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Maine Legislator Proposes Consumer Owned Utility

1/30/2019

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What if states took their power back from foreign-owned utilities and saved money in the process?  That's the basis for a new plan proposed this week by Maine Rep. Seth Berry, co-chairman of the Legislature’s Energy, Utilities and Technology Committee.  It's shocking, it's stunning, it's brilliant!
The plan would require Central Maine Power and Emera Maine to sell all transmission and distribution assets to the proposed Maine Power Delivery Authority. Bill supporters said the authority would use low-interest revenue bonds to make the multibillion-dollar purchase, allowing the new consumer-owned utility to provide electricity to most Maine residents at lower rates than those charged by the two investor-owned utilities.

The proposal is, in part, a response to the controversies that have dogged CMP since an October 2017 windstorm left some customers without power for more than a week, as well as massive bill spikes reported by thousands of customers.

“Maine people want and deserve a utility that will keep the costs down and the lights on and put its Maine customers and workers first,” said Berry, the co-chairman of the Legislature’s Energy, Utilities and Technology Committee. “Our current utilities have failed us in every respect, with the clear exception of our own consumer-owned utilities.”

Why, indeed, do we allow ourselves to become captive customers of investor-owned mega-utilities who run roughshod over our lawmakers and regulators in their own pecuniary interest?  Whoever thought giving investor-owned corporations monopoly power over a necessary service was a good idea?  It's a terrible idea!  When out-of-state (and even out-of-country) for-profit corporations own a monopoly we depend upon, we end up paying more than we need to to ensure corporate profit, huge compensation packages for over-stuffed executives, and buckets of dark money that funds continued dominance and profit.  All those things disappear when our utility is a not-for-profit.  There's nothing wrong with paying at cost rates for a monopoly service, it's all those other costs that run up our bills unnecessarily.  A not-for-profit collects just enough money to run the business. 

How would this proposal work?
...the state create[s] a nonprofit, consumer-owned transmission and distribution utility, and have it take over CMP and Emera’s assets and operations.

“A Maine power delivery utility that purchases at a fair price the assets of CMP and Emera Maine, and shakes their hands and says, respectfully, ‘goodbye,’” he says.

That could cost at least $4 billion, the value of the combined CMP and Emera assets according to 2017 filings with state regulators. Berry says it would be affordable though, because the state would float revenue bonds to finance the purchases — bonds that are not taxed by the federal government.
“This is not magic, it’s not sleight of hand. We are refinancing at different interest rates. That’s all it is, and that’s how we would reduce rates,” he says.

And Berry says that in addition to the debt-cost savings, ratepayers in the newly created Maine Power Delivery Authority would also benefit because their rates would no longer have to return profits to private investors — returns that routinely rise over 10 percent in Maine. That tax savings and the lack of a the need to generate profits for shareholders, he estimates, would cut electricity delivery rates by 15 percent while improving service reliability.
That's right, it's a refinancing of utility debt at a lower interest rate.  The interest rate of a utility with good credit and a captive ratepayer revenue stream is probably less than 5%.  That's the rate at which the utility could borrow the $4B to pay the investor-owned utilities for their stranded investment and take over ownership of the infrastructure.  Since electric consumers would be on the hook for that $4B whether it was to a consumer-owned utility or one owned by investors, the only difference is rate savings.  Investor-owned utilities earn a profitable "rate of return" from consumers on their investment in utility infrastructure in the neighborhood of 10%.  The difference between 10% interest and 5% interest on a balance of $4B is significant.  All that cash could turn into a rate benefit for consumers.

Under the plan, the new consumer-owned utility would take the transmission and distribution assets of CMP and Emera and pay "just compensation" for them.  The investor-owned utilities would be made whole for their costs, but it wouldn't be at 10% interest over 50 years.  They would be paid off for their current equity, dollar for dollar.  The true value of the assets, if sold on the open market, should not be a factor, as transmission and distribution assets are paid for by customers over long periods of time.  Once fully depreciated, or paid for, the assets belong to the consumers who paid for them.  The investor-owned utility should not be reimbursed for the value paid by consumers over the life of the assets, in addition to what is still owed... that would require consumers to pay twice for the same assets.

CMP objects to having its property confiscated this way.
CMP spokeswoman Catherine Hartnett said few details of Berry’s bill – which is still in the legislative drafting office – have been released but the company has “strong concerns about the state seizing private property.” Hartnett questioned how the proposed authority would match the professional experience and on-the-ground knowledge of CMP workers.

“Every time it has come up before (in the Legislature), it has been rejected first of all because of the questionable benefits, but also because of the constitutional issues,” Hartnett said.
CMP is concerned about the state seizing private property?  That's funny!  I'm betting CMP is a strong advocate of CMP seizing private property using the power of the state when it wants new utility rights-of-way.  Puh-leeze, CMP, you slay me!
And about that professional experience and on-the-ground knowledge of CMP workers?  The proposal would retain current employees, at least the ones who do the work to keep the utility functioning.  The fat cat executives aren't necessary at a consumer-owned utility.  And those fat cats pull in multiple millions in salaries and benefits every year.  Perhaps a consumer-owned utility could pass along the salary savings to consumers, or perhaps they could use that money to increase the pay and benefits for current employees.  Or perhaps a new consumer-owned utility could do a little of both.

This proposal is win, win, win!  Everybody benefits, except for a few fat cat executives and parent company balance sheets.  It's long overdue just desserts for an industry that has gone dangerously out of control.

Bravo, Maine!


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ATC/ITC Jump Aboard the Ratepayer Funding Express

1/23/2019

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Last week, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approved an abandonment incentive for both companies to recover their investment in the Cardinal Hickory Creek transmission line across Wisconsin and Iowa.  FERC has been allowing incentive rate treatments for transmission investment since the mid-2000's.  As incentives go, this is one that doesn't have immediate rate impacts and may never actually be used... unless the Cardinal Hickory Creek project is abandoned before being completed.

