, and called the issue "a systemic problem" that she felt the company needed to step up and deal with, AEP has offered a "good time" to irate landowners.

Call Tom Schaffer with AEP. His direct number is 614-933-2025.

This is how AEP is dealing with its landowner problems.  By giving them somebody to yell at.

His linked in profile says he is Transmission Right of Way Manager at AEP.  Tom claims to be "
highly successful in building, developing and maintaining relationships..."

So if there's something you need, or you just want to have a good time,

CALL TOM AT 614-933-2025 

Operators are standing by to take your call...  see how Tom can help you with an AEP transmission project right of way problem today!


0 Comments
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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