What's abandonment and what does the incentive do?  Abandonment is just a fancy term for project cancellation.  In order to collect on this incentive, the utility must have no fault in the abandonment.  The project must be cancelled for reason.  A utility can't simply cancel a project without reason, and then collect its investment.  Like most projects granted this incentive, Cardinal Hickory Creek is the product of a regional planning process.  Once ordered to construct the project by the regional authority, the utility must proceed until ordered to stop by the authority.  Regional planning authorities sometimes cancel projects before they're built, usually because the case for "need" falters and the authority can no longer support building it.  Another reason to abandon a project is if it fails to receive all needed approvals, such as from a state regulator or agency, from a local government, or from a federal agency.  Is there ever a "sure thing" when it comes to transmission approvals?  There shouldn't be, since states have sole jurisdiction on transmission permitting and siting.  Many consider the abandonment incentive unnecessary, because every transmission project faces the risk that it may not be permitted.  Why are only some of them awarded the incentive, and not all of them?  Is the permitting risk so pervasively routine that incentives to lower the risk are unnecessary?  It all depends on what the utility asks for.  FERC doesn't award incentives that aren't requested.  So, is it indicative of a higher risk when a project applies for the abandonment incentive and is approved?  Perhaps... but maybe it's more a product of the amount of money that must be expended before approvals are secured.  The  more money the utility must put into the project before the approval risk is ameliorated, the greater the loss it may suffer if approvals are not received.  Having the abandonment incentive turns on the money spigot, allowing the utility to invest large sums in a transmission project with little to no risk that they won't be able to recover it later, plus interest (return on equity).  And it should be noted that FERC is guaranteeing that the utility can apply to recover this investment from ratepayers.  There is no special governmental fund behind this incentive, it's your money at risk here.

Now on to how it works...  if a project is abandoned, the utility must make a filing with FERC that demonstrates the abandonment wasn't their fault, and detailing the project costs it seeks to recover, as well as the suggested time period for recovery.  Other parties may intervene to protest any of these contentions, and eventually FERC makes a determination of whether the abandonment was through no fault of the utility, how much of the claimed expense may be recovered, and over what amount of time.  Also likely would be requests by the other parties to reduce the return on equity percentage.  On the matter of how much may be recovered, FERC allows "prudent" expenses to be recovered.  What's "prudent?"  It is defined as an action that would be taken by a similarly situated utility manager at that particular point in time.  And there is no Monday morning quarterbacking going on here... nothing that happens AFTER the expense matters because it could not be known to the utility at the time it made the expenditure.  As well, the burden of prudence gets shifted to the other parties.  All utility expenses are presumed prudent unless another party proves they are not.  It's a heavy burden to carry.

Because a utility's FERC formula rate segregates capital (or plant) expenses from Operations & Maintenance expense that is recovered dollar for dollar as it is spent, the abandonment incentive only applies to abandoned plant.  Plant expenses are capital expenses -- the cost of the infrastructure, or physical plant.  These expenses are not reimbursed through the formula rate until the plant goes in service (is completed and working).  Therefore, they're accumulating while the plant is in the approvals, engineering, and construction phases.  Once plant is put in service, it slowly depreciates during its useful life, and the utility is paid for its use over that period of time (plus return, or interest) on the remaining balance.  If FERC approves an abandonment filing, it would allow the utility to begin recouping its investment in plant, even though it never went in service.  Usually recovery times are shortened here to a period between 1 to 5 years, depending on the plant balance and its effect on ratepayers.

What can a utility put in its plant accounts?  It's tricky and nuanced and comes with thousands of pages of instructions, known as FERC's Uniform System of Accounts.  But generally it includes physical assets, engineering costs, land costs, surveying costs, siting costs, regulatory and permitting costs, and labor.  It shall NOT include public relations or advertising costs.  (yay, precedent!)  So if you notice your utility spending a lot of money on advertising, public relations or lobbying, do not wait until abandonment happens to try to get those costs deemed imprudent.  Those costs may have been recovered as O&M in previous years.  It's unclear where ATC may try to fit these costs into its recovery (but they do recover them, according to a former executive testifying before a FERC ALJ).  FERC's Opinion No. 554 determined that advertising and public relations are not recoverable project cost in any account.  Keep this in mind going forward.

This article covers FERC's approval of ATC/ITC's abandonment incentive, but gets somewhat lost on process.  It claims:
In 2012, the developers of a proposed transmission line between West Virginia and Maryland sought to recover $121.5 million the company had spent before grid operators decided the $2.1 billion project was no longer needed.
FERC later told the utilities they were ineligible for at least $7 million of the $121.5 million requested, including $6.2 million in advocacy, advertising and lobbying expenses.

Of the $6.2M disallowed, only a very small portion was ever incorrectly recorded in plant accounts.  That disallowance flowed from a  number of formal challenge rate proceedings that had absolutely nothing to do with PATH's abandonment.  Unfortunately FERC consolidated the formal challenges with the abandonment for "consolidation" of two issues that were not at all similar.  I can see how the confusion happens.  It's a FERCenese problem.  (FERCenese |ferk in knees| noun:  The incomprehensible, acronym-laden gibberish spoken at FERC that is hard for common folks to understand.  Origin:  Electric ratepayer Scott Thorsen, standing in a field in Illinois.)
There are some who want to celebrate the fact that ATC/ITC believe they need the abandonment incentive because they believe it indicates a real chance at failure.  And there are some who are believe that the granting of the incentive makes the utilities more likely to persist instead of abandoning the project.  Let's take a look at what the utilities said to FERC to convince them to grant the incentive.

ITC says:
There is significant uncertainty and risk to the Project due to its scope, size and long lead times, and because the Project requires approval from Iowa, Wisconsin and multiple federal agencies. In particular, there is a risk that the federal agencies may select a different river crossing than that authorized by the IUB or the PSCW. If this occurs, there is a risk of additional delay that may threaten the ability of the Project to move forward.
The Project also involves multiple owners which requires coordination. In addition, the Project may face challenges and objections in the easement acquisition process in Iowa.
ATC says:
These approvals and permits are not guaranteed to be granted, and the Project could be delayed or terminated, or the final route changed, if ATC is unable to obtain any of these approvals or permits. In particular, the federal agencies may select a different Mississippi River crossing than that authorized by the IUB or the PSCW, which could delay or result in termination of the Project.

The scope, size, cost, long-lead times and participation by multiple owners pose  inherent risks for the Project. As my description of the Project makes clear, the size, scope and complexity of the Project – involving approximately 102- to 120-miles of new 345 kV transmission line and a new substation and related facilities, spanning multiple states and jurisdictions, crossing the Mississippi River, with multiple owners for a cost of approximately $492 Million to $543 Million – is significant. Further, the easement acquisition process may be contentious, resulting in delays or increased costs.
Both companies are concerned about the Mississippi River crossing.  Both companies are concerned about permitting.  Both companies are concerned about easement acquisition.  Aren't these all things that the utilities can seek to overcome by spending more money?

I think there's merit to both arguments.  First, the utilities have tipped their hand to reveal their greatest weaknesses.  Yay!  But they have also been encouraged by the incentive to spend whatever it takes to steamroll permitting agencies and resistant landowners and drag this project out as long as possible before abandoning it.  Boo!
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Who Needs A $5 Cadillac?

1/21/2019

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Sign me up!  If Grain Belt Express is selling $5 Cadillacs, I need one!  I mean, I really NEED one! 

Missouri Landowners Alliance triumphs once again in their reply brief...
The MLA respectfully contends that the type of “need” created by Grain Belt in inducing MJMEUC to buy its product is not a true “need” for the service in the sense envisioned in the Tartan case. By analogy, it seems safe to say that not every family in Jefferson City truly “needs” to own a Cadillac. But if a dealer were for some reason to offer a Cadillac to everyone in the City for say $5.00, would the fact that virtually every family in the City was now driving a Cadillac suddenly prove there really was a “need” for those cars after all?

To the contrary, the MLA submits that actual “need” for any product cannot be
artificially created by practically giving it away, as Grain Belt has done here. “Need” is not the same as “Want”.
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Okay, maybe I'd just want one... because it was so cheap.  But when would my want turn into plain old greed?   Would my "need" actually be "greed" instead?

It's always been obvious that MJMEUC is only onboard the Grain Belt Express for pure and simple greed.  MJMEUC's analysis of how much it would "save" in this deal isn't even logical.
To begin with, the only meaningful means to determine what MJMEUC might have saved by using the Grain Belt line is to compare MJMEUC’s total cost of power from that line to MJMEUC’s next best alternative at the time it signed the contract with Grain Belt. The problem is, before MJMEUC signed the TSA with Grain Belt, it did not bother to solicit bids from any other party to replace the expiring Illinois coal contract. Therefore, neither MJMEUC nor anyone else will ever know what the best alternative would have been to signing the TSA with Grain Belt.

For the above reasons, the MLA respectfully submits that Grain Belt failed to prove that the need for the line in Missouri is anything but an illusion of its own making.

MJMEUC's greed has failed the ratepayers it supposedly serves by foregoing any real opportunities to replace the Illinois coal contract, and instead pinning its hopes on a transmission project that will never happen.  The time to get a good deal is ticking away and MJMEUC may end up paying much more when GBE never materializes and it's forced to take what it can get at the last minute.  A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush, isn't it?  At least that's the rule most of us live by.  Showing your resolve by sticking with an impossible pipe dream is for personal pursuits, not utility decisions.  MJMEUC should be making decisions based on ratepayer interests when it considers both cost and risk.  While the cost of renewable energy could be "cheaper" with GBE, the project is so fraught with risk that other viable alternatives must be explored, lest the ratepayers take it in the shorts while MJMEUC is sticking its head in the sand and mumbling greedy platitudes.

MLA also tackles the audacity of GBE, who presumes the PSC will necessarily be obligated to approve its sale to Invenergy because it has relied on the finances of Invenergy to issue a permit to GBE.
In short, all of the cases cited by Grain Belt on this issue merely support the reliance on the resources of Clean Line, and not those of a third party with no ownership in the Applicant.  Thus based on Grain Belt’s own analysis, it is asking the Commission to take a position here for which there apparently is no precedent.

A more fundamental problem with Grain Belt’s argument on this point is that it is once again taking for granted that future decisions of the Commission will be made in Grain Belt’s favor. Specifically, before the sale of Grain Belt to Invenergy may close, those parties need not only the CCN in this proceeding, but also the permission of the Commission for the sale of the Grain Belt project to Invenergy in a case which has yet to be filed. If that sale is not approved, then of course Grain Belt never gains access to the resources of Invenergy. Thus in asking the Commission to decide the two Tartan criteria on the basis of Invenergy’s expertise and stronger financial status, they are necessarily asking the Commission to assume that it will later approve the sale of Grain Belt to Invenergy. And this request is being made by Grain Belt before the Commission has even seen or heard a word of evidence in the case which will decide that issue.

This is particularly presumptuous on Grain Belt’s part, in that they have stated unequivocally that the Commission does not even have the authority to approve the proposed sale which they now take for granted will be approved.

Even if Grain Belt successfully manages to disavow its earlier position, which seems unlikely, it is totally inappropriate for Grain Belt to even suggest to the Commission that it should assume it will approve the sale of Grain Belt to Invenergy before that case is even filed.

Despite the prognoses of what the Commission will do in some unfiled case, as matters now stand there is no basis for granting a CCN to the Applicant on the basis of speculation about its possible access to Invenergy’s resources.
Chicken, egg.
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The approval of the sale HAS TO come before the consideration of Invenergy's finances as the owner of the project.  Until the sale closes Invenergy owns nothing.  And it's not even as if the Commission can control all the variables here to ensure that the sale happens.  The sale is also contingent upon the approval of the Kansas Corporation Commission.  I'm pretty sure the MO PSC will have disposed of this matter long before the KCC issues a decision on the sale, even if it expedites the matter.  The Commission simply cannot rely on ownership that doesn't exist and over which it can have no control.  Monday morning quarterbacking isn't going to cut it with a court.

And then there's the issue of whether or not Grain Belt Express is economically feasible.  When it was supposed to connect with the PJM market at least there was a pretense that it could, hypothetically, be feasible if buyers in PJM wanted to pay high prices for service.  But reality is that Grain Belt Express is not going to get anywhere near PJM any longer.  It absolutely WILL NOT be approved through Illinois.  There's too much judicial history here that cannot be avoided.  The court didn't believe that an entity that did not serve all customers equally could be a public utility under state law and existing precedent.  It doesn't matter how much "utility property" GBE wants to buy in Illinois, it cannot be a public utility because of its business plan and rate scheme.  End of story.

This is an argument that Staff, GBE and its sycophants are pretending not to understand.  Either you're all as dumb as a post, or you're merely pretending not to understand in the hopes of leading the Commission astray from the real argument.  You don't have anything, anything at all, to counter MLA's argument that GBE is not a public utility, do you?

Here it is again... right here.  Read carefully.
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1.  A public utility must serve all customers who request service, even if it means expanding its facilities.

2.  A public utility must charge the same rate to all similarly situated customers.  It cannot charge different rates to identical customers.

Therefore, GBE is more likely to terminate in Missouri.
Grain Belt supports its position on this issue primarily with broad generalizations about the market for wind generation. And while it contends that “the economic feasibility of the Project continues to be strong”, it does not even attempt to make a case for the economic feasibility of the Missouri segment of the line, without access to the PJM market.

As the MLA and Show Me discussed in their initial brief on remand, there is a definite possibility that the line will ultimately terminate in Missouri, thereby precluding access to the very markets which could make the project economically feasible.

As the NRDC and Sierra Club suggest, Missouri might be a “loss leader” for Grain Belt. But as they then note, according to the concurring opinion the project relies for its economic viability on the higher prices in the PJM market. But of course if the project cannot reach the PJM market, it is left only with the loss leader segment of the line in Missouri.
So, let's think about this... if GBE terminates in Missouri, it would mean an engineering change that would purportedly require another trip before the Commission, if certain conditions are ordered.  And what would the Commission do with a permitted project where the route completely changes?  Would it require re-application with notice to newly affected landowners?  Or would it merely try to alter existing permissions to fit a completely different project?  And what if the engineering change is actually a business plan/rate structure change?  Would that need to be re-examined?  What if GBE changes into a generation tie line that doesn't need Commission approval at all?  How does the Missouri PSC assert any authority over a project outside its jurisdiction?  Perhaps GBE isn't a public utility subject to PSC jurisdiction even now.  That sort of makes things, clearer, doesn't it?

I'm really finding it hard to believe that Invenergy wants to own a transmission project where it may sell capacity to its competitors and enable them to reach the more profitable PJM markets with their generation.  Invenergy would have to be completely idiotic to do that.  But yet the Commission is being asked to believe this story.  Invenergy may be called a lot of things by its opponents, but stupid has never been one of them.

So now this mess is in the hands of the Missouri PSC.  Ample support has been provided to deny the application.  The only thing approval would bring is another expensive trip through the courts.  How much are the taxpayers of Missouri supposed to spend entertaining this greedy project?  Stop the bleeding.
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FERC Orders PATH To Make More Refunds

1/18/2019

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What happens when a transmission company can't keep track of its own finances?  FERC to the rescue!  In the wake of FERC's Opinion No. 554 ordering PATH to refund all of its advertising, civic and political costs at issue in the formal challenge proceeding, PATH was ordered to make a compliance filing and refund report.  Except what PATH filed was incomprehensible gibberish.  FERC has tried valiantly to make sense out of it ever since.  PATH made additional compliance filings to correct previous errors which created nothing more than a huge quagmire of inconsistency.  That's pretty much standard procedure for PATH's accounting.  *I'm not sure these people know what they're doing!*
But FERC did not give up and run exasperated and screaming from the room.  I appreciate that.  FERC says
We find discrepancies between the General Advertising amounts reclassified by PATH in its Compliance Filings compared to the General Advertising amounts the Commission required PATH to reclassify in Opinion No. 554.

On compliance, PATH must eliminate all General Advertising costs from its recoverable amounts, or else specifically justify each item in light of Opinion No. 554.  In making the compliance filing, PATH must provide the journal entries to reflect the adjustments, and workpapers necessary to explain the accounting corrections for that FERC Form No. 1 input that references back to the journal entries; and the revised/corrected draft Form No. 1 inputs.
FERC has found further errors on PATH's part and ordered them corrected.  Let's put an end to this quagmire and drain the PATH swamp!

Meanwhile, PATH wants the Commission to approve its request to liquidate the $70M of profit PATH has accumulated and give it to the parent companies, FirstEnergy and AEP.  $70M!  For a transmission line project that never put a shovel in the ground.  That's quite a participation trophy!

But first, the Commission needs PATH to make a COMPLIANCE FILING detailing its post-Opinion No. 554 land sales.
Did you make a compliance filing, PATH?

No!  We don't need to!  We made an informational filing!

Are you sure you don't need to make a compliance filing, PATH?

No!  FERC meant an informational filing, not a compliance filing!

Where's our $70M?

It would almost be funny, if it wasn't so costly to ratepayers.

PATH has 30 days to make the compliance filing it should have made after its land auctions, and 30-days to make its compliance filing on the removal of advertising costs.  PATH has 60 days to make its refund report.  PATH was also ordered to wrap up its business at the Commission.  Won't we all be happy when PATH quits sliding its claws into our ratepayer wallets?  As much as I look forward to the twice yearly phone gab fests, I would like to see this done.  It's time to move on!
PATH must submit a compliance filing with the Commission describing either:  (1) its plan for ending its operations and a timeline for when it intends to file a notice of cancellation of its transmission formula rates, or (2) the type of “transmission or sale of electric energy” that requires its rates to stay in effect.  We direct PATH to submit this compliance filing within 30 days of the date of this order.  To the extent that PATH intends to unwind, PATH must make the appropriate filings under FPA section 205, as necessary, to implement this action.  PATH shall notify the Commission within 10 days of the date that the closing out of business is complete.
Can we get a hallelujah, brothers and sisters?

Except there's this... "Interested parties may “file comments on PATH’s compliance filing 30 days from the date PATH makes its compliance filing.”

And this...

"We note that PATH’s refund obligations may change as a result of further Commission orders in this proceeding."

Can PATH find its way out of the FERC maze and collect its $70M?  Or will FERC snatch it out of their hands before they get to the exit?  Stay tuned... 
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Californians Still Making Excuses To Avoid Burial of Transmission Lines

1/15/2019

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California investor-owned utility Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E) is still making excuses for its liability for the mass destruction left after its transmission lines sparked another deadly wild fire.  With only $1.4B worth of wild fire liability insurance, and facing upwards of $30B in liability claims, PG&E will file for bankruptcy protection.

But somehow the "bankrupt" company will continue to exist and provide "safe" and economical electricity service to its customers.  Oh, get real!!!

So, let's see... transmission line failures, combined with insufficient ROW clearing, have sparked more than a dozen fires in the past couple years.  What if... what if you remove the transmission lines from the tinder?  Of course it's going to be expensive, but $30B and climbing?  Aging lines in fire-prone areas should be replaced, and new lines should be constructed underground.
“Underground is about 10 times more expensive than overhead,” said Malashenko, who is the PUC safety and enforcement division director. “If we were to underground (throughout) California, all our rates would go up ten times.”
Oh, baloney!  Ten times, you say?  I simply don't believe you!  How about twice... as in two times more expensive, roughly?  Why do you exaggerate like this?  The "ten times" lie is one routinely spewed by transmission companies who don't want to underground their lines.

Underground lines also face risk from earthquakes and floods!  Uhh... because overhead lines face no risk from those hazards?  Of course not!  The risk is the same.  She also claims underground wires are harder to maintain.  Perhaps, but they need less maintenance overall because they're not exposed to the elements.  And it's harder to find the fault when they do break?  What is this?  1850?  I'm pretty sure a fault could be pinpointed to a certain section between vaults.

Excuses, excuses, excuses.  The answer here is quite simple... transmission lines should be buried to protect them from the wear and tear of the elements, and to protect the environment from the risk faulty transmission lines pose.

How about now, PG&E?  Is burial of new lines cheaper than bankruptcy?

And then there's the crazy claims that PG&E is the victim of climate change.  As if climate change caused the fires?  Some would like you to think so.  But the reality is that exposed overhead transmission lines and lack of vegetation maintenance were perhaps the biggest reason for the fires.  And let's take this climate change reasoning a little further, shall we?  Climate change science says we must reduce carbon emissions from fossil fuel electricity generation.  We are supposed to shut down old generation and replace it (although not equally) with fossil-free generation such as wind and solar.  Is wind and solar available to all locations equally?  No.  The climate change folks want to create huge wind and solar farms at strategic locations and run overhead transmission lines thousands of miles to places like California.  The last thing California needs right now is more overhead transmission lines.  Climate change is everyone's favorite villain, but blaming corporate neglect on climate change is a bait and switch of epic proportions.

Less transmission.
Bury it.
Stop robbing utility O&M accounts to increase share dividends.
Bankruptcy is not a way to escape liability.
Think about the consequences of your actions (or lack thereof).
Quit blaming convenient scapegoats.
And maybe, just maybe, investor-owned utilities are a dumb idea.
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Maryland Agency Asks For Dismissal of Transource Application

1/4/2019

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Merry Christmas, Transource opponents!  The Power Plant Research Program of the Maryland Department of Natural Resources (PPRP) filed a Motion to Dismiss the Transource application on December 20.

The PPRP says that Transource and PJM failed to carry out an analysis of alternatives required by Maryland §7-209 of the Public Utilities Article.  This statute requires an analysis of the use of existing transmission in lieu of installing new transmission on new right of way.

PPRP also notes the applicant's changing "need" for the Independence Energy Connection.
In addition, given its responses to data requests and Transource’s filings in the Pennsylvania proceeding, it appears that Transource is modifying its position as to the need for and benefits of the Project from a straightforward purpose of lowering some customers’ electricity costs as a “market efficiency project” to now asserting other benefits associated with emerging reliability concerns. However, if PJM has now determined that there are reliability concerns and an associated need for transmission system enhancements, it would be more appropriate to first investigate reasonable alternatives within the relevant PJM processes rather than latching solutions on to this discretionary market efficiency project.
Bingo!  It sure appears that PJM and Transource are changing horses in midstream after the one they were riding came up lame.  And who can actually believe anything these two say anymore when their story changes like that?  Besides, this isn't the way PJM evaluates transmission to serve reliability needs.  PJM is simply making it up at they go along.

PJM's process for evaluating and ordering market efficiency projects does not comport with Maryland statute.
Furthermore, even though PJM’s market efficiency processes do not incorporate Maryland statutes, it is incumbent on the Applicant to meet the State’s requirements for a CPCN by presenting alternatives to the Project that use existing lines. The PJM process is not a substitute for Maryland’s statutory requirements and its determination that a project is the most effective solution should not allow that project to circumvent Maryland’s comprehensive siting process.
BOOM!  Maryland isn't buying PJM's assertion that it is some omnipotent grid oracle who must be obeyed.  The real oracle here is the State of Maryland.  PJM's role is that of a planner who suggests transmission.  Maryland has the role of deciding whether or not the transmission proposed is a good idea.

PJM never seriously considered using existing transmission to meet the supposed "need" for the IEC.  PJM purports that such an examination is not part of its process.  PJM pretends it is prisoner to projects proposed by its members and cannot require (or even think about) modifying proposals to reduce impacts by using existing transmission to solve the "need."  Well, guess what, PJM?  Your process is incorrect and needs modification!  PJM's process is more in love with the idea of competitive transmission proposals than it is with promoting efficiency and reduced impacts.  That needs to change.  And if the IEC changes to include the use of existing transmission, it would be much more efficient and cost effective to award the project to the incumbents who own the existing transmission in question.  Where's the cost effectiveness of awarding the project to some third party who must pay the incumbent for use of its right of way and towers?  That's adding unnecessary cost to the project, when market efficiency projects are supposed to be all about lowering costs.  And we know it's just not possible for PJM to force the incumbents to allow free use of their infrastructure to a third party.  IEC is a failure on so many levels!

PJM is also a failure.  PJM's insistence on the necessity for this badly planned project is failing the electric consumers PJM supposedly serves.  And it's costing them a lot of money to continue to entertain this bad idea.  What's it going to take to make PJM give up this charade?  An order from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission to change its competitive transmission process?  It not only prevents unnecessary spending, it also makes great common sense for PJM to incorporate an analysis of existing transmission use and a real "constructability analysis" into its planning.  The IEC is a dead dog.  Stop the bleeding and fall on your sword, PJM, this project is dead.  It will never be approved by the states, and the states have final authority on whether or not it will be built.  Quit wasting my money tilting at the windmills of inevitability that this project is going to be denied.  There are a multitude of options available to PJM to cancel or suspend the IEC right now.

However, the Maryland PSC has set a deadline for responses to the Motion to Dismiss of January 7.  After that, the Commission will make a decision.  Let's hope it's a sensible one!
1 Comment

How Much Does Opposition Cost?

12/6/2018

1 Comment

 
Opposition to new aerial transmission lines is nothing new.  It's been around almost as long as the transmission lines themselves.  Nobody wants to live with these things, but in the past they may have been a necessary evil, and in the past it may have been easier to overwhelm small communities to force an involuntary sacrifice.  The people were sacrificing their home, business, health, sense of place and peace of mind for benefit of other people who needed electricity.  We electrified the country in the last century.  Mission accomplished.

But today's transmission lines aren't needed for the same reasons.  The vast majority of today's transmission proposals are for other reasons, such as cheaper prices for customers in other regions, or "cleaner" energy for other regions.  It's no longer about bringing electricity to people without it, and it's not all about keeping the grid we have functioning and reliable.  For today's transmission companies, it's also about profit.  There's a fortune to be made constructing transmission and controlling new pathways to transport electricity further and further from its point of generation.

Today's transmission opposition has also undergone a vast sea change from the small, disconnected community groups of yore.  Now it's easy for small groups to connect with others and tap the experience of successful opposition groups, thanks to the internet.  We communicate differently in this century, and communication is oftentimes the secret sauce of success.  While transmission companies haven't changed their "best practice" tactics in decades, opposition is fleet and malleable.  The secret hierarchy of opposition groups makes them quick to adapt, and even quicker to deploy new, winning tactics.  The opponents are fighting with their hearts, the industry is fighting from a stale, dog-eared "playbook."  It's just a job for the industry warriors.  Personally, the only thing they get out of victory is a pat on the head, or maybe a bonus or promotion.  Opponents receive the opportunity to maintain the status quo, at least until the next transmission proposal invades.  They don't get a bonus.  In fact, the only return on their investment may be gazing out the window and not seeing an ugly transmission tower.  The transmission employee merely moves on to the next job... he can't see those towers from his house!  It's all about motivation, and transmission opposition groups are racking up an amazing list of victories.  It's simply no longer true that the transmission company wins every time.  In fact, they're probably closer to losing most of the time when faced with organized opposition.  Opposition is costing transmission companies a lot of money and often outright cancellation or failure of transmission proposals.

This recent opinion piece from Transmission Developers Inc. (TDI) defends its project from the inaccurate characterization of its project from competing transmission company Central Maine Power (CMP).  The two projects, both purposed to transmit hydropower from Quebec to Massachusetts, couldn't be more different.   CMP proposes aerial lines and many miles of new right of way through the Maine wilderness.  TDI, on the other hand, proposes new transmission that is underground and underwater, with no new overhead transmission lines.  CMP is also a second attempt to build new aerial lines to satisfy Massachusetts' huge appetite for "clean" power generated elsewhere (Not In My Backyard, eh, Massachusetts?).  Massachusetts' first choice was the ill-fated Northern Pass project through New Hampshire.  When that project was rejected by New Hampshire, CMP was selected as the second choice.  TDI gets no love from Massachusetts, who is only looking at the proposed cost, not the actual cost.  TDI points out something very important in its letter:
TDI, from the very beginning, took important community, environmental and aesthetic considerations into account when designing and siting the NECPL. TDI carefully chose underground technology specifically to minimize impacts on the people, viewshed and environment of Vermont. We recognized that the additional expense related to underground construction for NECPL was worth the alleviation of a multitude of genuine community and environmental concerns, and that the cost of any project can’t only be measured in dollars.
But can it be measured in dollars?  I think we can get pretty close!  Opposition causes real expense.

1.  Purchased advocacy.  Transmission companies first knee-jerk reaction to organized opposition is to compete with it by purchasing advocacy.  Front groups, advertising, and "donations" to advocate groups to win their favor cost money.  How much?  It sort of depends on how big a campaign the transmission company thinks it needs.  It also depends on the size of the opposition.  A bigger opposition requires larger expenditures to secure advocates.  People who are willing to sell their community down river for benefit of an out-of-state intruder can be pretty pricey if they're likely to receive a lifetime of ostracized backlash from their neighbors.  A transmission company can easily spend $10M or more on purchased advocacy.  Cha-ching!

2.  "Mitigation" payments to communities and community groups.  This can be a huge expense!  Transmission companies make agreements to "mitigate" their effect on local communities with monies paid to local governments, organizations, and business groups who are happy to push their community under the bus in exchange for cash.  Local governments figure payments from transmission companies benefit the community as a whole, and some of them are amazingly cheap dates.  Others not so much.  Organizations and business groups are all about personal profit or concessions that benefit the group or organization, at the expense of the community.  This is pure greed!  A transmission company can shell out at least $100M in "mitigation" payments to governments and groups that drive a hard bargain.  Cha-ching!

3.  Increased regulatory costs.  Opposition in the regulatory process costs money.  A transmission company must spend more money on legal fees, experts, and bogus "studies" to be submitted as evidence in the regulatory process.  A transmission company may also shell out a whole bunch of money to purchase the best political influence on the regulatory decision.  We're talking hundreds of millions of dollars in this category alone.  Cha-ching!

4.  Permitting delays.  Time is money, and good opposition can cause increased permitting delays.  An uncontested application can sail through the regulatory process in record time.  A contested application drags on and on and on.  How much does delay cost?  Over a month?  Over a number of months?  Over a year?  Over a number of years?  Opposition permitting delays are usually of the "years" category of delay.  The cost of delay to the transmission company can vary.  With a merchant project, the entire cost of the delay and value of the sunk investment is on the company.  This is hugely expensive.  With a ratepayer guaranteed, cost-allocated project it still costs just as much, however ratepayers are picking up the additional costs of delay, and paying the transmission company for the cost of its investment during the process.  While the costs are the same, it's all about who pays.  In the case of the merchant New England projects, the cost is on the company.  Cha-ching!

5.  Permitting failure.  It's reasonable to plan that a merchant transmission project may fail entirely after shelling out the money noted in the four previous categories.  In this case, the transmission company is left with nothing but a huge debt and some pretty angry investors.  Example:  The Clean Line merchant projects that spent over $200M in "development" costs and then failed to receive enough permits to build (and couldn't find any customers to pay for the projects, which was another huge factor in the failure).  Cha-ching!

A transmission project buried on existing public or private rights of way (such as roads or railroads, or under large bodies of water) that doesn't cross privately owned land, and doesn't use eminent domain, doesn't create the same kind of expensive opposition.  A project without opposition can avoid the expense of opposition, and as we've discussed, opposition costs money.  Lots of money.

A buried project may cost more to build, but it provides the kind of regulatory and price certainty that transmission companies need.  The odds are good that a buried project will be approved and built, whereas an aerial project with entrenched opposition will probably not be approved and will never be built.  Any customer who looks solely at price when considering competing transmission proposals fails to realize that after the cost and risk of opposition is added, they're going to end up paying the same, or more.  They may also experience the cost of failure.

Opposition is too expensive.  Choose the buried option.
1 Comment

"Some" Landowners Interfering With Investors' "Overhead Cash Registers"

11/10/2018

1 Comment

 
The arrogant renewable energy folks had a "forum" this week.  On the day of the "forum" a renewable energy news outlet ran a series of three obnoxious articles telling people that the electric transmission grid is outdated and overly congested.  The solution?  Lots more new transmission "for renewables."  (read wind).

This is never going to happen.  The reasons why are clear, if slightly beyond the thought capacity of an industry that continues to lie to itself.  Merchant transmission  has been a gigantic failure.  The articles gush on about troubled projects that have racked up one failure after another, while also noting the complete failure ("the wheels came off") of many others.  News flash:  They're all going to fail eventually!  Not one "renewable" merchant transmission project has been built.  They can't be built.

Reasons why include:

1.  No customers to pay for them!  Even when Clean Line thought it had the green light for its Plains & Eastern project, it failed to attract any customers to pay for it, and Clean Line bailed at the first opportunity to unload this cash cow onto a utility wannabe who thought it could use part of the project as leverage to profit off a real utility's plan to construct a wind farm and the world's longest generation tie line.

2.  RTO's are not designed to facilitate exports.  RTO's are purposed to serve their region and therefore costs of serving the region are visited upon the consumers in that region.  Exporting electricity to other regions does not serve anyone in the region.  Asking different regions to build new transmission to patch regions together to serve the renewable energy industry doesn't benefit anyone in any of the regions either.  One article even claims that new "renewable" transmission lines "represent potential overhead cash registers for their owners."  So, this is all about an industry cashing in for their own benefit?  But yet...

3.  "Some" landowners oppose transmission.  Why the modifier "some?"  What is that supposed to represent anyhow?  That only a handful of landowners object to superrich investors and foreign corporations erecting an "overhead cash register" on their land using the power of eminent domain to take private property?  Sorry, but you're wrong about "some," if that's supposed to mean a small number.  Eminent domain for private gain is widely opposed by both affected and unaffected landowners.  Only "some" landowners are in favor of it, those who don't live on the land and are looking for a quick payday, or perhaps those who obliviously believe they're going to be richly compensated for the use of their land (or quid pro quo payments for being a public advocate for the transmission project).

Or perhaps "some" is an attempt at denying the power of landowners to derail transmission proposals?  Even though landowners were the biggest impediment to Clean Line's projects, Clean Line still wants to claim its projects failed due to the efforts of "a major utility, and prominent state politicians" and "some landowners."  As if the landowners were not the impetus for the political opposition, and as if a major utility opposed more than one of Clean Line's projects?  It was the landowners, Sherlock!  They are powerful, and they are the primary reason transmission projects are cancelled.  Wasn't it Sun Tzu who said "know your enemy"?  Denying the power of your most stalwart enemy is a fool's paradise.

Here's the basic truth:  Eminent domain for the purpose of erecting an "overhead cash register" on private property is frowned upon.  Sure, there was that awful Supreme Court decision that eminent domain could be used for "economic development" purposes, but that came with overwhelming backlash.  Eminent domain's historical use by utilities to serve all customers cannot be extended to erect "overhead cash registers" on private property.  New "renewable" transmission isn't necessary to provide electricity.  The grid we have is managing to keep the light on (for the most part).  One person's desire to obtain a different kind of electricity does not override another person's right to own and enjoy property.  If a company desires to erect an "overhead cash register" on private property, it's going to need landowner buy in.

How to get there?  It's not any of the ways renewable energy companies and environmentalists have proposed.  Landowner aggregation schemes, increased easement payments, even royalties, are not adequate for "some" landowners.  "Some" landowners simply do not want to sell an easement for any reason.  The "eking out and incremental solutions" (in the words of Jayshree Desai, former CLEPT-O, now spending some other investors money as ConnectGen) doesn't reside in erecting "overhead cash registers" on private property.  It resides in new ideas for buried transmission on existing rights of way, along railroads or highways.  That's the solution.  That's the way to "...figure out longer-haul, bulk transmission to really change the fundamental supply-demand balance of renewables in this country," Ms. Jayshree.  Jayshree and her band of Don Quixotes wasted more than $200M of investor cash trying to build "overhead cash registers" on private property.  And still one of the Dons persists because he can't pull his head out of the clouds (or another place closer to the ground). 

Overhead merchant transmission is dead!  The renewable energy industry and its environmental sycophants should should stop wasting their money and efforts on "overhead cash registers" and invest it in underground solutions.  The cost of these solution must be borne by the beneficiaries, in this case it's the renewable energy industry, or its customers.  The rest of us aren't going to pay for it.  You want to make money?  You gotta spend money!  The answer is at hand.  Don't make me grab you by the scruff of your neck and rub your nose in it.

1 Comment

Market Monitor Says  PJM needs to reevaluate its rules governing cost benefit analysis and cost allocation for economic projects

11/9/2018

0 Comments

 
Ut-oh, PJM!  Trouble in paradise!  The independent monitor (MMU) of your activities thinks your "market efficiency" process isn't so efficient.  And it's probably costing electric consumers in the PJM region money in their electric bills.

In its recently released Quarterly State of the Market Report, the MMU recommended:
The MMU recommends that PJM reevaluate the rules governing cost benefit analysis and cost allocation for economic projects. (Priority: Medium. New recommendation. Status: Not adopted.)
This is a new recommendation of medium priority.  Time to get hopping, PJM, as if you ever take constructive criticism well.

Let's combine this with one of MMU's long standing recommendations:
The MMU recommends the creation of a mechanism to permit a direct comparison, or competition, between transmission and generation alternatives, including which alternative is less costly and who bears the risks associated with each alternative. (Priority: Low. First reported 2013. Status: Not adopted.)
This all adds up to fail.  PJM is failing to properly plan market efficiency transmission projects.  In PJM's world, the road to new market efficiency transmission projects is long.  However, the congestion to be alleviated by new transmission is fleeting and short-lived.  PJM knee-jerked when implementing FERC's competitive transmission Order 1000 to open a project window to alleviate congestion on its AP South Interface in 2014.  That's four years ago and counting.  By the time PJM got around to selecting and ordering a project to alleviate the congestion, the congestion had alleviated itself.  But PJM kept on with the project, believing that it is captive to its own bloated processes.  The project PJM ordered is the Transource Independence Energy Connection, and it's no longer needed.

But because Transource was granted an "incentive" to build its project by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission that allows the company to recover all its sunk costs on the project (plus 10.4% return on its equity), no harm will come to Transource or PJM if they continue this unneeded project.  All the cost and risk is borne by electric consumers.

How unneeded is this project?  A look at the MMU's Congestion and Marginal Losses report section informs that congestion is now elsewhere.  The AP South Interface is a minor issue.
Differences in CLMP among eastern, southern and western control zones in PJM were primarily a result of congestion on the AEP - DOM Interface, the Cloverdale Transformer, the Tanners Creek - Miami Fort Flowgate, the Graceton - Safe Harbor Line, and the 5004/5005 Interface.
The AEP - DOM Interface was the largest contributor to congestion costs in the first nine months of 2018. With $120.4 million in total congestion costs, it accounted for 10.8 percent of the total PJM congestion costs in the first nine months of 2018.

Get that, PJM?  Congestion has shifted.  AP South no longer has a serious congestion issue.  In fact, it's minor.  In fact, it only contributes 1.8% of total congestion in PJM.
Picture
PJM could spend our money better chasing the 9 constraints that cause more congestion than AP South.  Of course, if they do, by the time they select and order transmission projects to alleviate this congestion, the congestion will have moved on elsewhere.  PJM is chasing its own tail planning market efficiency projects.  And this is why it needs to reform its rules on market efficiency transmission planning.

Once a project is approved and ordered, PJM will never admit failure.  Instead, PJM will continue to prop up unneeded market efficiency projects and throw good money (OUR money) after bad through questionable cost benefit analyses that keep the project (barely) alive.

There's no amount of magic math that will make the Transource IEC economically beneficial.  It's time to let this project go.  PJM has had plenty of opportunity to fall gracefully on its sword and stop the ratepayer bleeding.  Its recent re-evaluation of IEC was rigged, and even then IEC barely jumped the threshold.  Another opportunity arose when Transource recently adjusted its in-service date ahead 5 months.  PJM's Designated Entity Agreement with Transource required the project to be in-service by June 2020.  PJM could have cancelled the project instead of allowing the in-service shift.  The failure to meet milestone dates in the DEA is a breach of contract, and in that event PJM (the Transmission Operator) can default on the DEA.  Over and done.

Instead, PJM keeps wasting our money on its bad idea.  PJM is failing consumers.  Not only that, now it's been called out on its failure by its Market Monitor.  It's time to cancel the Independence Energy Connection.
0 Comments

PJM and Transource Scheme to Skew Benefit/Cost Analysis

10/29/2018

2 Comments

 
by Barron Shaw, Citizens to Stop Transource
In recent days it has become apparent that PJM and Transource are attempting to re-frame the proposed IEC high voltage line project that would cross preserved farms in Pennsylvania and Maryland.  The project was originally proposed and filed in both Pennsylvania and Maryland as a market efficiency project, for the sole purpose of reducing the price of electricity in the Washington DC metro market.[1]  As the case has progressed, both Maryland and Pennsylvania have expressed misgivings about the project, capped by the revelation two weeks ago that the IEC would result in a net loss of $480M across all PJM zones.[2]
 
Faced with near certain failure, PJM is trying to reposition the IEC as a reliability project.  Their contention is that unless the project is built, there would be serious reliability issues.
 
This is a desperate assertion made by an organization that has no credibility remaining.  PJM put this project forward as an “efficiency project” knowing that it would cause a significant increase in rates in Pennsylvania and surrounding states.  PJM turned a blind eye to using two newly constructed high voltage lines owned by other utilities that parallel the IEC-East that stand half empty, and when asked, said it wasn't their job to ensure their usage.  PJM allowed Transource to announce their new cost estimates one month after PJM announced their recalculated benefits for the project, in effect giving Transource the ability to provide the “right” answer and save the project from cancellation.  PJM selected Transource's proposed project, even though it was by far the most expensive bid, and included no cost cap.
 
Why would anyone believe PJM's assertion that this project was suddenly all about reliability?  The load forecast for the target market is flat, and every year the forecast is decreased.[3]  New high voltage lines in York and Harford County have been constructed and are operating at less than 50% capacity.  Recent and pending upgrades to move power across the grid in Maryland have drastically cut electrical congestion.  The project is simply not needed.
 
Regulators in both Pennsylvania and Maryland have spent millions analyzing this project for purposes of market efficiency, analysis that is completely useless in the context of reliability.  Transource has already spent upwards of $50M that will all be reimbursable to them, even if the project is canceled.  PJM has wasted too much taxpayer money already.
 
This project is dead, and it is time that PJM admits it and moves on... before people begin to question why PJM is needed at all?


[1] http://www.puc.state.pa.us/pcdocs/1548138.pdf page 7,8

[2] http://stoptransourcemd.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/OCA-Direct-Testimony-of-Scott-Rubin-Statement-1.pdf page 38. 

[3] https://www.pjm.com/-/media/library/reports-notices/state-specific-reports/2016/2016-maryland-and-dc-state-reports.ashx?la=en page 25-27
2 Comments
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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